喬治·索羅斯(George Soros)
l 現任索羅斯基金管理公司的董事長, 全球金融界呼風喚雨的人物,在中國的影響力尤其深遠,曾任量子基金創始人之一。
l 喬治·索羅斯1930年生於匈牙利布達佩斯,1947年移居英國,並畢業於倫敦經濟學院。1956年,索羅斯前往美國,開始建立和管理國際投資資金。曆經幾次動蕩和危機,他以自己成功的預測和業績、獨一無二的投資風格著稱於世。著有《金融煉金術》、《易犯錯的年代》、《全球資本主義危機》等書。
In the midst of one of the most serious financial upheavals since the Great Depression, George Soros, the legendary financier and philanthropist, writes about the origins of the crisis and proposes a set of policies that should be adopted to confront it. Soros, whose breadth of experience in financial markets is unrivaled, places the current crisis in the context of his decades of study of how individuals and institutions handle the boom and bust cycles that now dominate global economic activity. "This is a once in a lifetime moment," writes Soros in characterizing the scale of financial distress spreading across Wall Street and other financial centers around the world. In a concise essay that combines practical insight with philosophical depth, Soros makes an invaluable contribution to our understanding of the great credit crisis and its implications for our nation and the world.
反复强调反身性原理,论证社会学具有很强的不可预测性,这和自然科学十分不同(顺带狂批经济学的分析方法)。强调证伪的不对称性,告诉大家做什么决策都不要太自信,因为我们有很强的彻底易错性。建议政府要多监管,限制大家散漫的且贪婪的自由空间。作者十分羡慕中国的大好环...
評分 評分This book is more a promotion of a concept, based on an investment / speculative success stories of successful experience of a lifetime, a period from the young to their most important event affecting (his father to avoid a false identity for for their own ...
評分总的来说,索罗斯同学的这本书,写得还是比较浅显易懂的,书的框架很清楚,他老兄对金融市场的观察当然也是非常有深度的啦。不过他尝试建造的这个理论的核心观点——"易出错","测不准"确实离成熟还相去甚远——无法定量,无法证伪。 索罗斯的这个理论的基本内容大致有以下几...
評分This book is more a promotion of a concept, based on an investment / speculative success stories of successful experience of a lifetime, a period from the young to their most important event affecting (his father to avoid a false identity for for their own ...
the defination of "reflexvity" 可惜的是soros的文筆並沒有錶述清這一本身就復雜的概念,反身性短期內難成學科:1.給定義建立專門的體係需要定義的確定性,而反身性正恰恰相反。2.原教旨主義難以打破,這也是泰晤士報的評論內容的原因。
评分The theory of reflexivity means that the Great Soros is wrong when predicting the future
评分More of a promotion of Reflexivity actually. Not authentic as it comes to other part of the concept at least to me.
评分Soros的著作更多地講的是一種思考方式而不是金融範式。成功的預測瞭房市泡沫之後,不知道他在這本書裏預測到的那個super bubble什麼時候會齣現。
评分本書可概括為一個詞 - reflexibility。
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