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Strategic Adjustment and the Rise of China demonstrates how structural and domestic variables influence how East Asian states adjust their strategy in light of the rise of China, including how China manages its own emerging role as a regional great power. The contributors note that the shifting regional balance of power has fueled escalating tensions in East Asia and suggest that adjustment challenges are exacerbated by the politics of policymaking. International and domestic pressures on policymaking are reflected in maritime territorial disputes and in the broader range of regional security issues created by the rise of China.Adjusting to power shifts and managing a new regional order in the face of inevitable domestic pressure, including nationalism, is a challenging process. Both the United States and China have had to adjust to China's expanded capabilities. China has sought an expanded influence in maritime East Asia; the United States has responded by consolidating its alliances and expanding its naval presence in East Asia. The region's smaller countries have also adjusted to the rise of China. They have sought greater cooperation with China, even as they try to sustain cooperation with the United States. As China continues to rise and challenge the regional security order, the contributors consider whether the region is destined to experience increased conflict and confrontation.

Contributors

Ian Bowers, Norwegian Defence University College and Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies

Daniel W. Drezner, Tufts University, Brookings Institution, and Washington Post

Taylor M. Fravel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Bjørn Elias Mikalsen Grønning, Norwegian Defence University College and Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies

Chung-in Moon, Yonsei University and Chairman, Presidential Committee on Northeast Asia Cooperation Initiative, Republic of Korea

James Reilly, University of Sydney

Robert S. Ross, Boston College and Harvard University

Randall L. Schweller, The Ohio State University

ystein Tunsjø, Norwegian Defence University College and the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies

Wang Dong, Peking University

Introduction 1
PARTI. POWER AND POLITICS IN THE EAST ASIAN TRANSITION
1. Domestic Politics and Nationalism in East Asian Security 15
2. U.S.-China Relations: From Unipolar Hedging toward Bipolar Balancing 41
3. Perception, Misperception, and Sensitivity: Chinese Economic Power and Preferences after the 2008 Financial Crisis 69
4. Two Asias? China’s Rise, Dual Structure, and the Alliance System in East Asia 100
PART II. JAPAN, SOUTH KOREA, AND THE RISE OF CHINA: NATIONAL SECURITY AND NATIONALISM
5. Protecting the Status Quo: Japan’s Response to the Rise of China 137
6. Popular Nationalism and Economic Interests in China’s Japan Policy 169
7. China’s Rise and Security Dynamics on the Korean Peninsula 196 chung-in moon
PART III. GREAT POWER RELATIONS AND REGIONAL CONFLICT
8. Threading the Needle: The South China Sea Disputes and U.S.-China Relations 233
9. The United States and China in Northeast Asia: Third-Party Coercion and Alliance Relations 261
Conclusion: East Asia at the Center: Power Shifts and Theory 285
Index 299
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