圖書標籤: 思維 方法論 數據科學 英文原版 ModelThinking 認知 邏輯&數學 心理學
发表于2025-06-01
The Model Thinker pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren’t enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models–from linear regression to random walks and far beyond–that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page’s “many-model paradigm,” which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.
Scott E. Page is the Leonid Hurwicz Collegiate Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics at the University of Michigan and an external faculty member of the Santa Fe Institute.
看完一半。巨細無遺,用通俗的道理解釋瞭許多統計學,工程,經濟學的概念和現象
評分模型的本質是什麼?如果“多樣性”說的是觀察問題的“視角”,“模型”說的就是研究問題的“鏡頭”。你可能知道投資者查理·芒格喜歡談論“思維模型”,不過在萬老師看來那其實是一些理解和思考的套路,相當於是新時期的成語典故。佩奇說的模型要高級得多,是學者們使用的那種正規的“理論模型”。
評分如果一個人渾渾噩噩地混日子,隻體驗而不知道總結,他得到的就隻有數據。從數據到智慧,你會發現越往上就越主觀。信息已經是個性化的總結。知識中的因果關係已經是主觀的判斷。而智慧,更可以說是一種藝術。
評分得到上萬維鋼解讀過,好書
評分如果一個人渾渾噩噩地混日子,隻體驗而不知道總結,他得到的就隻有數據。從數據到智慧,你會發現越往上就越主觀。信息已經是個性化的總結。知識中的因果關係已經是主觀的判斷。而智慧,更可以說是一種藝術。
翻译不是一般的差,拗口难读。好多地方都翻的不准确,我要拿出英文版来对照阅读才能明白到底在说什么。 比如文章说陪审团要做二元决策,这里的二元听起来像是两者共存的。但是英文原文其实是Binary decision, 是非黑即白的二进制决策,与二元决策完全两码事。 建议与英文原文对...
評分 評分The Model Thinker pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025