圖書標籤: 人工智能 統計學 因果論 Causality 計算機 Statistics AI 思維
发表于2025-02-22
The Book of Why pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence
"Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality--the study of cause and effect--on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
Judea Pearl is a professor of computer science at UCLA and winner of the 2011 Turing Award and the author of three classic technical books on causality. He lives in Los Angeles, California.
Dana Mackenzie is an award-winning science writer and the author of The Big Splat, or How Our Moon Came to Be. He lives in Santa Cruz, California.
Rubin在課上還噴瞭Judea一頓,錶示看不慣這種拿概率圖建模的方法。。不過do calculus如何隻從數據中得到因果關係確實有趣。關於因果推斷的模型到底哪個纔是有用的,見仁見智吧
評分非常棒的一本計算機科學的科普書,可讀性強,並且,作者也有哲學的深度。沒有給5星是因為對科普的興趣沒有對經濟學那麼感興趣
評分科學法是貝葉斯定理的一次應用。因果圖形式化因果結構,do算子對有嚮無環圖中指嚮X的有嚮邊全部切斷。由於變量不能全部觀測,用前門準則來控製無法觀察到的混雜因素,與RCT目標一緻;若變量集閤Z相對於(X,Y)滿足後門準則,則X到Y因果可識彆。感覺這些都是對相關性不能解決以及解決起來復雜的問題透明優化。反事實算法則擴寬數據解答問題的範圍,NIE形式化間接影響。結構因果模型很大的一個優點就是對於綫性非綫性函數、離散或連續變量都有效。作者太賣關子,前幾章講統計學史,舊故事很多,7-9章是乾貨。思路是經典宏觀實踐的,因果哲學講得很淺。但是應用領域極為廣泛,畢竟是對相關性大改良,文科也能用呐。不知道因果模型處理相互乾涉和疊加態什麼的會怎麼樣。可能要讀Causality一書纔能深刻瞭解本書數學化的嚴格證明。
評分Rubin在課上還噴瞭Judea一頓,錶示看不慣這種拿概率圖建模的方法。。不過do calculus如何隻從數據中得到因果關係確實有趣。關於因果推斷的模型到底哪個纔是有用的,見仁見智吧
評分在過去不到三十年的時間裏,人們對因果關係這個問題的理解取得瞭突破式的進步,可以說是發生瞭一場“因果革命”。珀爾這本書,就是嚮“聰明的外行”介紹這個新學說。
拿到书之后读了两遍,第一遍是以欣赏和学习的态度,第二遍是以欣赏和怀疑的态度。学习和怀疑之后,谈谈读后感。 这本书的副标题是《关于因果关系的新科学》,显然,这本书是从科学角度论述因果关系的。这可能让大众诧异,为什么显而易见的因果关系,从科学角度却难以建立。甚至...
評分 評分 評分豆瓣要求1周出书评确实有些强人所难,以本书的内容含量来看,是值得开一年的读书会来反复研读的“新经典”。我们或许目睹了《自然哲学的科学原理》、《物种起源》相同级别的书诞生,何其幸哉。如果用一句话来为本书作品,那就是:这是一本你不看也值得买来摆在书架上的书。 本...
The Book of Why pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025