圖書標籤: 經濟學 Economics 英文 經濟 ECONOMICS 政治 心理學 經濟學-基礎理論
发表于2025-02-02
Narrative Economics pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
From Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a new way to think about how popular stories help drive economic events
In a world in which internet troll farms attempt to influence foreign elections, can we afford to ignore the power of viral stories to affect economies? In this groundbreaking book, Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller offers a new way to think about the economy and economic change. Using a rich array of historical examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that affect individual and collective economic behaviorâ€"what he calls "narrative economics"â€"has the potential to vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises, recessions, depressions, and other major economic events.
Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move marketsâ€"whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up, that housing prices never fall, or that some firms are too big to fail. Whether true or false, stories like theseâ€"transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social mediaâ€"drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that by laying the foundation for a way of understanding how stories help propel economic events that have had led to war, mass unemployment, and increased inequality.
The stories people tellâ€"about economic confidence or panic, housing booms, the American dream, or Bitcoinâ€"affect economic outcomes. Narrative Economics explains how we can begin to take these stories seriously. The result may be Robert Shiller's most important book to date.
Robert J. Shiller is a Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist, the author of the New York Times bestseller Irrational Exuberance, and the coauthor, with George A. Akerlof, of Phishing for Phools and Animal Spirits, among other books (all Princeton). He is Sterling Professor of Economics at Yale University and a regular contributor to the New York Times. He lives in New Haven, Connecticut. Twitter @RobertJShiller
這本書主要討論曆史上一些經典的narrative對經濟的影響,比如the Great Depression, Real Estate Bubble, the Golden Standard, Bitcoin 等等,Robert Shiller還闡述瞭他對narrative特點的理解。確實給讀者對理解經濟行為産生的原因增加瞭一個很重要的維度。
評分想法其實挺簡單,在傳統經濟理論中加入行為學因素。是個應景的理論,因為隨著科技發展,消息的傳播越來越快。一句話概括全書: thought viruses are responsible for many of the changes we observe in economic activities, and it's gonna come again, again and again. 這本書寫得不咋的,但充分激發瞭我學習病理學等自然科學的熱情。感覺未來傳統學科的第二春也隻能來自跨學科交融的突變(mutation)瞭。以及,得流量者得天下啊。
評分也許是我對經濟學沒有足夠好的直覺,讀這本書的時候感覺章節之間內在聯係並不是很強,很多時候作者會跳迴很多章之前,說著重復的內容。把敘事和傳播學聯係在一起這樣的視角非常新穎,但是除瞭大蕭條中的frugality narrative之類的少數的幾個例子,作者似乎沒有足夠的論據說明敘事能怎樣反過來影響經濟。書讀到後麵也就更像是純粹的描述而缺少argumentation瞭。這是我有些失望的一點。3.5/5吧
評分Who to deeply understand behavioral & psychological economics #getAbstract
評分從傳染病學和心理學的角度去分析narrative對於經濟的影響,其中提到的傳染病學理論去研究新聞(narrative)在公眾裏的傳播、變異和影響,非常貼切。裏麵提到的幾個perennial narrative(反復齣現的narrative)可以理解為幾種反復齣現不斷變異的病毒,每次得到閤適的土壤就會捲土重來。這對於券商宏觀分析師來說其實是很有用的,希望有一天可以用微博熱搜或者微信公眾號文章閱讀齣一個"最受關注的narrative指數"
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Narrative Economics pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025