道格拉斯• W. 哈伯德是應用信息經濟學創始人、國際公認的知名測量師、決策分析師和風險管理專傢。
他的應用信息經濟學方法是一種量化的方法論,已被全球多傢《財富》500強企業所應用,並被廣泛應用於IT安全、娛樂傳媒、軍事物流、研發整閤等眾多領域。而這些領域的決策和管理往往依賴於一些看起來很難量化或者不可能量化的因素。
道格拉斯還是位廣受歡迎的演說傢。曾為《信息周刊》《首席信息官企業》《分析學》和《今日OR/MS》等雜誌撰寫文章。他還是《風險管理的失敗》(The Failure of Risk Management)一書的作者。
Now updated with new research and even more intuitive explanations, a demystifying explanation of how managers can inform themselves to make less risky, more profitable business decisions This insightful and eloquent book will show you how to measure those things in your own business that, until now, you may have considered "immeasurable," including customer satisfaction, organizational flexibility, technology risk, and technology ROI. Adds even more intuitive explanations of powerful measurement methods and shows how they can be applied to areas such as risk management and customer satisfaction Continues to boldly assert that any perception of "immeasurability" is based on certain popular misconceptions about measurement and measurement methods Shows the common reasoning for calling something immeasurable, and sets out to correct those ideas Offers practical methods for measuring a variety of "intangibles" Adds recent research, especially in regards to methods that seem like measurement, but are in fact a kind of "placebo effect" for management - and explains how to tell effective methods from management mythology Written by recognized expert Douglas Hubbard-creator of Applied Information Economics-"How to Measure Anything, Second Edition" illustrates how the author has used his approach across various industries and how any problem, no matter how difficult, ill defined, or uncertain can lend itself to measurement using proven methods.
《数据化决策》是一本关于不确定性研究和风险分析在商业领域应用的书。目前国内应用得最多的,是金融投资保险行业,像投资分析师、保险精算师、市场分析师等,其理论背景是概率论和统计学。 数学和哲学可以说是西方整个思想文化体系的精华。古希腊第一个哲学家泰勒斯既是天文...
評分 評分 評分1澄清量化概念,为什么说量化是可能的? 量化是被量化事物与数据之间的映射 类比来说,语言是事物(具体或者抽象)和思维的连接工具。 那么,数据就是决策目标和待解决问题直接的连接器。问题需要通过数据反映,同样问题的解决也需要数据反映。 例如:纠结的我想变成一个有决断...
評分1澄清量化概念,为什么说量化是可能的? 量化是被量化事物与数据之间的映射 类比来说,语言是事物(具体或者抽象)和思维的连接工具。 那么,数据就是决策目标和待解决问题直接的连接器。问题需要通过数据反映,同样问题的解决也需要数据反映。 例如:纠结的我想变成一个有决断...
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评分有趣而且脈絡非常清楚
评分1、要麼精確,要麼確定。沒有兼得。估算是有意義的。2、pin down 之後任何東西都可以測量。
评分近十年來最好的書!沒讀過白活瞭……
评分1、要麼精確,要麼確定。沒有兼得。估算是有意義的。2、pin down 之後任何東西都可以測量。
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