Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period in the global economy; it also captured the essence of Rubin himself--short on formality, quick to get into the nitty-gritty.
From his early years in the storied arbitrage department at Goldman Sachs to his current position as chairman of the executive committee of Citigroup, Robert Rubin has been a major figure at the center of the American financial system. He was a key player in the longest economic expansion in U.S. history. With In an Uncertain World , Rubin offers a shrewd, keen analysis of some of the most important events in recent American history and presents a clear, consistent approach to thinking about markets and dealing with the new risks of the global economy.
Rubin's fundamental philosophy is that nothing is provably certain. Probabilistic thinking has guided his career in both business and government. We see that discipline at work in meetings with President Clinton and Hillary Clinton, Chinese premier Zhu Rongji, Alan Greenspan, Lawrence Summers, Newt Gingrich, Sanford Weill, and the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan. We see Rubin apply it time and again while facing financial crises in Asia, Russia, and Brazil; the federal government shutdown; the rise and fall of the stock market; the challenges of the post-September 11 world; the ongoing struggle over fiscal policy; and many other momentous economic and political events.
With a compelling and candid voice and a sharp eye for detail, Rubin portrays the daily life of the White House-confronting matters both mighty and mundane--as astutely as he examines the challenges that lie ahead for the nation. Part political memoir, part prescriptive economic analysis, and part personal look at business problems, In an Uncertain World is a deep examination of Washington and Wall Street by a figure who for three decades has been at the center of both worlds.
From the Hardcover edition.
罗伯特·鲁宾(Robert Rubin):花旗银行执行董事会主席,美国克林顿时期财政部长(1995—1999),高盛公司董事会主席(1990—1992)。作者呈现给读者的是一本“借自传形式介绍政策的书籍”。书中以很短的篇幅回忆了童年时代和求学历程,随后描述他人生经历中的华彩篇章(高盛—白宫—花旗),阐述了他所笃信的“或然性理论”,也从一个侧面讲述了美国前总统克林顿的工作和生活。
作者经历高盛、白宫和花旗高职位,知道很多,经历丰富,才智过人。我们很多人就是冲着这点去读他的书,希望学到一招半式的。但是,大家想想,那三个地方很多机密是随意能透露的吗?作者作为领导者,能随便写在书上吗?且不说人际之间的利害关系,就以公司和政府的保密规定而言...
评分他说,对于他人生最为重要的一课,是哈佛时候的一门哲学课,which also turned out to become the title of the book. 其中还推荐了一本好书,the philosopher's holiday. 闲时可以怡情。 关于南美洲债务危机有深入的表述,对于今天以Dubai World和Greek的quasi-soverign和so...
评分墨西哥市场上这些消极影响不断自我强化。由于投资者担心汇率可能下跌,他们纷纷兑换美元,造成了政府外汇储备进一步减少。这进一步又加大了比索币值下跌的可能,并加剧了人们对政府无法还款的担心。政府作出的为保护投资者以美元计算的资产不受损失,而用比索偿还政府短期债券...
评分此书开篇,鲁宾就任财政部长的第一天,宣誓完毕,马上就到克林顿办公室开会,着手处理墨西哥债务危机。墨西哥危机的处理经过与当今时事想对照,实可以很好理解体会美国政治家应对危机的心路历程和美国政治的运作机制。 墨西哥长期靠引入外资、借贷外债维持经济发展,本已...
评分你如果想能这位前投资银行家、政治家的书里,找到任何确切的内幕或学习一招二式,我看很难。这本书唯一准确地告诉我们的就是一切都存在不确定性。 不过,我发现凡是那些在仕途中人,都喜欢我推荐的这种本。
这是一大串儿对冲基金经理的导师,不过我还是喜欢学者甚于这种人
评分你知道他有很多没有告诉你,也明白告诉你的很多其实都是烟幕,可以说出来的那些烟幕。
评分Think in long term!
评分最喜欢Rubin笔下学生时代书生意气的那段时光,赞同他的存在哲学和对不确定世界的看法
评分Key words: no proved certainty, probabilisitic thinking, confidence and credibility in handling a crisis. Greed, fear, complancency.
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