Antifragile

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.

出版者:Random House
作者:Nassim Nicholas Taleb
出品人:
页数:544
译者:
出版时间:2012-11-27
价格:USD 30.00
装帧:Hardcover
isbn号码:9781400067824
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 思维 
  • 心理学 
  • 社会学 
  • 哲学 
  • 英文原版 
  • Taleb 
  • 经济学 
  • 美国 
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From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how some things actually benefit from disorder.

In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and in Antifragile he offers a definitive solution: how to gain from disorder and chaos while being protected from fragilities and adverse events. For what Taleb calls the “antifragile” is actually beyond the robust, because it benefits from shocks, uncertainty, and stressors, just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension. The antifragile needs disorder in order to survive and flourish.

Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is immune to prediction errors. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is everything that is both modern and complicated bound to fail? The book spans innovation by trial and error, health, biology, medicine, life decisions, politics, foreign policy, urban planning, war, personal finance, and economic systems. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are heard loud and clear.

Extremely ambitious and multidisciplinary, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to behave—and thrive—in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to understand and predict. Erudite and witty, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: What is not antifragile will surely perish.

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读后感

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我们似乎生在一个充满动荡的世界中:大到地震海啸次贷危机,小到夫妻吵架邻里不和,生活中总是充满了意外和不安。每个个体都好似一叶扁舟——很不幸的是,你要航行在大海中,要面对的却是不知何时会袭来的滔天巨浪。 如何在这样的世界里让自己活得更好,是许多人关心的问题...  

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如果说《Fooled by Randomness》是线性叙事,讨论的是随机性问题,《The Black Swan》讨论的是重复叙事,讨论的是肥尾效应,《The Bed of Procrustes》是随机叙事,讨论的是各种奇葩的人生哲学,那么畅销作家Nicholas Nassim Taleb的新书《Antifragile》则是集大成者。 《Anti...  

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如果说《Fooled by Randomness》是线性叙事,讨论的是随机性问题,《The Black Swan》讨论的是重复叙事,讨论的是肥尾效应,《The Bed of Procrustes》是随机叙事,讨论的是各种奇葩的人生哲学,那么畅销作家Nicholas Nassim Taleb的新书《Antifragile》则是集大成者。 《Anti...  

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《反脆弱》是一本很容易引起误读的书。《黑天鹅》、《随机致富的傻瓜》更正了大部分人的决定论的或者机械论的旧世界观,但实际上,二战前后,几乎没有一个西方学科不是采取概率论和统计学的世界观了,换言之,西方在二战后,有一个世界观和方法论的革命,只是由于特殊的原因,...  

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0p 脆弱的事物喜欢安宁的环境,反脆弱的事物则从混乱中成长,强韧的事物不太在意环境。 0p 反脆弱性:从冲击中受益,暴露在波动性、随机性、混乱和压力、风险和不确定性下时,反而能茁壮成长和壮大,从随机事件中获得有利结果。 0p 风会熄灭蜡烛,却能使火越烧越旺...  

用户评价

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他最后把fat tony写死了必然是想道出antifragile的终极奥义,但驽钝的我只觉得他自抽了好几个大嘴巴!(一句话剧透盒盒盒)

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他最后把fat tony写死了必然是想道出antifragile的终极奥义,但驽钝的我只觉得他自抽了好几个大嘴巴!(一句话剧透盒盒盒)

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非常牛逼,我预感「反脆弱」这个词会在明年掀起新的潮流。

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还是改不了看见愚蠢比喻就全盘否定的坏毛病

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又一本好书

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