圖書標籤: 商業 思維 萬維剛推薦 機會 均衡理論 精英日課第二季 萬維鋼推薦 英文原版
发表于2024-11-23
Inadequate Equilibria pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024
When should you think that you may be able to do something unusually well? Whether you're trying to outperform in science, or in business, or just in finding good deals shopping on eBay, it's important that you have a sober understanding of your relative competencies. The story only ends there, however, if you're fortunate enough to live in an adequate civilization. Eliezer Yudkowsky's Inadequate Equilibria is a sharp and lively guidebook for anyone questioning when and how they can know better, and do better, than the status quo. Freely mixing debates on the foundations of rational decision-making with tips for everyday life, Yudkowsky explores the central question of when we can (and can't) expect to spot systemic inefficiencies, and exploit them.
Eliezer Yudkowsky is a decision theorist and computer scientist at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute in Berkeley, California who is known for his work in technological forecasting. His publications include the Cambridge Handbook of Artificial Intelligence chapter “The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence,” co-authored with Nick Bostrom. Yudkowsky’s writings have helped spark a number of ongoing academic and public debates about the long-term impact of AI, and he has written a number of popular introductions to topics in cognitive science and formal epistemology, such as “Rationality: From AI to Zombies” and “Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality.”
隻有當局勢不明朗,沒有人告訴你該怎麼辦,錯誤的判斷會導緻不良後果的時候,你因為有知識而敢於拿一個主意,這纔算是真有知識。
評分筆記:難道你比社會係統都聰明嗎?不要低估天下英雄,如何判斷市場是否均衡纔有找大機會的可能。
評分個人如何區分係統的均衡因素纔是決策關鍵,口頭上的個人直覺往往是私人經驗,而麵對係統的因素,瞭解牽一發而動全身,也就明白係統為何頑固,改變不瞭是因為多變量同時更換的睏難。 因此個人應該學會區分知識的邊界,專傢的局限。
評分兩因素市場 低垂的果實 跟命運和時代博弈的時機和支點 類學業信號和吹捧文化 麵對不確定的市場係統整體拿一個主意
評分隻有當局勢不明朗,沒有人告訴你該怎麼辦,錯誤的判斷會導緻不良後果的時候,你因為有知識而敢於拿一個主意,這纔算是真有知識。
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Inadequate Equilibria pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024