The Black Swan pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载 2024

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Random House Trade Paperbacks

2010-5-11

480

USD 17.00

Paperback

9780812973815

图书标签: 社会学金融思维哲学 Finance 风险管理英文原版经济

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发表于2024-11-22

The Black Swan epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书下载 2024

The Black Swan pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载 2024

图书描述

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

*2nd Edition, With a new essay: "On Robustness and Fragility"

The Black Swan 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书

著者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

图书目录

The Black Swan pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载

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用户评价

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2018.07.10读完思考如何应用到Bitoech Investment, mitigate negative black swan and expose to positive black swan

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和Fooled by Randomness比，这本书写得长了一点，有点啰嗦 2019.12.11读第二遍后记：一直想把这本书再读一遍。但是再读完一遍反而觉得没那么好了。很多思想来自别的作者，又很啰嗦。似乎全书的核心就是批评高斯分布的滥用，因为高斯分布离均值越远，概率下降越快，从而低估了outlier出现的可能（厚尾）。当然更多的黑天鹅来自不知道的分布。这本书也没有Fooled by Randomness写得幽默。

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my only regret is to not have read years ago....idiosyncratically brilliant!

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Thought-provoking indeed.