Why has median income stopped rising in the US?
Why is the share of population that is working falling so rapidly?
Why are our economy and society are becoming more unequal?
A popular explanation right now is that the root cause underlying these symptoms is technological stagnation-- a slowdown in the kinds of ideas and inventions that bring progress and prosperity.
In Race Against the Machine, MIT's Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee present a very different explanation. Drawing on research by their team at the Center for Digital Business, they show that there's been no stagnation in technology -- in fact, the digital revolution is accelerating. Recent advances are the stuff of science fiction: computers now drive cars in traffic, translate between human languages effectively, and beat the best human Jeopardy! players.
As these examples show, digital technologies are rapidly encroaching on skills that used to belong to humans alone. This phenomenon is both broad and deep, and has profound economic implications. Many of these implications are positive; digital innovation increases productivity, reduces prices (sometimes to zero), and grows the overall economic pie.
But digital innovation has also changed how the economic pie is distributed, and here the news is not good for the median worker. As technology races ahead, it can leave many people behind. Workers whose skills have been mastered by computers have less to offer the job market, and see their wages and prospects shrink. Entrepreneurial business models, new organizational structures and different institutions are needed to ensure that the average worker is not left behind by cutting-edge machines.
In Race Against the Machine Brynjolfsson and McAfee bring together a range of statistics, examples, and arguments to show that technological progress is accelerating, and that this trend has deep consequences for skills, wages, and jobs. The book makes the case that employment prospects are grim for many today not because there's been technology has stagnated, but instead because we humans and our organizations aren't keeping up.
埃里克·布林约尔松(Erik Brynjolfsson),麻省理工斯隆管理学院的教授,麻省理工数字商务中心主任,《斯隆管理评论》主席,国家经济研究局助理研究员,与人合著有《连线创新:信息技术如何重塑经济》。早年毕业于哈佛大学和麻省理工学院。
安德鲁·麦卡菲(Andrew McAfee),麻省理工斯隆管理学院数字商务中心的首席研究科学家和副主任。曾著有《企业2.0:帮助企业迎接最严峻挑战的全新协作工具》。早年毕业于麻省理工学院和哈佛大学。
本书网站:http://raceagainstthemachine.com/
作者之一安德鲁·麦卡菲曾在“TEDxBoston”大会上以“与机器赛跑”为题发表演讲,视频地址:http://tedxtalks.ted.com/video/TEDxBoston-Andrew-McAfee-Race-A
Jac Depczyk曾给《经济学人》画过这么一幅插图:人肉之躯在与机械骨骼和电路肌肉的机器人的“马拉松”中,被一举超越并从此远远甩在后面。这幅画最好的注脚,是列昂季耶夫在1983年的预言:“人类如今是生产里最重要的因素,但这个角色,注定会像马匹一样走向没落。”麻省理工...
评分自2000年以来,美国人才需求急剧下降。其中大部分失业是因为缺乏聘用所致,而非裁员增加。有工作的人的情况也不太好,在过去10年的适龄就业家庭中,实际中值收入从60746万美元降到了55821美元,自统计此类数据以来,中值收入首次出现降低的10年。但与此相对地是,人均实际国内...
评分充斥在市面上的大量Geek文化,由于网络平台而扩散到日常生活中。曾几何时,你本来学国画的朋友开始追捧电子产品,高中数学徘徊及格线的老同桌也力推IT文化,更别提隔壁中专毕业的吴老二老跑新华书店买书自学逻辑电路了。“技术宅拯救世界”这样的流行语只是对信息技术崇拜的一...
评分中国人强调勤劳,因为在农耕社会,只有黄牛犁地,或者锄禾日当午,效率低下。勤劳的意思是多干几个小时,收入可以多些。 现在很多行业其实要work smarter 而不是work harder。 多数脑力劳动,灵感很重要,没有想出办法,坐在办公室里一天也没有成效。 如果需要做重复简单的劳...
评分翻译是个“对技术高度敏感行业”,而出版则是道地的“夕阳产业”——大概是因为同时身处这两个不怎么讨好的领域,一直以来,我非常关心两个话题: 一是,机器翻译有没有可能取代人工翻译,如果能,这一幕会在什么时候发生。 在本书两位作者所举“机器将取代人工”的例子中,...
现在再看是same old stories了。适合刚刚开始了解这方面研究的人。
评分书中说,技术进步犹如那个传说里64格棋盘上不断翻倍的米粒,前32格的增长其实不太显著,后一半的速度就非同寻常了,而我们可能刚好迈进第33格,对劳动力市场真正的冲击才刚刚开始。同人于野的文章差不多覆盖了这书80%的内容,但漏了一小点:干最低端的活的人受技术进步的影响,和高端技术人员一样,都不大。最惨的是中间那截。不过这点两位作者没展开谈就是了。
评分"End of work"和"Second half of the chessboard" 都是很犀利的想法。再不学习只能去死了....
评分知道legalzoom吗?相信低端的非诉业务岗位不久就会被机器占据,还敢不努力学习吗?be distinguished or perish。与各位同学共勉。
评分现在再看是same old stories了。适合刚刚开始了解这方面研究的人。
本站所有内容均为互联网搜索引擎提供的公开搜索信息,本站不存储任何数据与内容,任何内容与数据均与本站无关,如有需要请联系相关搜索引擎包括但不限于百度,google,bing,sogou 等
© 2025 book.quotespace.org All Rights Reserved. 小美书屋 版权所有