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发表于2024-12-28
Limits to Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024
In 1972, three scientists from MIT created a computer model that analyzed global resource consumption and production. Their results shocked the world and created stirring conversation about global 'overshoot, ' or resource use beyond the carrying capacity of the planet. Now, preeminent environmental scientists Donnella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Dennis Meadows have teamed up again to update and expand their original findings in "The Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Global Update."Meadows, Randers, and Meadows are international environmental leaders recognized for their groundbreaking research into early signs of wear on the planet. Citing climate change as the most tangible example of our current overshoot, the scientists now provide us with an updated scenario and a plan to reduce our needs to meet the carrying capacity of the planet.Over the past three decades, population growth and global warming have forged on with a striking semblance to the scenarios laid out by the World3 computer model in the original "Limits to Growth." While Meadows, Randers, and Meadows do not make a practice of predicting future environmental degradation, they offer an analysis of present and future trends in resource use, and assess a variety of possible outcomes.In many ways, the message contained in "Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update" is a warning. Overshoot cannot be sustained without collapse. But, as the authors are careful to point out, there is reason to believe that humanity can still reverse some of its damage to Earth if it takes appropriate measures to reduce inefficiency and waste.Written in refreshingly accessible prose, "Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update" is a long anticipated revival of some of the original voices in the growing chorus of sustainability. "Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Update" is a work of stunning intelligence that will expose for humanity the hazy but critical line between human growth and human development.
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报告认为,由于世界人口增长、粮食生产、工业发展、资源消耗和环境污染这5项基本因素的运行方式是指数增长而非线性增长,全球的增长将会因为粮食短缺和环境破坏于下世纪(该报告发表于1972年)某个时段内到达极限。继而得出了要避免因超越地球资源极限而导致世界崩溃的最好方...
評分近两个月一直在读罗马俱乐部前主席奥雷利奥 佩西的另一本书《人的素质》。可在豆瓣里怎么也找不到!无奈只有选了这本该俱乐部的第一份报告作为依托(之所以选最老的版本,是因为这可能更接近于原著,在时间上)。 在《人的素质》中,作者以较大篇幅提及了《增长的极限》出炉前...
評分可能由于是1972年的经典,当时的很多观点现在看来已经成为共识,但是罗马俱乐部对于人类命运的深深关切和所利用的系统动力学的分析方法还是具有一定的启发性的。 可能最需要看的还是插页里面的那张世界模型的图。 原文链接:http://lijuan.yo2.cn/2008/04/30/reading-limits-t...
Limits to Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024