Western Intelligence and the Collapse of the Soviet Union pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
David Arbel, is a former senior Israeli intelligence officer. Ran Edelist is a journalist and author.
- 极权主义
- 情报
- 国际关系
- International-Relations
- #FDP
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In the second half of 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed. It was an event of major historic and global dimensions, yet this strategic transformation of international relations took the entire world totally by suprise - despite the fact that the West saw in the Communist power an ideological foe and a major military threat. During the 1980s Western intelligence services spent about USD40 billion every year, most of it to monitor the Soviet Union and its satellites. Yet all of them, without exception, were taken by surprise when the red empire crumbled. The American CIA, Britain's MI-6, Germany's BND and the French DGSE all failed to comprehend that the Soviet Union was approaching the end of its imperial existence. A handful of honest intelligence professionals who identified the signs of weakness and distress were shunted aside. The authors of this book interviewed dozens of people who dealt with Soviet affairs in the 1980s, most of them in the United States, some in Europe, the Soviet Union and Israel. The interviewees included high ranking government officials, academics and journalists, but mostly intelligence personnel. All admitted having been caught off guard, but differed over the reasons for their surprise, and who was responsible for it.
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情报机构在1991年的失败基本上要归咎于中情局负责国情评估任务的情报处。而2001年未能阻止恐怖袭击的失误则更为糟糕。1991年的失败所造成的惊讶可以说是“积极的”——对于调查委员会来说，西方情报机构未能洞察苏联的崩溃并不是什么大事。但是，没能发现和阻止针对世界贸易中...
评分西方情报机构无论如何也与苏联解体脱不了干系，事实上，它在世界上多少地方在活动，在起决定性或颠覆性作用？大家隐约知道，但这本书告诉我们事件的细节和还原恢弘的历史剧。此书的翻译出版被列入中国社会科学院创新工程学术出版资助项目，可见其权威性，值得一读。
评分阅读本书好像是在政客和情报官员的关系迷雾中漫步，其相识的分析不仅具备学术性，而且极富故事性，可以使普通读者了解冷战时期世界是如何变动的。其实这个故事挺可悲的，清包机构庞大臃肿，垄断专权，资源丰富，却未能遇见历史转折点的到来。这是近代历史上情报机构最明显的失败。
评分情报机构在1991年的失败基本上要归咎于中情局负责国情评估任务的情报处。而2001年未能阻止恐怖袭击的失误则更为糟糕。1991年的失败所造成的惊讶可以说是“积极的”——对于调查委员会来说，西方情报机构未能洞察苏联的崩溃并不是什么大事。但是，没能发现和阻止针对世界贸易中...
评分这本书参阅了大量资料，内容很丰富，翻译的语言比较流畅。作者对冷战双方执政者的思维理念和政策的讨论，对核武器和高科技的作用，对军备竞赛的不断升级，情报机构的作用等问题的讨论，有助于我们从另一个侧面了解冷战历史和苏联解体的原因。
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