Global poverty, Paul Collier points out, is actually falling quite rapidly for about eighty percent of the world. The real crisis lies in a group of about 50 failing states, the bottom billion, whose problems defy traditional approaches to alleviating poverty. In The Bottom Billion, Collier contends that these fifty failed states pose the central challenge of the developing world in the twenty-first century. The book shines a much needed light on this group of small nations, largely unnoticed by the industrialized West, that are dropping further and further behind the majority of the world's people, often falling into an absolute decline in living standards. A struggle rages within each of these nation between reformers and corrupt leaders--and the corrupt are winning. Collier analyzes the causes of failure, pointing to a set of traps that snare these countries, including civil war, a dependence on the extraction and export of natural resources, and bad governance. Standard solutions do not work against these traps, he writes; aid is often ineffective, and globalization can actually make matters worse, driving development to more stable nations. What the bottom billion need, Collier argues, is a bold new plan supported by the Group of Eight industrialized nations. If failed states are ever to be helped, the G8 will have to adopt preferential trade policies, new laws against corruption, and new international charters, and even conduct carefully calibrated military interventions. As former director of research for the World Bank and current Director of the Center for the Study of African Economies at Oxford University, Paul Collier has spent a lifetime working to end global poverty. In The Bottom Billion, he offers real hope for solving one of the great humanitarian crises facing the world today.
作者是牛津大学非洲经济研究中心主任,前世界银行发展研究部门主任,及英国政府非洲委员会顾问,非洲经济问题的世界顶级专家之一,《挣破战乱陷阱》的作者。
Personally, Collier’s ideas make me feel like short on growth factor. Since these unrealized industrialized countries are falling further and further behind the standard living norm. The democratic leadership factors are just a part of equipment on tacklin...
评分 评分走出贫困的道路,异常艰辛,因为这样的道路不仅布满荆棘和陷阱,而且迷雾重重。 主要的障碍有四点:战乱陷阱、自然资源陷阱、恶邻环绕的内陆陷阱以及小国劣政的陷阱。而且,这四者之间的相互影响又错综复杂,哪里是源头,哪里是突破口,莫衷一是。作者举了大量的实例,从正反...
评分在这本书中,有一种说法,叫“自然资源陷阱”,用以描述这样一种现象:依常理,一地若发现有丰富的自然资源,其带来的财富应该会给当地人带来福利。但实际却很少如此,恰恰相反,丰富的自然资源会更可能给当地人带来危害。 这是因为:1.在任何地方,充分的民主往往比...
评分看了这本书,觉得中国能有今天的成就,实在很偶然。看看那些国家怎样掉进发展的陷阱中,仿佛受到了什么样的诅咒一样。
威廉·伊斯特利点出本书的两处硬伤:1.在国家选择上的bias,并没有任何证据表明Collier选择的这些国家在今后四十年仍会处于发展停滞的状态,也未必会被困在这些陷阱中。2.相关性不代表因果性,Collier的统计分析并不能代替逻辑推理和分析。——很好地证明了国关不能依赖于经济学和统计方法的定量研究。
评分颇有启发,虽然一直提醒自己相关性不等于因果性;但阅读体验实在愉快w
评分颇有启发,虽然一直提醒自己相关性不等于因果性;但阅读体验实在愉快w
评分作者的用心之作。欠发达国家人口总量居然十亿了么?粗翻一过。
评分前面问题分析部分还不错 最后的政策建议就开始满嘴跑火车了……
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