圖書標籤: 美國 經濟史 經濟學 曆史 經濟 社會-經濟史 英文原版 美國研究
发表于2024-12-22
The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
“We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters.”
評分一部悲觀現實主義美國經濟學史 美國經濟遇到的很多問題,分析這些問題,不僅僅對美國人有意義,整個全球經濟都可能會遇到相似的挑戰。那麼迴顧美國增長的起落,對我們有什麼啓示?如果美國經濟增速放緩,意味著中國的經濟增速早晚也會放緩,因為我們也會遇到相似的“頂頭風”。狂飆突進的高速經濟增長時代已經一去不復返瞭,再去追求過高的經濟增長速度,已經沒有任何意義。我們已經跑完瞭400米跨欄,現在比的是跑馬拉鬆。不能再按照跑跨欄的節奏參加比賽瞭,未來的競賽,比的是耐力和毅力,更重要的是要保持長期、穩定、持續和平衡的經濟發展。
評分易讀。
評分“We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters.”
評分這本書實在太長瞭,其實作為一篇文章更好。書很沉,每天拿著讀完後,壓得左手無名指和小指都疼。第一部分還好些,說的時代早些;第二部分讀的很乏味。每章前後的概括和總結很囉嗦。主要結論就是某些發明創造比其它發明更重要,而重要的發明隻能發明一次。1920-1970年間生産率提高很快,年化2.8%,主要是此前第二次工業革命帶來的影響,而1970年後的技術進步主要集中在娛樂、通訊和信息處理,影響較窄,衣食住行、醫療、工作環境等方麵的進步有限,從而導緻生産率增長放緩。放眼未來,由於不平等、教育、人口結構和債務問題,未來增長會更具挑戰。但這本書對過去研究很細並不錶明其能預測未來。未來技術突破的程度和快慢,誰有把握能說準呢?比如在醫療方麵,人類正處在攻剋癌癥的前夜,新的技術已不局限於上世紀50年代的瞭。
这不是个完整的书评。主要是看了豆瓣上的短评觉得误解很多,所以忍不住想澄清一下。如果你只是想了解下这本书对最新增长研究的影响,可以只看 section 二,3)。 如果没时间读书,可以看Gordon 12年的 nber working paper 。 一,Brief summary of the book: 1) From Growth to...
評分The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024