The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書下載2025

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出版者:Princeton University Press

作者:Robert J. Gordon

出品人:

頁數:784

译者:

出版時間:2016-1-12

價格:USD 39.95

裝幀:Hardcover

isbn號碼:9780691147727

叢書系列:Princeton Economic History of the Western World

圖書標籤:

美國
經濟史
經濟學
曆史
經濟
社會-經濟史
英文原版
美國研究
經濟史
美國
增長理論
曆史變遷
宏觀經濟學
社會發展
産業演變
資本主義
政策分析
繁榮與衰退

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具體描述

In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?

Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.

A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.

著者簡介

Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.

圖書目錄

Preface ix
1. Introduction: The Ascent and Descent of Growth 1
PART I. 1870-1940-THE GREAT INVENTIONS CREATE A REVOLUTION INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE HOME 25
2. The Starting Point: Life and Work in 1870 27
3. What They Ate and Wore and Where They Bought It 62
4. The American Home: From Dark and Isolated to Bright and Networked 94
5. Motors Overtake Horses and Rail: Inventions and Incremental Improvements 129
6. From Telegraph to Talkies: Information, Communication, and Entertainment 172
7. Nasty, Brutish, and Short: Illness and Early Death 206
8. Working Conditions on the Job and at Home 247
9. Taking and Mitigating Risks: Consumer Credit, Insurance, and the Government 288
Entr'acte. The Midcentury Shift from Revolution to Evolution 319
PART II. 1940-2015-THE GOLDEN AGE AND THE EARLY WARNINGS OF SLOWER GROWTH 329
10. Fast Food, Synthetic Fibers, and Split-Level Subdivisions: The Slowing Transformation of Food, Clothing, and Housing 331
11. See the USA in Your Chevrolet or from a Plane Flying High Above 374
12. Entertainment and Communications from Milton Berle to the iPhone 409
13. Computers and the Internet from the Mainframe to Facebook 441
14. Antibiotics, CT Scans, and the Evolution of Health and Medicine 461
15. Work, Youth, and Retirement at Home and on the Job 498
Entr'acte. Toward an Understanding of Slower Growth 522
PART III. THE SOURCES OF FASTER AND SLOWER GROWTH 533
16. The Great Leap Forward from the 1920s to the 1950s: What Set of Miracles Created It? 535
17. Innovation: Can the Future Match the Great Inventions of the Past? 566
18. Inequality and the Other Headwinds: Long-Run American Economic Growth Slows to a Crawl 605
Postscript: America's Growth Achievement and the Path Ahead 641
Acknowledgments 653 Data Appendix 657 Notes 667
References 717 Credits 741 Index 745
· · · · · · (收起)

讀後感

評分☆☆☆☆☆

好书，花了近10天才勉强啃完的大部头。资料很翔实，可以做工具书了。涉及的范围很广，到后面有点看不下去。每章开头有引言，然后分开论述，最后再有一节小结。经济增长并不是一个又一个世纪以不变速度创造经济进步的稳态过程。1700年之前的上千年几乎没有经济增长，在1870年之...

評分☆☆☆☆☆

1870年到1970年的百年特殊时期，大萧条和二战促进的“大跨越”奇迹关于吃：食品法案改善了食品行业卫生条件住：电灯，发电站，电话带来革命性变化行：福特流水线使汽车普及速度惊人，1969年已出现波音737机型综上：现代美国人的生活方式在1970粘已经基本定型。现在的基本生...

評分☆☆☆☆☆

这不是个完整的书评。主要是看了豆瓣上的短评觉得误解很多，所以忍不住想澄清一下。如果你只是想了解下这本书对最新增长研究的影响，可以只看 section 二，3）。如果没时间读书，可以看Gordon 12年的 nber working paper 。一，Brief summary of the book: 1) From Growth to...

評分☆☆☆☆☆

用戶評價

评分☆☆☆☆☆

看完之後意識到這本書麵嚮的群體是估計是大眾……圖錶簡單，描述詳盡，也不需要太多製度背景。對於普通美國傢庭從1870年到2014年生活變遷史的描寫尤其精彩。不過因為作者是做宏觀的，對相當多的微觀美國經濟史研究也沒有考慮，所以一些結論和政策建議我隻能打個問號。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

這本書是顛覆性的，作者挑戰現代經濟增長理論的兩個根本假設，消費等於生活標準(Solow56, Swan56)和技術進步(Romer86,90)。在全世界的增長大牛都在努力迴應這本書的時候(acemoglu, aghion, bloom, klenow, jones, van reenen,...)，豆瓣評分7.8？

评分☆☆☆☆☆

讀瞭基本論點，大緻瞭解美國社會基本發展情況。不得不感慨，穿越個啥啊，生活在現代世界的我們如果穿越迴古代，脫離瞭工業社會的種種便利，根本就是廢柴。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

按照戈登的理論，從1870年開始的一個世紀真的是個神奇的世紀，至少對美國來說是這樣的。經濟發展惠及每個傢庭，所有人的生活水平都齣現瞭質的飛躍，而其根源則是一係列偉大的創新。這些創新當然沒有我們今天說起人工智能所感覺到的那樣苦，但這些創新更實際，對每個人的影響也更大。中國在過去四十年中經曆的也是這樣的黃金時代，隻是我們更多運用瞭移植而不是發明。但是，什麼時候能再有這樣的黃金時代？沒人知道。