Review
White House Budget Director Peter Orszag is a numbers guy, a propeller head as President Obama would say. But as David Von Drehle and I write in this week's print version of Time, Orszag has been spending his time recently reading not about spreadsheets, but about psychology. In particular, he has been reading a new book by the economists George Akerlof and Robert Shiller called Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives The Economy, and Why It Matters For Global Capitalism. . . . We are, it turns out, slaves to the Animal Spirits. They have brought us to our knees. And now they are the only things that can save us.
(Michael Scherer, Time.com's "Swampland" )
In their new book, two of the most creative and respected economic thinkers currently at work, George Akerlof and Robert Shiller, argue that the key is to recover Keynes's insight about 'animal spirits'--the attitudes and ideas that guide economic action. The orthodoxy needs to be rebuilt, and bringing these psychological factors into the core of economics is the way to do it. . . . The connections between their thinking on the limits to conventional economics and the issues thrown up by the breakdown are plain, even if they were unable to make every link explicit. Even more than Akerlof and Shiller could have hoped, therefore, it is a fine book at exactly the right time. . . . Animal Spirits carries its ambition lightly--but is ambitious nonetheless. Economists will see it as a kind of manifesto.
(Clive Crook Financial Times )
Animal Spirits is a welcome addition to our Hannitized national economic debate, in which anyone who advocates government spending risks being labeled a socialist. . . . Animal Spirits is most compelling when the authors summon all the key behavioral patterns to explain vast, complex phenomena such as the Great Depression. . . . Animal Spirits . . . [is] aimed squarely at the general reader, and rightly so: Macroeconomics is now everybody's business--the banks are playing with our money.
(Andrew Rosenblum New York Observer )
[A] lively new financial crisis book.
(James Pressley Bloomberg News )
The two superstars have produced a truly innovative and bold work that attempts to show how psychological factors explain the origins of the current mess and offer clues for possible solutions. At a time when plummeting confidence is dragging down the market and the economy, the authors' focus on the psychological aspect of economics is incredibly important.
(Michael Mandel BusinessWeek )
What Sigmund Freud did for the study of the mind, George Akerlof and Robert Shiller are doing for economics. Freud, healer or fake--take your pick--built a career and a field of medicine on the idea that people are driven by irrational forces. Akerlof, professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley and winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in economics, and Shiller, the Yale economist who is the eminence grise of the housing meltdown, argue that massive government market intervention programs are the only way to turn fear into enthusiasm for spending and investing--the 'animal spirits' that are an essential part of recovery. . . . Akerlof and Shiller pick up on the idea of the emotional impetus to investment. With elegant reasoning and lovely prose, they demonstrate that we'll all be wallowing in misery unless governments around world, especially the in the G7 nations, help to return markets to optimism. . . . Animal Spirits is a fine discussion of the last few decades of development of economic theory, especially monetary economics.
(Andrew Allentuck The Globe & Mail )
Another contribution to the human-nature-ensures-economics-is-irrational school of thought. But, unlike many of the rants against people trying to make an honest profit, this is a measured examination of how the present crisis is explained in economic terms. And so it should be. George Akerlof is a Nobel prizewinner, Robert Shiller teaches at Yale and is the author of Irrational Exuberance, which should give you an idea of this one's approach. This fascinating work uses economics to explain real-life issues, such as real estate price cycles, to key policy problems, such as the relationship between inflation and employment.
(Stephen Matchett The Australian )
With Animal Spirits we hone in on how incentives and narratives can be created to channel the human psychological factor into collectively healthy directions, and how to be aware of the fictions we tell ourselves about how we wish the world and greed and financial security worked. [Animal Spirits] sheds light on complex issues and leaves readers with a better grasp of undercurrents and--most importantly--a rediscovered belief in principles of common sense and caution.
(Daily Kos )
The new book from George Akerlof and Robert Shiller, Animal Spirits, has been getting a lot of press of late, and quite rightly: it's really good. It's not only very readable; it also offers a compelling vision of a very different type of macroeconomics--one where behavioral considerations are front and center, rather than simply providing what Clive Crook calls 'ad hoc modifications' to the standard, ridiculously oversimplified and unrealistic, model. . . . [I]f you read only one book on this subject, make it Animal Spirits.
(Felix Salmon, Portfolio.com )
As George Akerlof and Robert Shiller show in a new book Animal Spirits, this is no freak storm. It may mark the long-awaited encounter between psychology and economics. . . . Akerlof and Shiller's book is probably the first macroeconomic exploration of the subject that is accessible to those interested in the subject but who don't have the academic training to understand the detailed argument.
(Mint )
Review
This book is a sorely needed corrective. Animal Spirits is an important--maybe even a decisive--contribution at a difficult juncture in macroeconomic theory.
(Robert M. Solow, Nobel Prize-winning economist )
Robert J. Shiller is the Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at Yale University. He is the recipient of the 2000 Commonfund Prize, awarded for Best Contribution to Endowment Management Research, for Irrational Exuberance. He is also the author of Market Volatility and Macro Markets, which won the 1996 Paul A. Samuelson Award.
来自: 石头时代(For that moment.....) 2014-08-22 14:09:56 波斯纳(R.A. Posner,1939- ),1959年在耶鲁大学获得文学士学位,1962年在哈佛大学获得法学士学位,1968年赴斯坦福大学任教,1969年任芝加哥大学教授,1981年任美国联邦第七巡回区上诉法院法官。主要著作有:...
评分经济学领域关于人性的讨论越来越普及了,罗伯特希勒用动物精神这个词传神的解释了什么是人的动物精神和非理性,分为五个原理,下面是五个原理的解释。 1. 信心及其乘数,信心这个词是指那些不能用理性决策来涵盖的行为,它在宏观经济学中起到重要作用。 a) 当人们有信心时,...
评分We simply do not know! John Gray * Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism by George Akerlof and Robert Shiller Princeton, 230 pp, £16.95, February 2009, ISBN 978 0 691 14233 3 The las...
评分读完《动物精神》,并没有意外的惊喜。倒不是因为这本书写的不好,而是因为感觉书中没有新鲜的东西,基本上都是我以前了解的内容。应该说这本书的主体是由阿克洛夫完成的,有关金融市场的内容则是由罗伯特.希勒所作。 希勒这个名字相对而言我知道的较早,在国内知道的人...
评分1、有时候,我们被它麻痹,有时候它又赋予我们能量,使我们振作,克服恐惧感和优柔寡断。 2、他们把怀疑搁置一旁,而当每个人都这样做时,资产的价值就会升高,而且可能还会继续上涨。只要人们保持信任感,他们的冲动就不明显。一旦信心消失,浪潮消退,决策冲动就暴露无遗。 ...
最近读完《Animal Spirits》这本书,真是让我大开眼界。我一直以为人类的行为都是基于理性的计算和逻辑的推导,但这本书彻底颠覆了我的认知。作者以一种非常引人入胜的方式,阐述了那些我们生活中看似微不足道的“动物精神”,是如何深刻地影响着我们的决策,甚至是宏观经济的走向。书中的例子非常贴切,我甚至能在自己的经历中找到呼应。比如,在面对不确定性时,我们更容易受到恐惧和贪婪的驱使,做出一些并非最优的选择。这让我重新审视了自己过去的许多行为,也开始理解为什么有些经济泡沫会如此轻易地形成,又为何会如此迅速地破裂。这本书让我明白,理解人性中的非理性因素,远比仅仅掌握理性工具来得重要。它不仅是一本关于经济的书,更是一本关于人类心理学的深刻洞察。
评分坦白说,《Animal Spirits》这本书的名字一开始就吸引了我,有一种原始而神秘的魅力。读完之后,我只能说,这真是一本让我欲罢不能的作品。作者的叙述方式非常独特,他不是在简单地罗列观点,而是通过一系列引人入胜的故事和案例,将那些抽象的“动物精神”描绘得栩栩如生。我尤其喜欢他对于群体行为的分析,那种从个体冲动如何演变成集体狂热的描绘,简直是惊心动魄。这本书让我明白了,为什么有时候我们明明知道某件事情不对劲,却还是会随波逐流,被一股无形的力量推着向前。它让我对人类的社会性有了更深的理解,也让我开始思考,如何在复杂的人群中保持一份清醒和独立。这绝对是一本值得反复阅读,并且会随着你的阅历增长而产生不同领悟的书。
评分这本书我早就听说了,名字叫《Animal Spirits》,光听名字就觉得充满了野性与活力。我一直对那些能触及事物本质、探究隐藏在表象之下的驱动力的作品很感兴趣,而这本书似乎正是如此。作者一定花了大量的时间去观察、去思考,去捕捉那些我们常在不经意间忽略却又深刻影响着我们行为的“动物本能”或者说“内在冲动”。我尤其好奇书中是如何将这些抽象的概念具体化的,是会通过大量的案例分析,还是用生动的故事来阐释?比如,在面对抉择时,我们常常会感到一种莫名的直觉,一种难以言喻的冲动,这究竟是来自我们理性思考的累积,还是更深层、更原始的心理机制在起作用?这本书或许能给我一些全新的视角去理解自己以及身边的人。我期待它能像一位经验丰富的向导,带领我穿越纷繁复杂的现代生活,去探寻那些最本真的驱动力,从而更好地理解人类行为的逻辑。我也希望能从书中学习到如何更好地驾驭这些“动物精神”,而不是被它们所控制。
评分《Animal Spirits》这本书,与其说是一本读物,不如说是一场对人类内心世界的探索之旅。作者没有故弄玄虚,而是用一种非常接地气的方式,为我们揭示了那些潜藏在我们每个人内心深处的“动物本能”。我特别欣赏书中那种严谨又不失人文关怀的笔触,它让我们在认识到自身局限性的同时,也能感受到一种被理解的温暖。读这本书的时候,我常常会陷入沉思,思考着自己是如何被这些“动物精神”所裹挟,又如何在它们的影响下做出了种种选择。它让我更加清醒地认识到,所谓“理性”,在很多时候,也不过是我们为自己那些冲动和欲望披上的一层外衣。这本书为我提供了一个更广阔的视野去审视人性和社会,让我对未来充满了更多的思考和期待。
评分《Animal Spirits》这本书,我拿到手的时候就觉得它不像市面上那些枯燥的理论书籍,封面设计就透着一股子沉静却又力量感十足的氛围。我猜想,这本书的内容一定是经过了反复打磨,才能将“动物精神”这个宏大的主题讲得既深刻又不失趣味。我尤其想知道,作者是如何将心理学、经济学,甚至生物学的某些观察融合在一起的。毕竟,我们人类的行为往往是多种因素交织的结果,单从一个角度去解读,可能就会失之偏颇。我非常期待书中能揭示出那些隐藏在理性决策背后的非理性因素,比如情绪、偏见,甚至是群体心理的影响。我一直觉得,当我们能够理解这些“动物精神”是如何运作的时候,我们就更能洞察社会现象,甚至预测未来的趋势。这本书会不会像一部引人入胜的侦探小说,层层剥茧,最终揭示出人类行为的终极密码?我迫不及待地想翻开它,去体验一场思想的盛宴。
评分“当约瑟芬两手空空、一无所获时,人们会普遍丧失信心,严重的衰退将接踵而至。”
评分Controlled-Uncontrolled. Out-of-date Up-to-date.
评分Controlled-Uncontrolled. Out-of-date Up-to-date.
评分为什么房地产市场具有周期这章不错。
评分正在读,但是我特别想知道这次Shiller说没说新东西...我感觉他现在就是“呜呼!我道理讲了10年,你们居然还在一遍一遍犯同样的错误...”
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