In 1972, three scientists from MIT created a computer model that analyzed global resource consumption and production. Their results shocked the world and created stirring conversation about global 'overshoot, ' or resource use beyond the carrying capacity of the planet. Now, preeminent environmental scientists Donnella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Dennis Meadows have teamed up again to update and expand their original findings in "The Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Global Update."Meadows, Randers, and Meadows are international environmental leaders recognized for their groundbreaking research into early signs of wear on the planet. Citing climate change as the most tangible example of our current overshoot, the scientists now provide us with an updated scenario and a plan to reduce our needs to meet the carrying capacity of the planet.Over the past three decades, population growth and global warming have forged on with a striking semblance to the scenarios laid out by the World3 computer model in the original "Limits to Growth." While Meadows, Randers, and Meadows do not make a practice of predicting future environmental degradation, they offer an analysis of present and future trends in resource use, and assess a variety of possible outcomes.In many ways, the message contained in "Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update" is a warning. Overshoot cannot be sustained without collapse. But, as the authors are careful to point out, there is reason to believe that humanity can still reverse some of its damage to Earth if it takes appropriate measures to reduce inefficiency and waste.Written in refreshingly accessible prose, "Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update" is a long anticipated revival of some of the original voices in the growing chorus of sustainability. "Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Update" is a work of stunning intelligence that will expose for humanity the hazy but critical line between human growth and human development.
既然,党国都已经说,可持续发展了。明白吧,他们是最顽固不化的,经济利益大于一切的集团,都认可了可持续这个问题。 作者,一再强调从系统,从整体讨论问题。看到有的书评说到石油能源如何如何,然后核能如何如何。。作者不是跟我们讨论能源的可持续和代替。作者强调的是这颗...
評分以工程思维来理解人类社会,这是从上个世纪就开始宏大工程,虽然最初的成就不那么令人满意,还有点耸人听闻的感觉,但是随着各学科理论以及现实技术的发展,这项技术逐渐有了成体系的手段和方法。 实际上这正是严肃的数学家和物理学家开始步入我们社会舆论的一种主要方式,他们...
評分以工程思维来理解人类社会,这是从上个世纪就开始宏大工程,虽然最初的成就不那么令人满意,还有点耸人听闻的感觉,但是随着各学科理论以及现实技术的发展,这项技术逐渐有了成体系的手段和方法。 实际上这正是严肃的数学家和物理学家开始步入我们社会舆论的一种主要方式,他们...
評分译 序 前 言 英文版序 第一章 指数增长的本质 指数增长的数学 模型和指数增长 世界人口增长 世界经济增长 第二章 指数增长的极限 粮食 不可再生的资源 污染 按指数增加的污染 不知道的上限 生态过程...
評分在这本书里,能感觉到的不仅是科学家们严谨的治学态度,更是他们先天下之忧而忧的热忱之心。 献词里纪念了三个人:奥雷利奥•佩切伊(Aurelio Peccei),罗马俱乐部的创建人,他有着“对世界的深刻关切和对人类的永恒信念”,“关注并研究人类未来的遥远前景”。杰伊•福...
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