圖書標籤: 金融 經濟 經濟學 經濟危機 債務 經濟周期 投資 經濟金融
发表于2025-05-31
Big Debt Crises pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
"Ray Dalio's excellent study provides an innovative way of thinking about debt crises and the policy response." - Ben Bernanke
"Ray Dalio's book is must reading for anyone who aspires to prevent or manage through the next financial crisis." - Larry Summers
"A terrific piece of work from one of the world's top investors who has devoted his life to understanding markets and demonstrated that understanding by navigating the 2008 financial crisis well." - Hank Paulson
"An outstanding history of financial crises, including the devastating crisis of 2008, with a very valuable framework for understanding why the engine of the financial system occasionally breaks down, and what types of policy actions by central banks and governments are necessary to resolve systemic financial crises. This should serve as a play book for future policy makers, with practical guidance about what to do and what not to do." - Tim Geithner
On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, one of the world's most successful investors, Ray Dalio, shares his unique template for how debt crises work and principles for dealing with them well. This template allowed his firm, Bridgewater Associates, to anticipate events and navigate them well while others struggled badly.
As he explained in his #1 New York Times Bestseller, Principles: Life & Work, Dalio believes that most everything happens over and over again through time so that by studying their patterns one can understand the cause-effect relationships behind them and develop principles for dealing with them well. In this 3-part research series, he does that for big debt crises and shares his template in the hopes reducing the chances of big debt crises happening and helping them be better managed in the future.
The template comes in three parts provided in three books: 1) The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle (which explains the template), 2) 3 Detailed Cases (which examines in depth the 2008 financial crisis, the 1930's Great Depression, and the 1920's inflationary depression of Germany's Weimar Republic), and 3) Compendium of 48 Cases (which is a compendium of charts and brief descriptions of the worst debt crises of the last 100 years). Whether you're an investor, a policy maker, or are simply interested, the unconventional perspective of one of the few people who navigated the crises successfully, A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises will help you understand the economy and markets in revealing new ways.
Ray Dalio is the founder, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Co-Chairman of Bridgewater Associates. Bridgewater is a global asset manager and leader in institutional portfolio management as well as the largest hedge fund in the world. Under Ray s guidance, Bridgewater has developed a distinctive culture, an idea-meritocracy that produces meaningful work and meaningful relationships through radical truth and radical transparency that is the foundation of the firm s success. Since starting Bridgewater out of his two-bedroom apartment in New York in 1975, Ray has grown the firm into the largest hedge fund in the world, the 5th most important company in the U.S. according to Fortune Magazine, and has led it to make more money for clients than any other hedge fund since its inception, according to LCH Investments. For his innovative work as well as being a valued advisor to many global policy makers, Ray has also been called the Steve Jobs of Investing by CIO Magazine and Wired Magazine, and been named one of TIME Magazine s 100 Most Influential People. Over the past three decades, he wrote down his decision-making criteria and has recently passed along his principles and tools through his book, Principles: Life & Work, a New York Times #1 Bestseller and Amazon #1 Business Book of 2017.
草草讀過一遍,感覺第二部分,三個案例部分很好。最後第三部分就沒有什麼看的必要瞭。
評分Type of books only Dalio can write
評分乾貨滿滿。deflationary/inflationary debt crises的兩個框架搭得很好,三個具體例子(德國1918,美國1928,美國2007)是對框架詳盡的運用,分析詳細,包括從宏觀、政策製定者、和普羅大眾的各個角度進行,比較全麵。掃過後麵48個例子概況。
評分草草讀過一遍,感覺第二部分,三個案例部分很好。最後第三部分就沒有什麼看的必要瞭。
評分通過對曆史上債務危機的研究,Ray Dalio和橋水分享瞭理解債務危機運行的模闆。書中將債務危機分為兩大類:通縮型債務危機(本幣計價債務)和通脹型債務危機(外幣計價債務,不容易化解),而減債/去杠杆的措施Ray在之前提過很多次,分彆是緊縮、債務違約/重組、QE和印鈔票、財富轉移再分配(這一條是新增加的),如果政策製定者能夠快速反應並運用好手中工具,能夠實現化解債務危機。其中對魏瑪德國惡性通脹、大蕭條和次貸危機進行瞭非常詳細的解讀,可以感覺齣來Ray對次貸危機後美聯儲和財政部的應對措施極其欣賞。附錄介紹的宏觀審慎政策工具,本質就是指導信貸局部調整,其中一條Changing accounting rules on different assets,這就是20天前人民銀行重啓的“逆周期因子”吧。。
在推荐这本书之前,我想告诉大家为什么每一个人都应该读一下达利欧的书。如果你不是一个金融从业人员,或者对投资并不感兴趣,那么我建议你还是去看一下达利欧的《原则》。这本书最可贵的一点是,提供了一个系统性的思维方式。无论是人生还是投资,我们都必须用“系统”去看待...
評分徐瑾 当2008年金融危机过去十年,全球关于债务的担忧始终存在。债务到底是什么?债务问题如何解决?中国在其中又扮演什么角色? 债务的本质,其实就是钱,或者说货币。全球最大对冲基金公司桥水创始人达利欧,书中货币、债务和信贷总是被一同提起。他将三者关系如下定义,“信...
評分去年下半年,有幸跟全国较为优秀的出版集团中信和全球较为优秀的对冲基金桥水合作(此表述符合《新广告法》规定),参与桥水创始人瑞·达利欧(Ray Dalio)Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises一书的翻译。时隔数月,中文名定为《债务危机》的一书终得出版,今年3月在京...
評分此书出版于2018年,彼时美国股市在长达近十年的扩张后刚刚开始有波动性陡增的现象,贸易战刚刚打响,乐观派依旧相信协议就快达成。经济衰退的声音还没有像现在这样甚嚣尘上。大半年后今天,中美贸易摩擦加剧,大多数人看不到贸易战的尽头;美国利率曲线已经倒挂,长端利率创史...
評分《债务危机》由桥水基金创始人瑞·达里奥所著。全书分为三个部分,第一部分介绍了债务大周期模型;第二部分详细讲述了三个债务危机案例,分别是一战后的德国、1929经济危机的美国和2008金融危机的美国;第三部分为发生在全球各国的48个债务危机概要。 信贷周期 信贷周期的产生...
Big Debt Crises pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025