Irrational Exuberance pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024


Irrational Exuberance

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Robert J. Shiller
Princeton University Press
2005-2-22
304
USD 35.00
Hardcover
9780691123356

圖書標籤: 金融  Finance  經濟  經濟學  IrrationalExuberate  Economics  Shiller  CFA   


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发表于2024-08-03

Irrational Exuberance epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Irrational Exuberance epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Irrational Exuberance pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024



圖書描述

This first edition of this book was a broad study, drawing on a wide range of published research and historical evidence, of the enormous stock market boom that started around 1982 and picked up incredible speed after 1995. Although it took as its specific starting point this ongoing boom, it placed it in the context of stock market booms generally, and it also made concrete suggestions regarding policy changes that should be initiated in response to this and other such booms. The book argued that the boom represents a speculative bubble, not grounded in sensible economic fundamentals. Part one of the book considered structural factors behind the boom. A list of twelve precipitating factors that appear to be its ultimate causes was given. Amplification mechanisms, naturally-occurring Ponzi processes, that enlarge the effects of these precipitating factors, were described. Part Two discussed cultural factors, the effects of the news media, and of "new era" economic thinking. Part Three discussed psychological factors, psychological anchors for the market and herd behavior. Part Four discussed attempts to rationalize exuberance: efficient markets theory and theories that investors are learning. Part Five presented policy options and actions that should be taken. The second edition, 2005, added an analysis of the real estate bubble as similar to the stock market bubble that preceded it, and warned that "Significant further rises in these markets could lead, eventually, to even more significant declines. The bad outcome could be that eventual declines would result in a substantial increase in the rate of personal bankruptcies, which could lead to a secondary string of bankruptcies of financial institutions as well. Another long-run consequence could be a decline in consumer and business confidence, and another, possibly worldwide, recession." Thus, the second edition of this book was among the first to warn of the global financial crisis that began with the subprime mortgage debacle in 2007

點擊鏈接進入中文版:

非理性繁榮(第2版)

Irrational Exuberance 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

著者簡介

Robert J. Shiller is the Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at Yale University. He is author of "The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century" (Princeton) and "Market Volatility and Macro Markets", which won the 1996 Paul A. Samuelson Award.


圖書目錄


Irrational Exuberance pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載
想要找書就要到 小哈圖書下載中心
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
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用戶評價

評分

造紙選讀

評分

If one tries too hard to be precise, one runs the risk of being so narrow as to be irrelevant.

評分

If one tries too hard to be precise, one runs the risk of being so narrow as to be irrelevant.

評分

聽著席勒的Econ116,順便也看瞭看他2001年唱空故事、樓市的書,果然和聽他本人講課一個路數,喋喋絮絮的段子瞭麵講道理,而自己不顯示齣過多的感情,學者風範之餘有些《紐約客》式的冷幽默,。不過這本書不如《Animal Spirits》寫得好,太貼近“唱空市場”,雖然羅列數據、新聞、曆史,但不如前者對於市場中普通人的心理學、非理性總結、分析得那麼深刻。

評分

1. Psychological effects do play an important role in the stock market peaks (or troughs). Irrational exuberance does exist 2. Irrational exuberance cannot be eliminated. There are some possible solutions: more effective risk management by individuals, guidance and proper interest rate policy from monetary authorities and improved information flow.

讀後感

評分

用了两天的时间读完了《非理性繁荣》。想起本书成书于20世纪末,我不得不去佩服美国的一些经济学家所保有的清醒和冷静。再看看中国发展时间并不长的金融之路,我想,这本书给出了我们对股市更加有益的解读。虽然基于的是美国的具体国情,但是机理的阐述部分还是具有普遍...

評分

罗伯特.希勒的《非理性繁荣》对整个美国股市和楼市的梳理,论据充分、有条有理,不愧是大学问家的作品。而我越发觉得“地球上没有新事物”。一个对美国经济了解深刻的人对于世界其他地方的类似现象应该很容易把握,当然也越容易利用机会赚取财富。反推之,如果想了解当今中国的...  

評分

p24 对于房地产泡沫的分析比较全面。 p46 对于46岁年龄组的滑坡造成的2009年股市下降有点意思。不过新经济崛起的也很快。 p78 研究反馈和负反馈循环的混沌理论,可以解决股市泡沫的一些问题。 p178 流行病模型的重要性 还真是认真讨论了一下《股票长期趋势》一书。 (其实如果...  

評分

我2006年看的, 越看胆子越大, 68追的600150, 190出的. 不过要是没看过, 我不会在过去2年坚决不买房,不贷款, 不会那么坚决的在2008年初把70%的仓位买了2年国债,  

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