How Not to Be Wrong

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出版者:Penguin Press
作者:Jordan Ellenberg
出品人:
页数:480
译者:
出版时间:2014-5-29
价格:USD 27.95
装帧:Hardcover
isbn号码:9781594205224
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 数学
  • 思维
  • 科普
  • 英文原版
  • 方法论
  • Mathematics
  • 英文版
  • 美国
  • 数学思维
  • 逻辑推理
  • 生活智慧
  • 批判性思维
  • 概率论
  • 统计学
  • 问题解决
  • 数学应用
  • 日常决策
  • 思维训练
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具体描述

The Freakonomics of math—a math-world superstar unveils the hidden beauty and logic of the world and puts its power in our hands

The math we learn in school can seem like a dull set of rules, laid down by the ancients and not to be questioned. In How Not to Be Wrong, Jordan Ellenberg shows us how terribly limiting this view is: Math isn’t confined to abstract incidents that never occur in real life, but rather touches everything we do—the whole world is shot through with it.

Math allows us to see the hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of our world. It’s a science of not being wrong, hammered out by centuries of hard work and argument. Armed with the tools of mathematics, we can see through to the true meaning of information we take for granted: How early should you get to the airport? What does “public opinion” really represent? Why do tall parents have shorter children? Who really won Florida in 2000? And how likely are you, really, to develop cancer?

作者简介

Jordan Ellenberg is a professor of mathematics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, with a Ph.D. in mathematics from Harvard and an MFA in creative writing from Johns Hopkins. His areas of research specialization are number theory and algebraic geometry. He has written articles on mathematical topics in the New York Times, the Washington Post, Wired, the Wall Street Journal, the Boston Globe, and the Believer, and is a regular columnist for Slate.

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目录信息

CONTENTS
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Epigraph

WHEN AM I GOING TO USE THIS?
PART I
Linearity
One. LESS LIKE SWEDEN
Two. STRAIGHT LOCALLY, CURVED GLOBALLY
Three. EVERYONE IS OBESE
Four. HOW MUCH IS THAT IN DEAD AMERICANS?
Five. MORE PIE THAN PLATE
PART II
Inference
Six. THE BALTIMORE STOCKBROKER AND THE BIBLE CODE
Seven. DEAD FISH DON’T READ MINDS
Eight. REDUCTIO AD UNLIKELY
Nine. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HARUSPICY
Ten. ARE YOU THERE, GOD? IT’S ME, BAYESIAN INFERENCE
PART III
Expectation
Eleven. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU’RE EXPECTING TO WIN THE LOTTERY
Twelve. MISS MORE PLANES!
Thirteen. WHERE THE TRAIN TRACKS MEET
PART IV
Regression
Fourteen. THE TRIUMPH OF MEDIOCRITY
Fifteen. GALTON’S ELLIPSE
Sixteen. DOES LUNG CANCER MAKE YOU SMOKE CIGARETTES?
PART V
Existence
Seventeen. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS PUBLIC OPINION
Eighteen. “OUT OF NOTHING I HAVE CREATED A STRANGE NEW UNIVERSE”
HOW TO BE RIGHT

Acknowledgments
Notes
Index
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读后感

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听说这是比尔盖茨最喜欢的十本书之一,我才找来读。读了前两章,还有点鄙视盖茨,这么简单的数学概念,有啥值得推荐的?但是读到后面不得了,越来越引人入胜,有点放不下的感觉。 重点推荐第二、第三、第四部分。第一部分略浅显;而第五部分,尤其最后一章,感觉太拔高数学了,...  

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幸存者效应 基金收益率的经常不把当时消亡的基金统计进去。共同基金不会一直存在,有的会蓬勃发展,有的则走向消亡。总体来说,消亡的都是不赚钱的基金。因此,根据10年后仍然存在的共同基金判断10年间共同基金的价值,这样的做法就如同通过计算成功返航飞机上的弹孔数来判断飞...  

评分

评分

幸存者效应 基金收益率的经常不把当时消亡的基金统计进去。共同基金不会一直存在,有的会蓬勃发展,有的则走向消亡。总体来说,消亡的都是不赚钱的基金。因此,根据10年后仍然存在的共同基金判断10年间共同基金的价值,这样的做法就如同通过计算成功返航飞机上的弹孔数来判断飞...  

用户评价

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Existence那章看到起鸡皮疙瘩

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看看

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“Maybe individual people seem irrational because they aren’t really individuals. Each one of us is a little nation-state, doing our best to settle disputes and broker compromises between the squabbling voices that drive us.”

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“Maybe individual people seem irrational because they aren’t really individuals. Each one of us is a little nation-state, doing our best to settle disputes and broker compromises between the squabbling voices that drive us.”

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Inspiring, insightful, humorous, from a real mathematician. What more can you ask for?

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