CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World economy)

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出版者:Dissertations-G
作者:Viner
出品人:
页数:0
译者:
出版时间:1983-03-01
价格:USD 10.00
装帧:Hardcover
isbn号码:9780824053833
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 关税同盟
  • 世界经济
  • 国际贸易
  • 经济一体化
  • 区域经济
  • 贸易政策
  • 经济发展
  • 全球化
  • 国际经济
  • 经济合作
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具体描述

深入解析全球经济格局:贸易、金融与治理的宏大叙事 本书并非聚焦于关税同盟的具体运作机制或特定区域的贸易协定,而是为读者提供一幅更广阔、更具前瞻性的全球经济图景。它着眼于驱动当代世界经济体系演进的核心力量——从根本性的经济结构转型到复杂的跨国金融流动,再到全球治理的制度性挑战。 本书旨在剖析当前全球经济版图中那些塑造未来走向的关键议题,这些议题的复杂性和相互关联性,远超任何单一的区域性经济体或联盟所能概括的范围。我们将探讨的是,在技术爆炸、地缘政治重塑以及气候变化等宏大背景下,全球资本、劳动和信息的流动所呈现出的新特征及其对各国经济政策制定的深远影响。 第一部分:结构性变革与增长的边界 本部分首先对二战后建立的布雷顿森林体系及其后的全球化浪潮进行了批判性回顾。我们不关注特定贸易集团如何降低内部关税,而是考察全球价值链(GVCs)的“去中心化”趋势。在过去几十年里,GVCs 极大地提高了生产效率,但同时也带来了脆弱性。本书深入分析了当前供应链重组的驱动力,包括“友岸外包”(Friend-shoring)的兴起、数字化转型对制造业和服务业渗透的影响,以及各国为保障关键资源安全而采取的工业政策转向。 我们研究了新兴市场国家在融入全球经济体系后所面临的“中等收入陷阱”的当代演绎——即如何从依赖出口和低成本制造,转向依赖内需驱动和高附加值创新。这包括对“数字鸿沟”如何转化为经济鸿沟的探讨,以及在人工智能和生物技术等前沿领域,国家间技术主导权争夺对未来经济实力的决定性作用。 此外,本书对全球人口结构变化对经济增长潜力构成了严峻挑战。发达经济体的老龄化问题如何影响储蓄率、劳动力供给和财政可持续性?发展中国家的“人口红利”窗口期正在关闭,它们如何在新环境中实现包容性增长?这些都是超越贸易协定范畴的、关乎长期经济活力的根本性问题。 第二部分:金融的脉动与系统性风险 全球金融体系的整合速度远远超过了其监管框架的演进速度。本书将重点剖析影子银行体系的膨胀及其在应对下一次系统性危机中的角色。我们不会详细讨论特定关税壁垒对汇率的短期影响,而是深入探究储备货币地位的未来。美元的主导地位是否会因地缘政治紧张和结构性赤字而被削弱?央行数字货币(CBDCs)的出现,究竟是提高支付效率的工具,还是可能重塑跨境资本流动的地缘经济武器? 本书对全球债务累积的分析采取了跨国视角。主权债务与企业部门债务的复杂交织,使得任何一个主要经济体的财政失衡都可能通过资本市场迅速外溢。我们关注的是跨国资本流动的“热钱”属性,以及新兴经济体在面对美联储政策周期逆转时,其汇率和流动性管理所承受的内在压力。这些压力源于全球资本的逐利本性,而非局部贸易摩擦。 第三部分:全球治理的碎片化与新范式 现代世界经济的有效运作依赖于一套复杂的、多层次的国际制度安排。本书认为,当前最大的挑战在于“治理赤字”的加剧——即全球性问题(如气候变化、跨国税收、公共卫生危机)的规模与现有国际机构(如WTO、IMF、世界银行)的协调能力之间日益扩大的差距。 我们详细分析了地缘经济学如何渗透到经济决策的核心。各国不再仅仅追求纯粹的经济效率,而是将经济政策工具——包括出口管制、关键技术投资审查、以及对外国直接投资的敏感性评估——日益武器化,以实现国家安全和战略自主。这种趋势如何改变了跨国企业的运营逻辑,并迫使它们在经济效率和政治合规性之间做出痛苦抉择? 此外,本书探讨了全球税收体系的改革困境。跨国数字经济的爆炸性增长,使得传统的属地征税原则面临失效风险。围绕“数字服务税”和全球最低企业税的谈判,折射出各国在争取税基主权和维护全球经济稳定之间的深刻矛盾。 结论:迈向多极经济秩序的挑战 本书的结论是,世界经济正从一个相对统一的、以市场为中心的全球化阶段,缓慢地过渡到一个多极化、更具韧性但也更碎片化的经济秩序。未来的经济稳定和繁荣,不再仅仅取决于国家间签署了多少贸易协定,而是取决于它们能否在核心的结构性挑战(如可持续发展、技术治理和金融风险控制)上达成最低限度的全球共识。本书提供的是一套理解这些宏大力量如何相互作用的分析框架,而非对任何特定贸易机制的区域性或局部性评论。它邀请读者跳出眼前的贸易争端,审视驱动世界经济航船前进的深层洋流。

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读到《关税同盟议题(世界经济)》这个标题,我的第一反应是:这肯定是一本关于国际贸易领域最核心、最敏感话题的书。关税同盟,这个词汇本身就充满了力量,它意味着一群国家为了共同的经济利益而走到一起,共同制定对外关税政策,从而在成员国之间实现商品、服务、甚至资本的自由流动。我猜测,这本书会对“关税同盟”这个概念进行非常详尽的界定和分类,从最基础的自由贸易区,到更进一步的共同市场、经济货币联盟,甚至政治联盟,应该都会有深入的探讨。 我尤其关注的是,书中会不会深入分析不同类型的关税同盟是如何形成的?是什么样的经济和社会因素促使一个国家选择加入或建立一个关税同盟?这其中必然涉及到大量的利益权衡和政治博弈。本书是否会从历史的角度,回顾一些经典的关税同盟案例,比如早期的欧洲煤钢共同体,或者北美自由贸易区,来分析它们各自的成败得失?我非常期待能从中了解到,关税同盟在促进区域经济增长、提高生产效率、扩大贸易规模方面所扮演的具体角色,以及它可能带来的负面影响,比如贸易转移效应,也就是成员国本来从效率更高的非成员国进口商品,转而从效率较低的成员国进口,从而导致全球福利损失。 还有一点让我很感兴趣,那就是关税同盟对于世界贸易体系的影响。在一个日益碎片化的世界中,区域性经济一体化的趋势是否会削弱多边贸易体系的作用?这本书是否会讨论关税同盟在WTO框架下的地位,以及它们与全球贸易规则之间的互动关系?我猜想,作者应该会探讨一些比较尖锐的问题,比如,关税同盟是否会演变成一种保护主义的形式,使得非成员国在国际贸易中处于不利地位?书中是否会对一些新兴的关税同盟,比如非洲大陆自由贸易区,进行深入的分析,并预测其未来的发展前景? 此外,我还有一个隐约的期待,这本书能否帮助我们理解,在当前全球经济面临诸多不确定性的背景下,关税同盟是否还能继续发挥其应有的作用?贸易保护主义抬头,地缘政治冲突加剧,这些因素是否会给关税同盟的稳定和发展带来新的挑战?我希望书中能提供一些关于如何应对这些挑战的思路和建议。比如,关税同盟的成员国在面对外部压力时,是否会更加团结?还是会因为内部矛盾而分崩离析?这些都是非常值得深思的问题,我希望本书能给出一些有深度的解答。 总的来说,《关税同盟议题(世界经济)》这个书名让我感觉它触及了世界经济运行的“痛点”和“亮点”。它不仅关乎经济学理论,更关乎现实世界的政治和战略。我期待这本书能够以一种引人入胜的方式,揭示关税同盟背后错综复杂的逻辑,让我们能够更清晰地理解全球经济的未来走向。

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"CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)" 这个书名,光是看名字就让人脑海中浮现出各种宏大的图景。我猜想,这肯定是一本深度剖析国际经济格局,特别是那些围绕着关税同盟展开的复杂博弈的书。我一直对全球贸易体系的演变以及它如何影响各国经济发展有着浓厚的兴趣,而关税同盟无疑是其中一个至关重要的节点。这本书会不会深入探讨不同类型的关税同盟,比如自由贸易区、关税同盟、共同市场,甚至经济同盟?我想,它应该会详细解析这些区域经济一体化安排的形成机制、运作方式,以及它们在促进成员国经济增长、优化资源配置方面所扮演的角色。 我尤其好奇,这本书会不会通过大量的案例研究,来阐释关税同盟在现实世界中的成功与失败?例如,欧洲经济共同体(EEC)的早期发展,非洲大陆自由贸易区(AfCFTA)的雄心壮志,亦或是北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)的争议与重塑,这些都是极具代表性的例子。作者是否会从历史的维度去审视关税同盟的发展历程,并从中提炼出适用于当下全球经济环境的深刻洞见?我非常期待书中能够提供关于关税同盟对非成员国经济影响的分析,以及它在全球多边贸易体系中所处的地位。毕竟,任何区域性的经济整合,都不可避免地会对更广阔的国际经济秩序产生涟漪效应。 一个让我特别期待的方面是,这本书是否会探讨关税同盟所带来的挑战与风险?一体化过程中难免会遇到成员国之间利益分配不均、国内产业受冲击、以及外部压力等问题。例如,一些国内产业可能会因为竞争加剧而面临生存危机,一些国家可能会因为依赖外部市场而失去经济自主性。书中是否会对这些潜在的负面效应进行细致的剖析,并提出相应的应对策略?我猜想,作者应该会对关税同盟的政治维度也有所涉及,毕竟经济上的整合往往与政治上的协调紧密相连。不同国家在制定关税政策、处理贸易争端时,所经历的谈判博弈,以及由此产生的国内政治影响,都可能是书中引人入胜的内容。 此外,我还在思考,这本书是否会展望关税同盟在未来的发展趋势?随着全球经济格局的不断变化,以及地缘政治风险的上升,现有的关税同盟是否会面临新的挑战?新的贸易壁垒是否会出现,以替代传统的关税?科技进步,例如数字化贸易和电子商务,又会对关税同盟的运作模式产生怎样的影响?我希望这本书能够提供一些前瞻性的分析,帮助读者理解未来全球经济一体化可能的发展方向。作者是否会探讨一些新兴的关税同盟议题,比如数字关税、绿色关税,以及它们如何重塑全球贸易规则? 总而言之,"CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)" 这个书名所承载的信息量让我充满了好奇和期待。我预感这本书不仅会是一本学术性的研究著作,更可能是一本能够启发读者对全球经济运行机制进行深度思考的读物。我希望它能够提供清晰、严谨的分析,并辅以翔实的资料和案例,让我们这些对世界经济发展充满求知欲的读者,能够更全面、更深入地理解关税同盟这一复杂而又至关重要的议题。这本书能否成为理解当下及未来全球经济走向的关键钥匙,我非常拭目以待。

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The title "CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)" immediately conjures images of complex negotiations, strategic alliances, and the intricate dance of global trade. My initial assumption is that this book offers a granular, perhaps even a microscopic, examination of how nations collaborate to dismantle trade barriers among themselves while, in turn, presenting a united front to the rest of the world in terms of their external tariff policies. I'm particularly eager to see if the author delves into the specific economic models and theories that underpin the formation and functioning of customs unions, beyond just the surface-level descriptions. I'm intensely curious about the empirical evidence the book might present. Are there detailed case studies of successful and perhaps less successful customs unions? I'm thinking of examples like the European Union’s evolution, or regional initiatives in Asia or Africa, and I hope the book scrutinizes the tangible impacts – the shifts in trade volumes, foreign direct investment patterns, and domestic industrial development – that these unions have engendered. The book's exploration of how customs unions affect market access for non-member countries is also a crucial point of interest; I anticipate a nuanced discussion about the potential for discriminatory effects and the subsequent strategic responses from excluded nations. Moreover, I would expect a thorough treatment of the internal dynamics and potential friction points within a customs union. How do member states resolve disputes over trade policies, subsidies, or regulatory standards? Does the book discuss the challenges of coordinating fiscal and monetary policies, or the complexities of harmonizing different national economic interests under a common umbrella? The political economy aspect is also likely to be a significant component, as economic integration rarely occurs in a vacuum, and national interests, domestic politics, and external pressures invariably play a role. I'm hoping for an exploration that doesn't shy away from the difficult questions and the inherent trade-offs involved. A significant area of anticipation for me is the book's perspective on the future of customs unions in a rapidly changing global environment. With the rise of new economic powers, evolving technological landscapes, and shifting geopolitical alignments, how are these established frameworks adapting? Does the book offer predictions or analyses of emerging trends, such as the potential for digital customs unions or the integration of environmental standards into trade agreements? I'm looking for an informed outlook that can help me understand whether customs unions will remain a cornerstone of global economic architecture or if they will need to undergo substantial transformation to remain relevant. Ultimately, "CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)" sounds like a book that aims to provide a comprehensive and insightful understanding of a crucial aspect of international economic relations. I'm hoping it will offer a blend of rigorous analysis, compelling evidence, and thought-provoking commentary that will leave me with a deeper appreciation for the complexities and the far-reaching implications of customs unions in shaping the global economy.

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When I saw the title "CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)," my immediate thought was that this book must be a deep dive into one of the most fundamental yet intricate aspects of global economic integration. The concept of a customs union inherently implies a significant level of economic cooperation and coordination between nations, which inevitably shapes their individual economies and their interactions on the global stage. I'm eager to see if the book explores the historical evolution of customs unions, perhaps tracing their origins from mercantilist policies to the modern regional trade blocs we see today. I'm particularly keen to understand the economic rationale behind forming customs unions. What are the purported benefits, and how are these benefits realized in practice? Does the book delve into the theoretical underpinnings, such as economies of scale, increased competition, and enhanced efficiency, or does it focus more on empirical evidence from case studies? I'm hoping for a comprehensive analysis of various types of customs unions – from preferential trade agreements to full economic unions – and the distinct characteristics that set them apart. The nuances of how these arrangements are structured and implemented are crucial for understanding their impact. Furthermore, I anticipate that the book will meticulously examine the challenges and potential drawbacks associated with customs unions. It's rarely a smooth ride for any economic integration effort. I'm curious about how the book addresses issues like trade diversion, where imports shift from more efficient non-member countries to less efficient member countries, potentially leading to a net loss of global welfare. Does it explore the impact on non-member countries, and how they might respond to being excluded from these trading blocs? The political dimensions of customs unions, such as the potential for trade disputes and the challenges of harmonizing regulations and policies across different sovereign states, are also topics I expect to be thoroughly covered. Another aspect that piques my interest is the book's perspective on the contemporary relevance and future trajectory of customs unions. In an era marked by increasing protectionism and geopolitical tensions, are customs unions becoming more or less significant? Does the book offer insights into how these unions are adapting to new economic realities, such as the rise of digital trade and the global push for sustainability? I'm looking for an analysis that goes beyond mere description and offers a critical evaluation of their effectiveness and their role in shaping the future of the world economy. It would be fascinating to see if the book discusses the potential for new forms of customs unions or the challenges faced by existing ones in maintaining their cohesion and relevance. In essence, "CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)" promises to be a comprehensive exploration of a vital economic phenomenon. It suggests a rigorous examination of both the theoretical foundations and the practical manifestations of customs unions, their benefits, their costs, and their evolving role in the global economic landscape. I'm looking forward to a book that not only informs but also provokes thought about the complex dynamics of international economic relations.

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The title "CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)" sparks an immediate curiosity about the strategic and economic implications of nations banding together. My gut feeling is that this book will not just define what a customs union is, but rather dissect the very *why* and *how* behind their formation and their intricate impact on the global economic landscape. I’m particularly keen to understand if the book explores the geopolitical motivations that often accompany economic integration. Are customs unions primarily driven by purely economic gains, or do they also serve as tools for enhancing collective security, increasing bargaining power in international forums, or solidifying political alliances? I’m eager to see if the book offers a detailed analysis of the different types of customs unions, moving beyond simple definitions to explore the spectrum of integration. For instance, how does a simple customs union differ in its practical outcomes from a common market or an economic union? The book might delve into the mechanisms of internal market liberalization and the coordination of external trade policies, highlighting the challenges and opportunities inherent in such endeavors. I also anticipate that the book will address the distributional effects of customs unions – who benefits, and who potentially loses out, both within member states and on a global scale. This would involve a critical look at how gains and losses are shared, and the potential for exacerbating existing inequalities. Furthermore, I’m curious about the book’s perspective on the role of customs unions in the broader context of globalization and multilateralism. In an era where regional trade agreements are proliferating, how do these blocs interact with global trade institutions like the World Trade Organization? Does the book suggest that customs unions are complementary to or competitive with the multilateral trading system? I would also expect a discussion on how customs unions can potentially lead to trade diversion, a phenomenon where trade is redirected from more efficient producers outside the union to less efficient producers within it, thereby potentially reducing overall global welfare. Understanding this complex interplay is crucial for grasping the true economic implications. Another aspect that draws my attention is the book's potential exploration of the contemporary relevance and future evolution of customs unions. In a world increasingly characterized by technological disruption, shifting power dynamics, and a resurgence of protectionist sentiments, how are these economic arrangements adapting? Does the book offer insights into how customs unions are navigating challenges such as digital trade, climate change mitigation policies, and evolving supply chain configurations? I am looking for an analysis that is forward-looking, perhaps even offering predictions or scenarios about the future role and structure of customs unions in shaping global economic interactions. In conclusion, "CUSTOMS UNION ISSUE (The World Economy)" promises a deep and multifaceted exploration of a significant facet of international economic relations. It suggests a book that will go beyond theoretical definitions to examine the practical realities, the strategic considerations, and the evolving dynamics of customs unions, offering a comprehensive understanding of their impact on the global economy.

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