圖書標籤: 美國 經濟史 經濟學 曆史 經濟 社會-經濟史 英文原版 美國研究
发表于2025-05-05
The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
這本書是顛覆性的,作者挑戰現代經濟增長理論的兩個根本假設,消費等於生活標準(Solow56, Swan56)和技術進步(Romer86,90)。在全世界的增長大牛都在努力迴應這本書的時候(acemoglu, aghion, bloom, klenow, jones, van reenen,...),豆瓣評分7.8?
評分優點和缺點都在於細節多,大量描述數據捕捉不到的生活質量提升,詳盡但有點像冗長主觀的憶苦思甜錄。至於對未來的預測,隨便一看就好。
評分看完之後意識到這本書麵嚮的群體是估計是大眾……圖錶簡單,描述詳盡,也不需要太多製度背景。對於普通美國傢庭從1870年到2014年生活變遷史的描寫尤其精彩。不過因為作者是做宏觀的,對相當多的微觀美國經濟史研究也沒有考慮,所以一些結論和政策建議我隻能打個問號。
評分“We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters.”
評分讀瞭基本論點,大緻瞭解美國社會基本發展情況。不得不感慨,穿越個啥啊,生活在現代世界的我們如果穿越迴古代,脫離瞭工業社會的種種便利,根本就是廢柴。
这是一本比较难读的书,里面汇总了大量的数据和图表,读起来的时候需要人非常的专注,要求有很高的关注度,这种长时间的阅读真是对自己的一种考验,还好,断断续续,一章一章的,慢慢的读完啦,还是比较要成就感。 比较起美国初期的生活条件,我们现在的生活还是幸福很多,但是...
評分格雷厄姆的方法难度更低,但对于百亿级以下的资金量来说,收益却没有更低。就性价比来说,很明显格雷厄姆的方法更好。以巴菲特后期的资金量而言,寻找低估企业的方法容量已经不够了。大家千万不要去学后期的巴菲特,不光难度高,收益还低(巴菲特投资生涯的后半段,收益率的下...
評分好书,花了近10天才勉强啃完的大部头。资料很翔实,可以做工具书了。涉及的范围很广,到后面有点看不下去。每章开头有引言,然后分开论述,最后再有一节小结。经济增长并不是一个又一个世纪以不变速度创造经济进步的稳态过程。1700年之前的上千年几乎没有经济增长,在1870年之...
評分本书作者罗伯特·戈登是美国西北大学社会科学教授, 是一名主要研究通货膨胀、失业和生产力的专家。 这是一本关于美国内战之后, 美国经济增长起落的书。 用大量数据表现了随着时间推移, 美国经过1870-1970年一个世纪的快速而持久的增长后, 开始出现了经济增速下降, 引起下...
評分这不是个完整的书评。主要是看了豆瓣上的短评觉得误解很多,所以忍不住想澄清一下。如果你只是想了解下这本书对最新增长研究的影响,可以只看 section 二,3)。 如果没时间读书,可以看Gordon 12年的 nber working paper 。 一,Brief summary of the book: 1) From Growth to...
The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025