Historical Dynamics pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024


Historical Dynamics

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Peter Turchin
Princeton University Press
2003-9-29
260
GBP 49.95
Hardcover
Princeton Studies in Complexity
9780691116693

圖書標籤: 政治學  社會學  Complexity  英文原版  心理學  曆史  管理  曆史學   


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发表于2024-11-10

Historical Dynamics epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Historical Dynamics epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Historical Dynamics pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024



圖書描述

Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics - why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract - this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history. Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.

Historical Dynamics 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

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Historical Dynamics pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載
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http://www.ww2010.com/ww2010/turchin/, http://www.historydynamics.com/, http://historydynamics.herokuapp.com/historydynamics, http://www.douban.com/doulist/42499543/

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http://www.ww2010.com/ww2010/turchin/, http://www.historydynamics.com/, http://historydynamics.herokuapp.com/historydynamics, http://www.douban.com/doulist/42499543/

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http://www.ww2010.com/ww2010/turchin/, http://www.historydynamics.com/, http://historydynamics.herokuapp.com/historydynamics, http://www.douban.com/doulist/42499543/

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http://www.ww2010.com/ww2010/turchin/, http://www.historydynamics.com/, http://historydynamics.herokuapp.com/historydynamics, http://www.douban.com/doulist/42499543/

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