It’s no wonder that project managers spend so much time focusing their attention on risk identification. Important projects tend to be time constrained, pose huge technical challenges, and suffer from a lack of adequate resources. Identifying and Managing Project Risk , now updated and consistent with the very latest Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK)® Guide, takes readers through every phase of a project, showing them how to consider the possible risks involved at every point in the process. Drawing on real-world situations and hundreds of examples, the book outlines proven methods, demonstrating key ideas for project risk planning and showing how to use high-level risk assessment tools. Analyzing aspects such as available resources, project scope, and scheduling, this new edition also explores the growing area of Enterprise Risk Management. Comprehensive and completely up-to-date, this book helps readers determine risk factors thoroughly and decisively…before a project gets derailed.
From the Inside Flap
As a project manager, you know that complicated projects are inherently risky business. Between time constraints, technical challenges, and resource difficulties, things that can go wrong often do—which is why one of the most important parts of your job is considering the possible risks involved at every point in the process. Fully updated and consistent with the very latest Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Identifying and Managing Project Risk takes you through every phase of a project, helping you guard against failure by improving and increasing your risk analysis capabilities. The book outlines proven methods for project risk planning, drawing on real world situations and hundreds of examples—including what many once considered a truly impossible project, the Panama Canal—to demonstrate key ideas in the risk management process. You’ll learn how to use high level risk assessment tools, implement a complete system for monitoring and controlling projects, and properly document every possible consideration. The book contains sections on the different types of risk to consider when planning; how to identify key issues associated with project metrics; activity sequencing; Work Breakdown Structure (WBS); analysis of scale; and cost estimating and budgeting. Identifying and Managing Project Risk outlines the essential concepts involved in project risk planning and provides indispensable details and advice on topics such as: -The benefits and uses of risk data -Setting limits and defining deliverables -Procurement planning and source selection -Constraint management and risk discovery -Quantitative and qualitative analysis -Project simulation and modeling And much more Analyzing aspects such as available resources, project scope, and scheduling, this new edition also explores the growing area of Enterprise Risk Management as well as other important new developments in the field. This valuable resource moves beyond risk management basics involving insurance, financial, and investment portfolio risk to examine areas like information technology, software engineering, product development, and other high tech fields, giving you a well-rounded understanding of what goes into making project risk identification a crucial element of project management strategy. Your ability to identify and manage project risk is necessary for the smooth and successful completion of all projects, regardless of size, type, or scope. This book will help you eliminate surprises and transform risk into a variable you can manage and keep safely under control. Comprehensive and completely up-to-date, Identifying and Managing Project Risk helps you determine risk factors thoroughly and decisively…before a project gets derailed. Tom Kendrick, PMP, is an internal project management consultant for Visa Inc. and the author of Results Without Authority. He has more than 30 years of project management experience, 12 of which were spent as a part of the Hewlett-Packard Project Management Initiative. He lives in San Carlos, California.
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我一直认为,风险管理不仅仅是技术层面的知识,更是一种心态,一种对不确定性的积极应对。这本书恰恰捕捉到了这一点。作者在书中反复强调了“风险导向思维”的重要性,鼓励项目经理要时刻保持警觉,主动拥抱变化,并把风险视为提升项目成功率的机会。他所倡导的“将风险转化为机遇”的理念,让我觉得这不仅仅是一本技术书籍,更是一本能够启发思维、提升职业素养的著作。
评分我一直认为,真正的专业书籍不应该只是知识的堆砌,而应该是一种引导,一种思维方式的启蒙。这本书恰恰做到了这一点。作者并没有把我当作一个需要被填鸭式灌输知识的学生,而是像一位经验丰富的导师,循循善诱地引导我一步步理解风险的本质,以及如何系统地去识别、分析和应对它们。他对于风险分类的深入剖析,从技术风险、市场风险到管理风险,再到财务风险,每一种都进行了详尽的阐述,并给出了相应的识别工具和方法。我尤其欣赏作者在风险分析部分所采用的“多维度审视”的方法,他强调不能仅仅从概率和影响两个维度来评估风险,还需要考虑风险的相互作用、风险的发生场景以及风险的潜在蔓延效应。
评分最令我称道的是,这本书在风险应对策略的讲解上,做到了既有宏观的框架,又有微观的操作指南。作者并没有提供一套万能的“灵丹妙药”,而是强调要根据具体项目的特点和风险的性质来制定最合适的应对策略。无论是规避、转移、减轻还是接受,每一种策略都配有具体的案例说明,让我能够清晰地理解其应用场景和执行要点。例如,在讲解风险转移时,作者详细介绍了保险、合同条款等具体工具的使用方法,并提醒读者要注意转移风险时可能产生的成本和新的潜在风险。这种贴近实际的讲解,让我感觉自己不仅仅是在阅读一本书,更像是在参加一个高质量的实战培训。
评分这本书并非只是陈述理论,更像是为项目经理提供了一套完善的“工具箱”。我特别喜欢其中关于“风险审计”和“经验教训总结”的部分。作者并没有把风险管理仅仅看作是项目启动和执行阶段的任务,而是强调它是一个贯穿项目始终的持续性过程。他详细介绍了如何在项目结束时进行全面的风险回顾,分析哪些风险被成功预测和管理,哪些风险被遗漏,以及从中吸取哪些经验教训,为未来的项目提供借鉴。这种“闭环”的管理思路,让我觉得风险管理不再是一个孤立的活动,而是真正融入了项目管理的整体流程。
评分我是一个对细节比较在意的人,尤其是在学习新知识的时候。这本书在这一点上做得非常出色。作者在描述各种风险管理工具和技术时,都力求做到“形神兼备”。比如,在讲解风险登记册(Risk Register)的构建时,他不仅列出了应该包含的关键信息字段,还提供了几种不同风格的模板,并解释了每种模板的优缺点以及适用的项目类型。此外,他还详细阐述了蒙特卡洛模拟(Monte Carlo Simulation)等定量风险分析方法的原理和应用,并且通过图示的方式,让我这个非统计学专业出身的读者也能轻松理解其背后的逻辑。
评分这本书的封面设计令人印象深刻,那种深邃的蓝色和中央那个若隐若现的迷宫图案,瞬间就勾起了我阅读的兴趣。在拿到这本书之前,我对项目风险管理这个概念一直停留在比较模糊的层面,感觉它就像是一种“未雨绸缪”的哲学,虽然重要,但具体操作起来总有些摸不着头绪。然而,当我翻开第一页,我就被作者那种严谨而又不失生动的笔触深深吸引了。作者并没有直接抛出枯燥的理论,而是通过一些生动有趣的案例,比如一个初创公司如何因为忽视了潜在的供应链中断风险而导致产品发布延误,或者一个大型基建项目如何因为未充分评估地质条件风险而超出了预算和工期,这些鲜活的例子让我立刻感受到风险管理在实际项目中的重要性。
评分作为一名刚刚步入项目管理领域的初学者,我曾对风险管理感到有些畏惧,觉得它过于复杂和抽象。然而,在阅读了这本书之后,我的这种顾虑烟消云散。作者的语言风格非常亲切,他用通俗易懂的语言解释了复杂的概念,并且避免了过多的行业术语,让我这个初学者也能轻松理解。书中穿插的各种图表和流程图,更是将抽象的知识具象化,大大降低了学习的难度。我感觉这本书不仅仅是教我如何管理风险,更是让我明白了如何以一种更自信、更积极的态度去面对项目中的挑战。
评分这本书的论述逻辑严谨,条理清晰,让我在阅读的过程中始终保持着高度的专注。作者在介绍每个概念时,都会先给出明确的定义,然后阐述其重要性,再详细说明其应用方法,最后通过案例进行佐证。这种“递进式”的学习方式,让我能够循序渐进地掌握知识,并且能够清晰地理解不同概念之间的联系。尤其是在风险监控和控制部分,作者详细介绍了风险发生的预警信号、纠正措施的制定与执行,以及如何根据项目进展动态调整风险管理计划,让我明白了风险管理并非一成不变,而是需要根据实际情况进行灵活调整的。
评分在阅读这本书的过程中,我最大的感受就是作者的“同理心”。他深知读者在学习风险管理过程中可能遇到的困惑和难点,并巧妙地通过各种方式来解答这些疑问。例如,在讨论风险的量化时,他预见到读者可能会对主观判断的准确性产生疑虑,因此他花了相当篇幅来介绍如何通过专家访谈、德尔菲法(Delphi Method)等方式来提高风险评估的客观性和可靠性。他还特别强调了风险沟通的重要性,指出清晰、及时的沟通是有效风险管理的关键,并提供了一些实用的沟通技巧和模板,让我受益匪浅。
评分我之前在一些项目中,经常会遇到一些突发情况,虽然感觉不妙,但却很难说清楚具体是什么问题,也不知道该如何有效地应对。这本书就像是为我打开了一扇新的大门。作者在“风险识别”章节中,详细介绍了头脑风暴、SWOT分析、检查清单等多种方法,并且强调了要从项目的各个层面、各个阶段去挖掘潜在的风险。他鼓励我跳出思维定势,去思考那些“不可能发生”的事情,因为很多时候,最严重的风险恰恰隐藏在最容易被忽视的角落。
评分比上一本例子多些语言生动些,所以总体更有趣些,但语言风格不如上本简洁好懂,native speaker读起来会happy些;可以在上本的基础上作为进阶读物~
评分比上一本例子多些语言生动些,所以总体更有趣些,但语言风格不如上本简洁好懂,native speaker读起来会happy些;可以在上本的基础上作为进阶读物~
评分比上一本例子多些语言生动些,所以总体更有趣些,但语言风格不如上本简洁好懂,native speaker读起来会happy些;可以在上本的基础上作为进阶读物~
评分比上一本例子多些语言生动些,所以总体更有趣些,但语言风格不如上本简洁好懂,native speaker读起来会happy些;可以在上本的基础上作为进阶读物~
评分比上一本例子多些语言生动些,所以总体更有趣些,但语言风格不如上本简洁好懂,native speaker读起来会happy些;可以在上本的基础上作为进阶读物~
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