A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence
"Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality--the study of cause and effect--on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
Judea Pearl is a professor of computer science at UCLA and winner of the 2011 Turing Award and the author of three classic technical books on causality. He lives in Los Angeles, California.
Dana Mackenzie is an award-winning science writer and the author of The Big Splat, or How Our Moon Came to Be. He lives in Santa Cruz, California.
一 五月,腾讯稳坐公司新闻头条,与今日头条互诉,腾讯视频打造的女团选拔节目《创造101》中的选手王菊逆袭翻盘,现象级的王菊效应在网上发酵。在五月,让我最感兴趣的一条公司新闻也与腾讯有关。5月30日,腾讯官方公众号发布了一篇文章,标题是《她叫Siren,不是人,也可以是...
评分1.作者朱迪亚·珀尔,是加州大学落砂机分校的计算机科学教授,计算机最高奖项图灵奖的获得者,被称为贝叶斯网络之父。作为科学家写的科学著作,这本书需要一定的先验知识才能阅读下去,起码读者应该对概率论有基本的了解。不过,虽然有一定的阅读难度,但能把人类关于因果关系...
评分 评分1.作者朱迪亚·珀尔,是加州大学落砂机分校的计算机科学教授,计算机最高奖项图灵奖的获得者,被称为贝叶斯网络之父。作为科学家写的科学著作,这本书需要一定的先验知识才能阅读下去,起码读者应该对概率论有基本的了解。不过,虽然有一定的阅读难度,但能把人类关于因果关系...
评分拿到书之后读了两遍,第一遍是以欣赏和学习的态度,第二遍是以欣赏和怀疑的态度。学习和怀疑之后,谈谈读后感。 这本书的副标题是《关于因果关系的新科学》,显然,这本书是从科学角度论述因果关系的。这可能让大众诧异,为什么显而易见的因果关系,从科学角度却难以建立。甚至...
看的很过瘾,对频率学派和贝叶斯学派都有反思
评分7-9章比较难懂,看来太前沿,不适合非学界人士,简单了解一下吧,再过两年深度学习碰壁以后估计会回归因果分析~实现强智能应该绕不开因果体系
评分真是打开了新世界的大门,本以为读了一些计量经济学和实验设计的东西已经算入门了,没想到可能是大家都走错门了,甚至门在哪里可能都还没达成一致
评分在过去不到三十年的时间里,人们对因果关系这个问题的理解取得了突破式的进步,可以说是发生了一场“因果革命”。珀尔这本书,就是向“聪明的外行”介绍这个新学说。
评分7-9章比较难懂,看来太前沿,不适合非学界人士,简单了解一下吧,再过两年深度学习碰壁以后估计会回归因果分析~实现强智能应该绕不开因果体系
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