Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond

Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2026

出版者:Stanford University Press
作者:Scott Kastner
出品人:
页数:256
译者:
出版时间:2009-04-14
价格:USD 24.95
装帧:Paperback
isbn号码:9780804762045
丛书系列:Studies in Asian Security
图书标签:
  • 台湾
  • 安全研究
  • 两岸
  • 东亚安全
  • 东亚
  • politics
  • International-Relations
  • IR
  • 台湾海峡
  • 政治冲突
  • 经济依存
  • 国际关系
  • 中国大陆
  • 台湾
  • 地缘政治
  • 贸易
  • 安全研究
  • 区域研究
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具体描述

Why is it that political conflict between countries sometimes undermines commerce between those states, and yet at other times it seems to have little or no effect on cross-border economic flows? The question is an important one, yet, while numerous studies have considered how and to what extent international political conflict affects trade, few consider how and when economic linkages can develop despite hostile political relations. This book addresses that gap, and demonstrates that the impact of international political conflict on commerce will be muted when national leaders are accountable to internationalist economic interests—because such leaders will try to prevent political disputes with other countries from spilling over into economic arenas. The author develops this argument primarily through a detailed case study of a critically important contemporary case: the relationship between Mainland China and Taiwan. He then tests it via two shorter case studies.

区域冲突与全球治理:跨越地缘政治的边界 第一部分:冲突的根源与演变 本书深入剖析了当代国际关系中最为复杂和引人注目的地缘政治热点区域——亚太地区。我们聚焦于一系列相互交织的冲突驱动因素,这些因素不仅塑造了该地区的权力结构,也深刻影响着全球的政治经济格局。 一、历史遗留问题与民族主义的再兴起 冲突的起点往往深植于历史的断层之中。本书首先对二战后东亚秩序的建立及其内在的矛盾进行了详尽的梳理。我们审视了冷战思维如何在地缘政治的棋盘上留下了难以磨灭的印记,以及随后的去殖民化进程中未能完全解决的领土争端。 特别关注的议题包括: 历史叙事的分歧与重塑: 分析不同国家如何利用历史记忆来构建国家认同和正当性,以及这种叙事如何在现代媒体环境下被放大,成为外交摩擦的导火索。 民族主义的内化与外显: 探讨在全球化背景下,民族主义情绪如何从精英阶层向下渗透到社会大众,成为影响政策制定的强大力量。我们区分了建设性的民族主义(如对国家利益的维护)和破坏性的民族主义(如排他性和扩张性倾向),并考察了后者在特定国家决策周期中的作用。 二、权力转移与战略竞争 亚太地区正经历自冷战结束以来最显著的权力结构重组。本书将权力转移理论置于分析框架的核心,探讨新兴大国挑战现有霸权所带来的系统性不稳定性。 均势的动态失衡: 研究了新兴经济体在军事、技术和经济影响力方面的快速增长,如何直接挑战既有的安全框架和规范。我们运用量化指标来评估军事现代化的速度及其对区域安全态势的影响,尤其关注海军力量的部署和“反介入/区域拒止”(A2/AD)能力的扩散。 制度性竞争与规范的冲突: 权力转移不仅仅是军事力量的对比,更是关于“谁来制定规则”的竞争。本书对比了以既有国际组织为代表的自由国际秩序倡导者与寻求构建替代性治理模式的势力之间的结构性冲突。这种冲突体现在对国际法、人权标准以及经济合作机制的不同解读上。 三、非传统安全威胁的复杂化 当代冲突的形态已远超传统的军事对峙。本书详细分析了新兴非传统安全威胁如何被地缘政治竞争所利用和放大,形成多维度的安全困境。 信息战与认知领域冲突: 深度探讨了虚假信息、认知渗透和网络攻击在现代冲突中所扮演的角色。我们分析了国家行为体如何通过操纵信息环境来削弱对手的社会凝聚力和决策能力,这构成了“灰色地带”冲突的重要组成部分。 关键资源的安全化: 随着对半导体、稀土以及清洁能源技术的需求激增,这些经济要素日益被纳入国家安全范畴。本书考察了供应链的政治风险,以及各国为确保关键技术和资源供应而采取的“去风险化”或“友岸外包”战略如何加剧了经济领域的竞争。 --- 第二部分:全球治理的挑战与区域化应对 面对日益紧张的局势,国际社会在维护全球公共产品和区域稳定方面面临严峻挑战。本部分着重探讨了现有治理机制的局限性以及区域行为体如何寻求新的合作与制衡路径。 一、多边主义的碎片化与功能失调 全球治理体系的有效性正遭受前所未有的质疑。 联合国体系的效能瓶颈: 分析了安理会在处理重大地缘政治危机时的僵局,以及大国竞争如何阻碍了全球气候变化、流行病控制等跨国议题的有效协调。 区域经济一体化的复杂性: 考察了大型区域贸易协定(如RCEP、CPTPP)在推行过程中遇到的政治阻力。贸易自由化不再是纯粹的经济目标,而是成为地缘政治工具,导致一体化进程常常因安全顾虑而被搁置或扭曲。 二、区域性安全架构的再构建 面对大国竞争带来的不确定性,区域国家正在积极探索适应性更强的安全合作模式。 联盟体系的调整与“多轨外交”: 观察传统军事同盟(如美日安保条约)的深化与适应,同时也关注区域内非正式的安全对话机制和“多轨外交”的兴起。许多国家试图在不选边站队的前提下,通过双边和多边接触来对冲风险。 危机管控机制的构建需求: 强调了建立有效、透明的军事和外交危机热线与沟通机制的迫切性,以避免误判导致的意外升级。本书评估了现有防止冲突升级的准则在当前高度敏感环境下的适用性与不足。 三、技术主权与数字鸿沟 技术竞争已成为地缘政治竞争的新疆域,它深刻影响着国家间的信任和合作基础。 标准制定权之争: 分析了新兴技术(如5G/6G、人工智能)的全球标准制定权之争,这实质上是未来经济和安全霸权的预演。各国在推动本国技术方案的同时,也加剧了全球技术生态的割裂风险。 数据流动与隐私保护的矛盾: 探讨了国家安全与个人数据主权之间的张力,以及在信息流动日益受限的背景下,如何维持必要的全球科研和商业合作。 --- 第三部分:稳定边界的维护与未来展望 本书的最后部分转向对未来情景的审视,并探讨了在持续的竞争环境下,如何寻求“可控的稳定”。 一、建立最小限度的互信基础 尽管全面合作遥不可及,但维持冲突的“护栏”至关重要。 透明度与可预测性: 主张在军事演习、战略意图和技术发展方面,增强信息披露的透明度,以减少战略误判的风险。 共同应对全球性挑战的切入点: 识别在气候变化适应、跨国犯罪打击和公共卫生等领域,双方仍可能找到有限的合作空间,即使是在政治关系紧张时期,这些领域的合作也能起到稳定器皿的作用。 二、韧性与适应性:国家的内部建设 面对外部环境的波动,一个国家的内部韧性成为抵御冲击的关键。 经济韧性的构建: 分析了如何通过多元化贸易伙伴、关键产业的本土化布局,以及建立战略储备,来增强经济免受外部地缘政治压力影响的能力。 社会共识的维护: 强调了在信息战和内部极化风险加剧的背景下,维护社会凝聚力和对理性政策讨论的承诺,是国家安全的重要组成部分。 本书总结认为,亚太地区的未来不会是简单的“新冷战”重演,而是一个更加多极化、多维度竞争共存的复杂局面。成功的区域治理将不再依赖于单一的权力平衡,而是取决于所有行为体在维护关键稳定机制和识别共同威胁方面的务实努力。区域的稳定,需要付出持续的、精细的外交和战略耐心。

作者简介

Scott L. Kastner is Associate Professor in the Department of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland, College Park.

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From the moment I saw the title,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, I felt a sense of anticipation for a nuanced and comprehensive analysis. The phrase "political conflict" immediately brings to mind the deeply entrenched historical grievances, ideological differences, and strategic anxieties that define the cross-strait relationship. I expect the book to meticulously unpack the origins and evolution of these conflicts, perhaps examining the role of nationalist sentiments on both sides of the strait, the impact of geopolitical shifts in East Asia, and the varying interpretations of sovereignty and self-determination. However, it's the "economic interdependence" that adds a fascinating layer of complexity. It suggests that despite the political friction, there exists a profound and perhaps even indispensable economic linkage between mainland China and Taiwan. I'm eager to see how the author navigates this apparent paradox, exploring the intricate web of trade, investment, and supply chains that connect these two entities. How does this economic interdependence act as a deterrent to outright conflict? Or, conversely, could it be a source of leverage and vulnerability for either side? The "and Beyond" component is particularly intriguing, hinting at a broader canvas. It implies that the Taiwan Strait is not an isolated case, but rather a microcosm of larger global trends. I'm curious to learn how the author connects this specific case to wider issues of globalization, regional integration, and the challenges of managing contested territories in a globally interconnected world. Does it offer lessons for other potential flashpoints? Does it examine how external powers, like the United States and its allies, interact with and influence this economic and political dynamic? My expectation is that the book will move beyond a purely descriptive account and offer analytical insights into the causal relationships between political tensions and economic ties, exploring the strategic calculations of various actors involved. I hope for a balanced perspective that acknowledges the legitimate concerns and aspirations of all parties, grounded in empirical evidence and rigorous academic scholarship. The title promises a deep and multifaceted exploration, one that will undoubtedly enrich my understanding of a crucial geopolitical and economic nexus.

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这是一本在书店架子上偶然发现的书,它的标题《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》 immediately caught my eye. The confluence of "political conflict" and "economic interdependence" immediately suggested a deep dive into the complex and often fraught relationship across the Taiwan Strait, but the "and Beyond" hint at a broader regional or even global context, which is precisely what I'm looking for in a serious academic or policy-oriented read. I often find that discussions about Taiwan tend to be insular, focusing solely on the immediate cross-strait dynamics without fully appreciating how these dynamics are shaped by, and in turn shape, the wider international landscape. The fact that the book promises to explore this beyond the immediate strait implies it will likely engage with issues of great power competition, regional security architectures, international trade flows, and perhaps even the role of international norms and institutions in managing such complex geopolitical tensions. I'm particularly interested in how the author might connect the specific case of the Taiwan Strait to similar, or contrasting, situations in other parts of the world, offering a comparative perspective that could illuminate universal patterns or unique characteristics of this particular nexus of conflict and interdependence. The very title suggests a sophisticated understanding of the interconnectedness of political and economic factors, a crucial insight often overlooked in more simplistic analyses. I anticipate the book will delve into historical precedents, tracing the evolution of these dynamics over time, and will likely offer a forward-looking assessment of potential future scenarios. The promise of "and Beyond" also suggests the possibility of engaging with the perspectives of third-party actors, such as the United States, Japan, and Southeast Asian nations, whose interests and actions significantly influence the Strait's stability and economic connectivity. My hope is that the author will provide nuanced arguments, supported by rigorous research and data, avoiding overly simplistic or ideologically driven conclusions. The dual focus on conflict and interdependence is key; it suggests an understanding that these two forces are not mutually exclusive but rather deeply intertwined, often acting as both drivers and constraints on each other. I look forward to a comprehensive and insightful exploration of this critical geopolitical issue, one that offers both historical context and contemporary relevance. The title alone has piqued my intellectual curiosity, promising a rewarding and illuminating reading experience that will undoubtedly broaden my understanding of regional and global affairs.

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The title of this book,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, struck me as incredibly timely and relevant, given the current global geopolitical climate. The juxtaposition of "political conflict" and "economic interdependence" immediately signals a sophisticated understanding of the multifaceted nature of the Taiwan Strait issue. It suggests that the author isn't approaching this from a simplistic, one-dimensional perspective, but rather acknowledging the intricate dance between opposing political forces and the undeniable economic realities that bind the two sides. I envision the book delving deeply into the historical roots of the political conflict, tracing its origins from the Chinese Civil War to the present day, examining the various ideological, territorial, and nationalistic narratives that fuel it. Simultaneously, I anticipate a thorough exploration of the robust economic ties that have developed despite, and perhaps even in spite of, the political tensions. This would likely include an in-depth analysis of trade volumes, investment flows, technological cooperation, and the significant role of Taiwanese businesses in mainland China, as well as the growing economic reliance of Taiwan on its larger neighbor. The "and Beyond" is the element that truly elevates this title for me, suggesting a broader analytical scope. It implies that the Taiwan Strait is not merely a bilateral issue, but one with far-reaching implications for regional stability, global supply chains, and the balance of power in the Indo-Pacific. I'm keen to see how the author connects the cross-strait dynamics to wider international relations, perhaps discussing the role of the United States, Japan, and other regional powers, as well as the impact on international trade law and global economic governance. My hope is for a work that is both academically rigorous and accessible, offering fresh insights and challenging conventional wisdom. I'm looking for an exploration that moves beyond partisan rhetoric and provides a balanced, evidence-based assessment of the complex interplay between political conflict and economic interdependence, and how these dynamics shape the broader international landscape. The title itself promises a comprehensive and insightful journey into a critical global issue.

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This book's title,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, immediately promises a deep and multifaceted exploration of a critical geopolitical issue. The phrase "political conflict" suggests a rigorous examination of the historical, ideological, and strategic underpinnings of the tensions across the Taiwan Strait. I anticipate the author will delve into the origins of these conflicts, tracing their evolution through different historical periods and exploring the diverse perspectives and narratives that shape the current landscape. This would likely involve an analysis of sovereignty claims, national identity formation, and the role of great power competition in exacerbating or mitigating these tensions. On the other hand, the inclusion of "economic interdependence" signals a sophisticated understanding that these political dynamics do not exist in a vacuum, but are deeply intertwined with powerful economic forces. I expect the book to meticulously detail the intricate web of trade, investment, and supply chains that connect mainland China and Taiwan, exploring how these economic ties have developed despite the political friction. This might include an analysis of the mutual benefits and vulnerabilities arising from this interdependence, and how it influences the strategic calculations of both sides. The "and Beyond" component is particularly intriguing, suggesting a broader analytical framework that extends beyond the immediate cross-strait relationship. I hope the author will connect these dynamics to wider regional and global trends, perhaps examining the impact on international security architectures, global supply chain resilience, and the role of third-party actors. My expectation is for a balanced, evidence-based, and insightful analysis that offers a nuanced understanding of the complex interplay between political conflict and economic interdependence, and its implications for the broader international order.

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The title,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, immediately conjures images of a deeply complex and fascinating subject. My initial reaction is one of intrigue at the inherent paradox it presents: how can a region be simultaneously defined by political conflict and profound economic interdependence? I expect the book to meticulously unravel the historical roots of the political conflict, delving into the divergent political systems, nationalistic aspirations, and historical grievances that have shaped the cross-strait relationship. This would likely involve a nuanced examination of the varying perspectives and ideologies at play, offering a balanced understanding of the underlying tensions. Concurrently, I anticipate a thorough exploration of the economic ties that bind mainland China and Taiwan. This might encompass an in-depth analysis of trade patterns, investment flows, technological collaboration, and the intricate supply chains that have developed, highlighting how these economic linkages have evolved despite the political friction. The "and Beyond" portion of the title is particularly compelling, suggesting that the book will not be confined to a bilateral analysis. I look forward to seeing how the author integrates broader regional and global dynamics into the discussion, perhaps examining the roles of major powers like the United States, the influence of international organizations, and the implications for global economic stability and security. My hope is for a work that offers a comprehensive, well-researched, and insightful examination of this critical geopolitical and economic nexus, providing a fresh perspective and contributing to a deeper understanding of the complex interplay between conflict and cooperation in the contemporary world order.

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The title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》immediately captured my attention by presenting two seemingly contradictory forces at play. The "political conflict" aspect suggests a deep exploration of the historical, ideological, and strategic dimensions that have shaped the strained relationship across the Taiwan Strait. I anticipate a detailed examination of the origins and evolution of these conflicts, including an analysis of the differing national narratives, security concerns, and geopolitical aspirations of the involved parties. This would likely involve delving into the complexities of sovereignty, self-determination, and the impact of major power competition. In parallel, the concept of "economic interdependence" signals a recognition of the undeniable economic links that have been forged between mainland China and Taiwan, irrespective of the political divides. I am eager to see how the book analyzes the nature, extent, and consequences of this economic interdependence. How does it influence the dynamics of the political conflict? Does it serve as a stabilizing factor or a source of vulnerability? The inclusion of "and Beyond" further broadens the scope, suggesting that the book will not be confined to a purely bilateral discussion. I look forward to an analysis that connects the cross-strait dynamics to wider regional and global issues, such as international trade patterns, technological competition, and the evolving Indo-Pacific security architecture. My expectation is for a comprehensive, well-researched, and insightful examination that offers a nuanced understanding of this critical geopolitical and economic nexus.

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The title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》instantly resonated with me due to its ambitious scope and the inherent complexity of its subject matter. The phrase "political conflict" suggests a thorough exploration of the deep-seated historical, ideological, and strategic disagreements that characterize the relationship across the Taiwan Strait. I expect the book to meticulously examine the origins and evolution of these conflicts, perhaps dissecting the various national narratives, security concerns, and geopolitical rivalries that contribute to the ongoing tensions. This would likely involve a nuanced understanding of the different perspectives and motivations of the actors involved. Complementing this, the concept of "economic interdependence" hints at a crucial counterpoint, suggesting that despite the political friction, there are significant economic ties that bind the two sides. I am eager to see how the author analyzes the nature and implications of this interdependence, exploring the extensive trade, investment, and supply chain linkages that have emerged. The "and Beyond" is what truly elevates this title, promising a broader contextualization of the Taiwan Strait issue within the wider regional and global landscape. I anticipate the book will connect these dynamics to larger issues of great power competition, international trade, technological development, and regional security architectures. My hope is for a work that provides a comprehensive, well-researched, and insightful analysis, moving beyond simplistic explanations to offer a nuanced understanding of the intricate interplay between conflict and cooperation in this vital part of the world and its global ramifications.

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The title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》immediately signals a sophisticated and nuanced approach to a highly charged subject. The pairing of "political conflict" with "economic interdependence" suggests an understanding that these two forces are not mutually exclusive but rather deeply intertwined and mutually influential. I anticipate the book will meticulously dissect the historical roots and contemporary manifestations of the political conflict, exploring the diverse perspectives, nationalistic sentiments, and strategic calculations that contribute to the ongoing tensions. This would likely involve a thorough analysis of sovereignty claims, the evolution of political identities, and the impact of external power dynamics. Simultaneously, the emphasis on "economic interdependence" points to a critical examination of the robust trade, investment, and supply chain linkages that have developed between mainland China and Taiwan. I am keen to understand how the author will analyze the implications of this interdependence – its role in both mitigating conflict and potentially creating new points of friction or leverage. The "and Beyond" component is particularly compelling, promising to contextualize the cross-strait dynamics within a broader regional and global framework. I hope the book will explore how these specific tensions and interdependencies resonate with, or diverge from, similar situations elsewhere, and how they shape the wider international order, global trade, and regional security. My expectation is for a deeply researched and analytically rigorous work that offers fresh insights into this complex geopolitical and economic nexus.

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Reading the title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, my immediate thought was about the inherent tension between these two seemingly contradictory concepts. How can political conflict and economic interdependence coexist, let alone thrive, in such close proximity? This is precisely the kind of complex puzzle that makes for compelling reading. I anticipate the book will meticulously dissect the nature of the political conflict, likely exploring the historical narratives, ideological divides, and strategic calculations that have shaped the cross-strait relationship. This might involve a deep dive into the evolution of national identities, the legacy of past conflicts, and the differing views on sovereignty and political legitimacy. On the other hand, the "economic interdependence" aspect suggests a parallel examination of the intricate web of trade, investment, and financial flows that have developed between mainland China and Taiwan. I'm particularly interested in how the author will analyze the implications of this interdependence – does it act as a stabilizing force, creating shared interests that mitigate the risk of outright conflict? Or does it present new vulnerabilities, providing leverage for one side over the other? The inclusion of "and Beyond" is what truly excites me, as it promises to lift the discussion from a purely bilateral focus to a more expansive regional and global context. This suggests an analysis that considers how external powers, such as the United States and its allies, interact with and influence these dynamics, as well as how the cross-strait situation fits into broader patterns of globalization, technological competition, and international security architectures. My hope is for an intellectually stimulating read that offers a sophisticated and nuanced understanding of this critical geopolitical and economic nexus, moving beyond simplistic narratives to explore the intricate interplay of forces shaping this vital region and its impact on the wider world.

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Upon encountering the title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, my immediate thought was of the intricate balancing act that such a title suggests. The "political conflict" aspect implies a deep dive into the historical grievances, ideological differences, and strategic rivalries that have defined the cross-strait relationship. I would expect the author to meticulously trace the origins and evolution of these conflicts, offering a nuanced understanding of the various perspectives and historical narratives at play. This would likely involve a critical examination of sovereignty claims, national identities, and the role of external influences. Simultaneously, the inclusion of "economic interdependence" points to a crucial element of the contemporary relationship, suggesting that despite the political tensions, significant economic ties have developed. I am keen to explore how the book will analyze the nature and implications of this interdependence. Does it act as a moderating force, creating shared interests that mitigate the risk of escalation? Or does it present new avenues for leverage and potential conflict? The "and Beyond" is perhaps the most intriguing part of the title, indicating that the analysis will extend beyond a purely bilateral focus. I anticipate the book will contextualize the Taiwan Strait issue within broader regional and global dynamics, perhaps examining the role of major powers, international economic trends, and the impact on global supply chains. My hope is for an intellectually stimulating and thoroughly researched account that offers a balanced and insightful perspective on this complex and critical geopolitical nexus.

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这个,我想问,真的会这样,一直,一直,一直走下去么? 有生之年?

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在两岸关系的文献中算出色的了

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这个,我想问,真的会这样,一直,一直,一直走下去么? 有生之年?

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在两岸关系的文献中算出色的了

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在两岸关系的文献中算出色的了

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