Bursts pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載2025

Can we scientifically predict our future? Scientists and pseudoscientists have been pursuing this mystery for hundreds and perhaps thousands of years. But now, amazing new research is revealing that patterns in human behavior, previously thought to be purely random, follow predictable laws.

Albert-László Barabási, already the world's preeminent researcher on the science of networks, describes his work on this profound mystery in Bursts , a stunningly original investigation into human behavior. His approach relies on the way our lives have become digital. Mobile phones, the Internet, and e-mail have made human activities more accessible to quantitative analysis, turning our society into a huge research laboratory. All those electronic trails of time- stamped texts, voice mails, and searches add up to a previously unavailable massive data set that tracks our movements, our decisions, our lives. Analysis of these trails is offering deep insights into the rhythm of how we do everything. His finding? We work and fight and play in short flourishes of activity followed by next to nothing. Our daily pattern isn't random, it's "bursty." Bursts uncovers an astonishing deep order in our actions that makes us far more predictable than we like to think.

Illustrating this revolutionary science, Barabási artfully weaves together the story of a sixteenth-century burst of human activity-a bloody medieval crusade launched in his homeland, Transylvania-with the modern tale of a contemporary artist hunted by the FBI through our post-9/11 surveillance society. These narratives illustrate how predicting human behavior has long been the obsession, sometimes the duty, of those in power. Barabási's wide range of examples from seemingly unrelated areas includes how dollar bills move around the United States, the pattern everyone follows in writing e-mail, the spread of epidemics, and even the flight patterns of albatross. In all these phenomena a virtually identical bursty pattern emerges, a reflection of the universality of human behavior.

Bursts reveals where individual spontaneity ends and predictability in human behavior begins. The way you think about your own potential to do something truly extraordinary will never be the same.

艾伯特-拉斯洛•巴拉巴西（Albert-Laszlo Barabasi）

 全球復雜網絡研究權威，無尺度網絡的創立者。美國物理學會院士，匈牙利科學院院士，歐洲科學院會員，美國東北大學教授，網絡科學研究中心的創始人、主任，同時任職於哈佛大學媒體學院醫學係，並擔任丹那-法 伯癌癥研究所癌癥係統生物學中心的研究員。

 Barabasi提齣無尺度網絡模型，2006年因此榮獲瞭匈牙利計算機學會頒發的馮•諾依曼金質奬章，是建立基於網絡共性的統一科學理論的先行者，是復雜網絡界引述最多的科學傢。

 世界著名科技雜誌《popular science》雜誌稱贊 Barabasi“他可以控製世界”。