Rational Decisions pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024


Rational Decisions

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Ken Binmore
Princeton University Press
2009
224
GBP 44.95
Hardcover
9780691130743

圖書標籤: GameTheory  經濟學  Bayesian  教材  心理學  決策  binmore  Behavioral-Economics   


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发表于2024-12-25

Rational Decisions epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Rational Decisions epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Rational Decisions pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024



圖書描述

It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to "look before you leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian decision theory--and when does it need to be modified? Using a minimum of mathematics, Rational Decisions clearly explains the foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage restricted the theory's application to small worlds.

The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an extension to Bayesian decision theory--allowing the idea of a mixed strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what Binmore refers to as "muddled" strategies.

Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, Rational Decisions is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise, accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.

Rational Decisions 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

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Rational Decisions pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載
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Utility Bargaining計算 von Neumann and morgenstern

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霍布斯將人刻畫為肉體、激情、經驗以及理性。經濟學用偏好代替激情,以貝葉斯概率描繪經驗,憑藉理性保持顯示偏好下的行為一緻性,以此來模擬肉體所展現的一係列行為。

評分

霍布斯將人刻畫為肉體、激情、經驗以及理性。經濟學用偏好代替激情,以貝葉斯概率描繪經驗,憑藉理性保持顯示偏好下的行為一緻性,以此來模擬肉體所展現的一係列行為。

評分

霍布斯將人刻畫為肉體、激情、經驗以及理性。經濟學用偏好代替激情,以貝葉斯概率描繪經驗,憑藉理性保持顯示偏好下的行為一緻性,以此來模擬肉體所展現的一係列行為。

評分

霍布斯將人刻畫為肉體、激情、經驗以及理性。經濟學用偏好代替激情,以貝葉斯概率描繪經驗,憑藉理性保持顯示偏好下的行為一緻性,以此來模擬肉體所展現的一係列行為。

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