圖書標籤: Statistics 統計 統計學 科普 英文原版 思維 經濟 數學
发表于2025-05-07
How to Lie with Statistics pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
"There is terror in numbers," writes Darrell Huff in How to Lie with Statistics. And nowhere does this terror translate to blind acceptance of authority more than in the slippery world of averages, correlations, graphs, and trends. Huff sought to break through "the daze that follows the collision of statistics with the human mind" with this slim volume, first published in 1954. The book remains relevant as a wake-up call for people unaccustomed to examining the endless flow of numbers pouring from Wall Street, Madison Avenue, and everywhere else someone has an axe to grind, a point to prove, or a product to sell. "The secret language of statistics, so appealing in a fact-minded culture, is employed to sensationalize, inflate, confuse, and oversimplify," warns Huff.
Although many of the examples used in the book are charmingly dated, the cautions are timeless. Statistics are rife with opportunities for misuse, from "gee-whiz graphs" that add nonexistent drama to trends, to "results" detached from their method and meaning, to statistics' ultimate bugaboo--faulty cause-and-effect reasoning. Huff's tone is tolerant and amused, but no-nonsense. Like a lecturing father, he expects you to learn something useful from the book, and start applying it every day. Never be a sucker again, he cries!
Even if you can't find a source of demonstrable bias, allow yourself some degree of skepticism about the results as long as there is a possibility of bias somewhere. There always is.
Read How to Lie with Statistics. Whether you encounter statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you'll remember its simple lessons. Don't be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores. "The fact is that, despite its mathematical base, statistics is as much an art as it is a science." --Therese Littleton
達萊爾·哈夫,美國統計專傢。1913年齣生在美國愛荷華州,畢業於愛荷華州立大學(the State University of lowa),獲得學士學位和碩士學位,在此期間他由於成績優異加入瞭美國大學優等生的榮譽學會(Phi Beta Kappa),同時還參加瞭社會心理學、統計學以及智力測驗等研究項目。達萊爾·哈夫的文章多見於《哈潑斯》、《星期六郵報》、《時尚先生》以及《紐約時報》等美國頂尖媒體。1963年,由於他的貢獻被授予國傢學院鍾奬(National School Bell )
一本薄薄的小書,是看編程珠璣的某一頁提到的推薦。找來原版pdf打印齣來花瞭不到一周時間讀完瞭,主要列舉瞭日常生活中常見的用統計數據進行欺騙的方法~這本書好像還有中譯本(《統計陷阱》),然而翻譯就差強人意瞭,而且很多地方有意略去不翻…例如第九章關於馬剋思剩餘價值那部分…嗬嗬噠~
評分實際操作中,要在短時間內發現一個數據的無用或者欺騙性可能是件很復雜的事,雖然基本原理就那麼些。
評分實際操作中,要在短時間內發現一個數據的無用或者欺騙性可能是件很復雜的事,雖然基本原理就那麼些。
評分還不錯。對於專業人士當然簡單瞭些。
評分一本小書,科普統計思維,瞭解統計方法用的不對時會帶來的誤導性結論。常識性防騙手冊。不過有點囉嗦。
前几天,我和一个象棋很厉害的叔叔下棋,两盘棋我一胜一负,赢的那盘纯属侥幸。然后我问这个叔叔:“xxx和你下棋谁更厉害?”我之所以这样问,是因为我说到的那个人棋艺也很高,在两年前我和他下的很多,但我几乎没有赢过他,而叔叔的回答着实让我开心不已,我以为我的棋艺有了...
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評分本书原名《如何利用统计说谎》,由于意识不良,具有误导性,遂改名《统计陷阱》,中文新版改回接近原名的《统计数字会撒谎》(http://www.douban.com/subject/3595095/)。深谙统计之道的作者显然是个高超的骗子,本书虽如原名所说,可以当成行骗宝典,但作者本意并非如此,而...
評分前几天,我和一个象棋很厉害的叔叔下棋,两盘棋我一胜一负,赢的那盘纯属侥幸。然后我问这个叔叔:“xxx和你下棋谁更厉害?”我之所以这样问,是因为我说到的那个人棋艺也很高,在两年前我和他下的很多,但我几乎没有赢过他,而叔叔的回答着实让我开心不已,我以为我的棋艺有了...
評分How to Lie with Statistics pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025