图书标签: 美国 经济史 经济学 历史 经济 社会-经济史 英文原版 美国研究
发表于2025-04-28
The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
易读。
评分这本书是颠覆性的,作者挑战现代经济增长理论的两个根本假设,消费等于生活标准(Solow56, Swan56)和技术进步(Romer86,90)。在全世界的增长大牛都在努力回应这本书的时候(acemoglu, aghion, bloom, klenow, jones, van reenen,...),豆瓣评分7.8?
评分易读。
评分优点和缺点都在于细节多,大量描述数据捕捉不到的生活质量提升,详尽但有点像冗长主观的忆苦思甜录。至于对未来的预测,随便一看就好。
评分看完之后意识到这本书面向的群体是估计是大众……图表简单,描述详尽,也不需要太多制度背景。对于普通美国家庭从1870年到2014年生活变迁史的描写尤其精彩。不过因为作者是做宏观的,对相当多的微观美国经济史研究也没有考虑,所以一些结论和政策建议我只能打个问号。
第一部分为了追求全面,所以内容都是一带而过,大篇幅的年份,数据,流水账式的叙述,比较劝退。以19世纪末20世纪初的技术变革作为基础,几十年间整个人类社会得以飞速发展。引用书里引用的台词“托托,我感觉我们已经不在堪萨斯了”,以此开始第二部分。 阅读前脑测第三次工业...
评分格雷厄姆的方法难度更低,但对于百亿级以下的资金量来说,收益却没有更低。就性价比来说,很明显格雷厄姆的方法更好。以巴菲特后期的资金量而言,寻找低估企业的方法容量已经不够了。大家千万不要去学后期的巴菲特,不光难度高,收益还低(巴菲特投资生涯的后半段,收益率的下...
评分1870年到1970年的百年特殊时期,大萧条和二战促进的“大跨越”奇迹 关于吃:食品法案改善了食品行业卫生条件 住:电灯,发电站,电话带来革命性变化 行:福特流水线使汽车普及速度惊人,1969年已出现波音737机型 综上:现代美国人的生活方式在1970粘已经基本定型。现在的基本生...
评分格雷厄姆的方法难度更低,但对于百亿级以下的资金量来说,收益却没有更低。就性价比来说,很明显格雷厄姆的方法更好。以巴菲特后期的资金量而言,寻找低估企业的方法容量已经不够了。大家千万不要去学后期的巴菲特,不光难度高,收益还低(巴菲特投资生涯的后半段,收益率的下...
评分好书,花了近10天才勉强啃完的大部头。资料很翔实,可以做工具书了。涉及的范围很广,到后面有点看不下去。每章开头有引言,然后分开论述,最后再有一节小结。经济增长并不是一个又一个世纪以不变速度创造经济进步的稳态过程。1700年之前的上千年几乎没有经济增长,在1870年之...
The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025