For more than half a century, the U.S. dollar has been not just America's currency but the world's. It is used globally by importers, exporters, investors, governments and central banks alike. Nearly three-quarters of all $100 bills circulate outside the United States. The dollar holdings of the Chinese government alone come to more than $1,000 per Chinese resident.
This dependence on dollars, by banks, corporations and governments around the world, is a source of strength for the United States. It is, as a critic of U.S. policies once put it, America's "exorbitant privilege." However, recent events have raised concerns that this soon may be a privilege lost. Among these have been the effects of the financial crisis and the Great Recession: high unemployment, record federal deficits, and financial distress. In addition there is the rise of challengers like the euro and China's renminbi. Some say that the dollar may soon cease to be the world's standard currency--which would depress American living standards and weaken the country's international influence.
In Exorbitant Privilege, one of our foremost economists, Barry Eichengreen, traces the rise of the dollar to international prominence over the course of the 20th century. He shows how the greenback dominated internationally in the second half of the century for the same reasons--and in the same way--that the United States dominated the global economy. But now, with the rise of China, India, Brazil and other emerging economies, America no longer towers over the global economy. It follows, Eichengreen argues, that the dollar will not be as dominant. But this does not mean that the coming changes will necessarily be sudden and dire--or that the dollar is doomed to lose its international status. Challenging the presumption that there is room for only one true global currency--either the dollar or something else--Eichengreen shows that several currencies have shared this international role over long periods. What was true in the distant past will be true, once again, in the not-too-distant future.
The dollar will lose its international currency status, Eichengreen warns, only if the United States repeats the mistakes that led to the financial crisis and only if it fails to put its fiscal and financial house in order. The greenback's fate hinges, in other words, not on the actions of the Chinese government but on economic policy decisions here in the United States.
Incisive, challenging and iconoclastic, Exorbitant Privilege is a fascinating analysis of the changes that lie ahead. It is a challenge, equally, to those who warn that the dollar is doomed and to those who regard its continuing dominance as inevitable.
- from Amazon.com
宋鸿兵的《货币战争》于2007年由中信出版社隆重推出,由于恰逢美国金融次贷危机深化之际,很多人对国际金融的阅读兴趣大增,加上中信出版社成功的营销策略,这本书很是火了一把。当时同时,很多国际金融学界的专家对这本书提出了不少专业方面的质疑。 不管这本《货...
评分蛮不错的一本金融货币方面的读物,通俗易懂,而逻辑清晰,即便像我这样非此专业非行内人士,也不难读懂,甚至一口气读完,有种受益匪浅的感觉。全书六个章节,分别是登场、主导、对抗、危机、垄断不再和美元崩溃。 1620年,英国异教徒登上马萨诸塞州开始殖民统治,随后独立战...
评分虽然我是一个患有严重数盲症的人,但每次看到那些研究货币的专家们仍然止不住的心潮澎湃,天知道上帝究竟给了他们什么样的大脑,就像我们文学本国有曹雪芹英国有莎士比亚并列为世界两大显学,但真正被推为经世之才的不过卡尔维诺等寥寥几人。可是你瞅瞅货币专家,《西欧金融史...
评分美元特权下美国至少有两个明显好处:一是每年享受一万亿美元的外国商品和服务,二是更大的地缘政治话语权。坏处就是在特里芬悖论下的常年贸易逆差。显然美国认为利大于弊,并希望一直维持这个局面。 作者最精彩的论述在最后一章,推演了美元崩溃的几种可能,不太可能的是中国的...
评分History of USD rising to global reserve curreny status explained; Author concludes USD will remain the single global reserve currency in the forseeable future, and its status will most likely be challenged by US domestic problem (e.g. unsustainable huge def...
从古至今
评分a pretty good overview of the dollar's history and its ups and downs
评分very intersting. 历史真不是直线的。
评分“Insofar as foreign banks and firms value the convenience of dollar securities, they are willing to pay more to obtain them... the interest that the United Sates must pay on its foreign liabilities is two to three percentage points less than the rate of return on its foreign investment, the U.S. can run an external deficit.”
评分“Insofar as foreign banks and firms value the convenience of dollar securities, they are willing to pay more to obtain them... the interest that the United Sates must pay on its foreign liabilities is two to three percentage points less than the rate of return on its foreign investment, the U.S. can run an external deficit.”
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