Why has median income stopped rising in the US?
Why is the share of population that is working falling so rapidly?
Why are our economy and society are becoming more unequal?
A popular explanation right now is that the root cause underlying these symptoms is technological stagnation-- a slowdown in the kinds of ideas and inventions that bring progress and prosperity.
In Race Against the Machine, MIT's Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee present a very different explanation. Drawing on research by their team at the Center for Digital Business, they show that there's been no stagnation in technology -- in fact, the digital revolution is accelerating. Recent advances are the stuff of science fiction: computers now drive cars in traffic, translate between human languages effectively, and beat the best human Jeopardy! players.
As these examples show, digital technologies are rapidly encroaching on skills that used to belong to humans alone. This phenomenon is both broad and deep, and has profound economic implications. Many of these implications are positive; digital innovation increases productivity, reduces prices (sometimes to zero), and grows the overall economic pie.
But digital innovation has also changed how the economic pie is distributed, and here the news is not good for the median worker. As technology races ahead, it can leave many people behind. Workers whose skills have been mastered by computers have less to offer the job market, and see their wages and prospects shrink. Entrepreneurial business models, new organizational structures and different institutions are needed to ensure that the average worker is not left behind by cutting-edge machines.
In Race Against the Machine Brynjolfsson and McAfee bring together a range of statistics, examples, and arguments to show that technological progress is accelerating, and that this trend has deep consequences for skills, wages, and jobs. The book makes the case that employment prospects are grim for many today not because there's been technology has stagnated, but instead because we humans and our organizations aren't keeping up.
埃裏剋·布林約爾鬆(Erik Brynjolfsson),麻省理工斯隆管理學院的教授,麻省理工數字商務中心主任,《斯隆管理評論》主席,國傢經濟研究局助理研究員,與人閤著有《連綫創新:信息技術如何重塑經濟》。早年畢業於哈佛大學和麻省理工學院。
安德魯·麥卡菲(Andrew McAfee),麻省理工斯隆管理學院數字商務中心的首席研究科學傢和副主任。曾著有《企業2.0:幫助企業迎接最嚴峻挑戰的全新協作工具》。早年畢業於麻省理工學院和哈佛大學。
本書網站:http://raceagainstthemachine.com/
作者之一安德魯·麥卡菲曾在“TEDxBoston”大會上以“與機器賽跑”為題發錶演講,視頻地址:http://tedxtalks.ted.com/video/TEDxBoston-Andrew-McAfee-Race-A
花了半天时间就读了这一本书,其实也就算是个小册子吧,内容不多,但是观点很有趣。 作者认为我们目前正出于摩尔定律的指数增长阶段,互联网时代带来的技术革命是比蒸汽机和电力革命更有破坏力的一场革命。 而由于整个时代技术的革新所造成的简单工作不断被成本更低的计算机...
評分无人驾驶的汽车穿行于闹市街区,手机里的一个声音回答你提出的所有问题,超级机器人打败人类拿走Jeopard!(美国一个长青的机智问答节目)大奖……只要对科技新闻稍有了解的人都应知道,这根本不是科幻作品中的场景,而是正在发生的现实。我们一度以为自己清楚,相对于机器而言,...
評分 評分Jac Depczyk曾给《经济学人》画过这么一幅插图:人肉之躯在与机械骨骼和电路肌肉的机器人的“马拉松”中,被一举超越并从此远远甩在后面。这幅画最好的注脚,是列昂季耶夫在1983年的预言:“人类如今是生产里最重要的因素,但这个角色,注定会像马匹一样走向没落。”麻省理工...
與機器賽跑。讓我開始有危機感
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