图书标签: 商业 思维 万维刚推荐 机会 均衡理论 精英日课第二季 万维钢推荐 英文原版
发表于2024-12-26
Inadequate Equilibria pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024
When should you think that you may be able to do something unusually well? Whether you're trying to outperform in science, or in business, or just in finding good deals shopping on eBay, it's important that you have a sober understanding of your relative competencies. The story only ends there, however, if you're fortunate enough to live in an adequate civilization. Eliezer Yudkowsky's Inadequate Equilibria is a sharp and lively guidebook for anyone questioning when and how they can know better, and do better, than the status quo. Freely mixing debates on the foundations of rational decision-making with tips for everyday life, Yudkowsky explores the central question of when we can (and can't) expect to spot systemic inefficiencies, and exploit them.
Eliezer Yudkowsky is a decision theorist and computer scientist at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute in Berkeley, California who is known for his work in technological forecasting. His publications include the Cambridge Handbook of Artificial Intelligence chapter “The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence,” co-authored with Nick Bostrom. Yudkowsky’s writings have helped spark a number of ongoing academic and public debates about the long-term impact of AI, and he has written a number of popular introductions to topics in cognitive science and formal epistemology, such as “Rationality: From AI to Zombies” and “Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality.”
只有当局势不明朗,没有人告诉你该怎么办,错误的判断会导致不良后果的时候,你因为有知识而敢于拿一个主意,这才算是真有知识。
评分做真正的大事,是你要和“市场”较劲,你真正需要的东西,叫做“机会”。这本书说的,就是如何利用经济学的“均衡思维”,以及该到哪里去寻找机会。
评分个人如何区分系统的均衡因素才是决策关键,口头上的个人直觉往往是私人经验,而面对系统的因素,了解牵一发而动全身,也就明白系统为何顽固,改变不了是因为多变量同时更换的困难。 因此个人应该学会区分知识的边界,专家的局限。
评分做真正的大事,是你要和“市场”较劲,你真正需要的东西,叫做“机会”。这本书说的,就是如何利用经济学的“均衡思维”,以及该到哪里去寻找机会。
评分笔记:难道你比社会系统都聪明吗?不要低估天下英雄,如何判断市场是否均衡才有找大机会的可能。
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Inadequate Equilibria pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024