Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024


Fooled by Randomness

简体网页||繁体网页
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Penguin
2007-5
368
USD 15.95
Paperback
9780141031484

图书标签: 统计学  英文原版  思维  英文原著  英文  stochastics  心理学  思想   


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发表于2024-08-03

Fooled by Randomness epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书 下载 2024

Fooled by Randomness epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书 下载 2024

Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024



图书描述

Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. It is all about luck: more precisely, how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the markets - we hear an entrepreneur has 'vision' or a trader is 'talented', but all too often their performance is down to chance rather than skill. It is only because we fail to understand probability that we continue to believe events are non-random, finding reasons where none exist. This irreverent bestseller has shattered the illusions of people around the world by teaching them how to recognize randomness. Now it can do the same for you.

Fooled by Randomness 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书

著者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. The international bestseller Fooled by Randomness has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York.


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Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载
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用户评价

评分

小概率事件隐含大趋势

评分

几乎没有一章是废话,阅读还不枯燥。这是2014年读过最好的书。它解释股价是随机性?那么多的股神?为什么有些人能预测等等。我真的喜欢这本书!

评分

小概率事件隐含大趋势

评分

几乎没有一章是废话,阅读还不枯燥。这是2014年读过最好的书。它解释股价是随机性?那么多的股神?为什么有些人能预测等等。我真的喜欢这本书!

评分

几乎没有一章是废话,阅读还不枯燥。这是2014年读过最好的书。它解释股价是随机性?那么多的股神?为什么有些人能预测等等。我真的喜欢这本书!

读后感

评分

评分

英国历史学家尼耶尔•弗格森(Niall Ferguson)在《未曾发生的历史》(Visual History)一书中让偶然性在历史进程中翩翩起舞,他设想了一系列人类在某些重大时刻可能进入的历史分叉小径,比如没有克伦威尔的英国,独立战争遭遇失败的美国和爱尔兰,二战中向希特勒投降的英国...  

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评分

关于数字与概率 我们迟早会了解概率终究是个用来看问题的定性手法,它是怀疑之子。数学主要是用来作为冥思的工具,而不是当作计算工具使用。真正的随机现象看起来并不随机。 讨论概率问题时我不建议会计师参加。对会计师来说,数字就是数字。如果他对概率有兴趣,早就投入...  

评分

我们不能因为眼前的享乐而狂妄自大,或者赞美稍纵即逝的幸福快乐。世事难料,未来变幻莫测。只有承蒙上苍垂帘从此能幸福以终的人,我们才能称之为幸福快乐。 P26 拒斥历史(denigration of history):因为赌徒、投资人、决策者总是觉得,发生在别人身上的事情,不见得会发生...  

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