The Second Machine Age pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载 2025

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出版者:W. W. Norton & Company

作者:Erik Brynjolfsson

出品人:

页数:320

译者:

出版时间:2014-1-20

价格:USD 26.95

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9780393239355

丛书系列:

图书标签:

互联网
人工智能
经济学
未来
计算机
科学
机器时代
思维
科技发展
工业革命
人工智能
数字化
经济变革
未来社会
机器学习
自动化
创新
智能时代

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具体描述

A revolution is under way.

In recent years, Google’s autonomous cars have logged thousands of miles on American highways and IBM’s Watson trounced the best human Jeopardy! players. Digital technologies—with hardware, software, and networks at their core—will in the near future diagnose diseases more accurately than doctors can, apply enormous data sets to transform retailing, and accomplish many tasks once considered uniquely human.

In The Second Machine Age MIT’s Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee—two thinkers at the forefront of their field—reveal the forces driving the reinvention of our lives and our economy. As the full impact of digital technologies is felt, we will realize immense bounty in the form of dazzling personal technology, advanced infrastructure, and near-boundless access to the cultural items that enrich our lives.

Amid this bounty will also be wrenching change. Professions of all kinds—from lawyers to truck drivers—will be forever upended. Companies will be forced to transform or die. Recent economic indicators reflect this shift: fewer people are working, and wages are falling even as productivity and profits soar.

Drawing on years of research and up-to-the-minute trends, Brynjolfsson and McAfee identify the best strategies for survival and offer a new path to prosperity. These include revamping education so that it prepares people for the next economy instead of the last one, designing new collaborations that pair brute processing power with human ingenuity, and embracing policies that make sense in a radically transformed landscape.

we think about issues of technological, societal, and economic progress.

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作者简介

About the Author

Erik Brynjolfsson is the director of the MIT Center for Digital Business and one of the most cited scholars in information systems and economics.

Andrew McAfee is a principal research scientist at the MIT Center for Digital Business and the author of Enterprise 2.0.

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目录信息

Chapter 1 THE BIG STORIES
Chapter 2 THE SKILLS OF THE NEW MACHINES: TECHNOLOGY RACES AHEAD
Chapter 3 MOORE’S LAW AND THE SECOND HALF OF THE CHESSBOARD
Chapter 4 THE DIGITIZATION OF JUST ABOUT EVERYTHING
Chapter 5 INNOVATION: DECLINING OR RECOMBINING?
Chapter 6 ARTIFICIAL AND HUMAN INTELLIGENCE IN THE SECOND MACHINE AGE
Chapter 7 COMPUTING BOUNTY
Chapter 8 BEYOND GDP
Chapter 9 THE SPREAD
Chapter 10 THE BIGGEST WINNERS: STARS AND SUPERSTARS
Chapter 11 IMPLICATIONS OF THE BOUNTY AND THE SPREAD
Chapter 12 LEARNING TO RACE WITH MACHINES: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR INDIVIDUALS
Chapter 13 POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
Chapter 14 LONG-TERM RECOMMENDATIONS
Chapter 15 TECHNOLOGY AND THE FUTURE
(Which Is Very Different from “Technology Is the Future”)
Acknowledgments
Notes
Illustration Sources
Index
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读后感

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最近几年，关于技术革命的说法有很多，“新工业革命”“第三次工业革命” 第二次机器革命“互联网时代”“大数据时代”“工业4.0”，而“第二次机器革命”的说法是第一次听说。各种说法其实大同小异，只是对这次技术革命的观察角度不一样罢了。Erik Brynjofsson和Andrew McAfee...

评分☆☆☆☆☆

简单写几点： 1. 一次机器时代释放了physical power，二次机器时代会增加(or replace) human cognitive power.； 2. 二次机器时代的三个关键点：exponential, digital and combinatorial— specifically: exponential：很多领域会遵循摩尔定律，发展速度是指数级别，例如下围...

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-瓦特蒸汽机被发明和世界人口开始指数增长，两者的时间节点几乎一致。 -蒸汽机和电力这样的创新被称为通用目的技术。他们的影响面涉及整个社会。 -收入分配出现了转移。在1979~2007年，1%的顶层人士的收入增长了278%，而在收入分配体系中处于中间层次的那些人收入只增长了35%。...

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是什么大大改变了人类历史的发展曲线？人类史在前几千年，几乎是平缓发展的。所谓的一些大的历史事件，比如造纸术，文字的发明，计数的发明，虽然从整个文明的发展来看是很重要的事件，但是对人类的社会发展的帮助相对来说并不十分明显。然而，工业革命完全颠覆了人类社会，人...

用户评价

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1. 人类有史以来最重要的事件是工业革命（佐证：有史以来全球人口数量在工业革命后实现了指数增长）；2.工业革命将人从体力的限制里解放出来，我们现在所面临的机器革命（AI,Robotics etc.）会把人从脑力的限制里解放出来；3.在这个新的时代，生产力会有前所未有的增长，与此同时，收入、财富差距也会急剧增加，赢者通吃将成为惯例，大量工作将会消失。

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快消读物

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读到第一章。还可以。比较学术。Brynjolfsson论文里所用的方法让人有些泄气。

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生造名词。第一次机器革命就是第一次工业革命，mechanical power的出现；第二次机器革命是mental power的改进。第二次机器革命出现的原因是指数增长式的改进、数字化和组合式创新。后果是赢者通吃、收入差距扩大。政策建议是多引进国外人才。

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