In this title, two renowned political scientists make the contrarian, research-based case that - regardless of any other factors political scientists or historians may find relevant - the calculations and actions of rulers are the driving force of all politics, and the primary goal of rulers is to maintain power as long as possible. In this clever and accessible book, Bueno de Mesquita and Smith introduce us to their perspective of the political world. They bare the logic of politics, starting from the simple premise that leaders pursue their own ends, and that populations either have, or more often don't have, the power to constrain them to a significant degree. The book is organized by a series interconnected questions, among them: Why do leaders who wreck their countries keep their jobs for so long? Why do autocracies have dismal economic policies? How are there so many suffering people in resource-rich lands? Why do 'natural disasters' disproportionately strike poor nations? Why do 'evil-doers' so often collect loads of foreign aid? Why are democracies so good at war? In answering these questions, the authors look at politics, the choices of public policies, and even decisions about war and peace as lying outside of conventional thinking about culture and history. They set aside ideas of civic virtue and psychopathology. Such notions simply are not central to understanding what leaders do and why they do it. Instead, Bueno de Mesquita and Smith see politicians as self-interested louts, just the sort of people you wouldn't want to have over for dinner, but without whom you might not have dinner at all. And from this perspective, they are able to answer some perplexing mysteries of politics, shed light on what we read in the newspapers every single day, and offer realistic ways of improving human governance.
About the Author
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver Professor of Politics and director of the Alexander Hamilton Center for Political Economy at New York University. He is the author of 16 books, including The Predictioneer’s Game.Alastair Smith is professor of politics at New York University. The recipient of three grants from the National Science Foundation and author of three books, he was chosen as the 2005 Karl Deutsch Award winner, given biennially to the best international relations scholar under the age of 40.
你可以把这本书看成一个教程。 观察下来,有效。 有几个地方更需要注意: 1. 尽量观察那些存活了五十年以上的组织。 2. 这些组织,也符合本书的规则,但更高效,所以延续更久,矛盾解决更好。 3. 昙花一现式的组织,其实不需要太在意的。胡人无百年之国运,但满清也破了此例,...
评分本来对某些出版社愿意引进这样的书还是很高兴的,但如果把一本书经过断章取义的处理后再出版,很难讲还算不算做善事,因为有可能给原著抹黑。 翻了没几页,就看到“东北亚某个国家”这样的词了,本能的认为原著不可能这样写,于是找来英文原著做了简单的对照。没想到这一对照,...
评分据作者称支撑“选择人理论”的数理模型都在《政治生存的逻辑》一书里,本书仅是个面向普通人的入门通俗读物,所以这书的理论看起来非常粗略框架,基本上摈除了宗教、意识形态、传统文化习俗什么的影响,更丝毫不扯伟光正的理想和道统,纯从群体社会中个人的“政治生存直觉”出...
评分 评分呵呵
评分作者还是想说民主是个好东西. 此外, 对外援助通讯器材比食品药物更有利于推进被援助国的民主
评分很讨厌这种写作风格,感觉不舒服,要不就完全严谨学术写作,要不就写出畅销书应有的水准,这种mixed的真心觉得做作讨厌。\\#多日后为写paper的吐槽# 真是的学术著作吗??敢不敢再不严谨点?
评分非常好读了 没畏惧感 //想到主编说的 书不求读完 当你知道你为什么要读并且达成了这项诉求 就可以放下了 觉得对 为自己看不完每一本专著找到好台阶
评分《傲娇小独裁养成手册》 (于是我上了这课的最大感受就是卡扎菲年轻时很萌……么)
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