This book deals with the philosophical and methodological aspects of information technology and the collection and analysis of data to provide insight into a problem, whether it is scientific research, policy making by government or decision making in our daily lives. The author seeks to dispels the doubts that chance is an expression of our ignorance which makes accurate prediction impossible and illustrates how our thinking has changed with quantification of uncertainty by showing that chance is no longer the obstructor but a way of expressing our knowledge. Indeed, chance can create and help in the investigation of truth. This theory is eloquently demonstrated with numerous examples of applications that statistics is the science, technology and art of extracting information from data and is based on a study of the laws of chance. It shows how statistical ideas played a vital role in scientific and other investigations even before statistics was recognized as a separate discipline, and how statistics is now evolving as a versatile, powerful and inevitable tool in diverse fields of human endeavour such as literature, legal matters, industry, archaeology and medicine. The use of statistics to the layman in improving the quality of life through wise decision-making is emphasized.
不夸张地说,这是一本巅峰我个人世界观的书。(仅仅对我而言)。我从这本书里学到最重要的一点就是随机性是自然界固有的。某些科学成就(也许是所有?)并不是依赖于因果律,而是具有统计学特征。虽然以前了解过量子不确定性还有哥德尔的不完备性,也思考过我们的物理定...
評分在终极的分析中,一切知识都是历史。 在抽象的意义下,一切知识都是数学。 在理性的基础上,所有的判断都是统计学。 ——《统计与真理》。
評分亲们,急求《统计与真理∶怎样运用偶然性》原版旧书啊,有的话豆瓣上联系我哈,价格面议!谢谢啦 亲们,急求《统计与真理∶怎样运用偶然性》原版旧书啊,有的话豆瓣上联系我哈,价格面议!谢谢啦 亲们,急求《统计与真理∶怎样运用偶然性》原版旧书啊,有的话豆瓣上联系我哈,...
評分Figures won't lie, but liars can figure.
评分後麵不如前麵精彩。或者是因為我更稀罕抽象的東西。 中間有些頁很技術流,居多公式,迴北京打印齣來纔能看。。。
评分後麵不如前麵精彩。或者是因為我更稀罕抽象的東西。 中間有些頁很技術流,居多公式,迴北京打印齣來纔能看。。。
评分Figures won't lie, but liars can figure.
评分喜歡第一章關於混沌理論和chance關於random的解釋。希望知識背景強的時候再看第四章
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