图书标签: 概率统计 概率 数学文化 科普 科学文化 概率论 文化 数学史
发表于2024-12-25
Ten Great Ideas about Chance pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024
In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact.
Persi Diaconis and Brian Skyrms begin with Girolamo Cardano, a sixteenth-century physician, mathematician, and professional gambler who helped develop the idea that chance can actually be measured. They describe how later thinkers showed how the judgment of chance can also be measured, how frequency is related to chance, and how chance, judgment, and frequency could be unified. Diaconis and Skyrms explain how Thomas Bayes laid the foundation of modern statistics, and they explore David Hume’s problem of induction, Andrey Kolmogorov’s general mathematical framework for probability, the application of computability to chance, and why chance is essential to modern physics. A final idea—that we are psychologically predisposed to error when judging chance—is taken up through the work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky.
Complete with a brief probability refresher, Ten Great Ideas about Chance is certain to be a hit with anyone who wants to understand the secrets of probability and how they were discovered.
Persi Diaconis is the Mary V. Sunseri Professor of Statistics and Mathematics at Stanford University and the coauthor of Magical Mathematics: The Mathematical Ideas That Animate Great Magic Tricks (Princeton).
Brian Skyrms is Distinguished Professor in the Department of Logic and Philosophy at the University of California, Irvine, and Professor of Philosophy at Stanford University. His books include From Zeno to Arbitrage.
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评分第一次看数学书感觉到了语言上(英文)有这么大的障碍,我想可能得原因是作者用了很大的篇幅来描述逻辑上如何破除错误的概念,这对语言理解的精确性要求太高了。
本书的阅读会为普通读者带来比较大的挑战。 书名大概是为了蹭N堂极简xx课的热度,因此被翻译成了10堂极简概率课! 但是拿到手翻了翻就一脸懵逼了! 这一点儿也不极简啊!!! 原书是这一本:概率论的10个伟大思想 [Ten Great Ideas about Chance] 作者在前言中是这样写的 这本...
评分 评分本书的阅读会为普通读者带来比较大的挑战。 书名大概是为了蹭N堂极简xx课的热度,因此被翻译成了10堂极简概率课! 但是拿到手翻了翻就一脸懵逼了! 这一点儿也不极简啊!!! 原书是这一本:概率论的10个伟大思想 [Ten Great Ideas about Chance] 作者在前言中是这样写的 这本...
评分本书的阅读会为普通读者带来比较大的挑战。 书名大概是为了蹭N堂极简xx课的热度,因此被翻译成了10堂极简概率课! 但是拿到手翻了翻就一脸懵逼了! 这一点儿也不极简啊!!! 原书是这一本:概率论的10个伟大思想 [Ten Great Ideas about Chance] 作者在前言中是这样写的 这本...
Ten Great Ideas about Chance pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024