"约瑟夫·埃利斯
Joseph H. Ellis
高盛集团合伙人。1970~1994年,埃利斯专职从事零售业的分析,关注整个行业的发展趋势及一些公司的业绩表现,工作的最终目标是向高盛集团的客户提供整个零售业以及零售企业股票,如沃尔玛、联邦百货、Gap等的投资前景等相关建议。
埃利斯的从业经验已达35年,并连续18年被《机构投资者》(Institutional Investor)杂志评为华尔街第一零售业分析师。"
How to Read the Signs of Economic Change-Before They Impact Your Business and Investments Economic and stock-market cycles affect companies in every industry. Unfortunately, a confusing array of anecdotal and conflicting indicators often renders it impossible for managers and investors to see where the economy is heading in time to take corrective action. Now, a thirty-five-year Wall Street veteran unveils a new forecasting method that will help managers and investors understand and predict the economic cycles that control their businesses and financial fates. In Ahead of the Curve , Joseph H. Ellis argues that the problem with current forecasting models lies not in the data, but rather in the lack of a clear framework for putting the data in context and reading it correctly. The book explains critical economic indicators in nontechnical language, identifies and documents the recurring cause-and-effect relationships that consistently predict turning points in the economy, and provides the tools managers and investors need to position themselves ahead of cyclical upturns and downturns. Economic events are not as random and unpredictable as they seem. This book will help readers recognize and react to signs of change that their rivals don't see-and win a sizeable competitive advantage.
在投资决策的时候,我们常常困惑的不是手中有什么数据,而是找到正确的方法去理解它们。我平时很少以“力荐”的方式推荐一本书。而约瑟夫 H.埃利斯这本《我在高盛的经济预测法》(http://book.douban.com/subject/6517366/),旧名《走在曲线之前——运用常理预测经济和市场周...
评分甫入股市,大多数人听到的第一个词汇应该就是“低买高卖”,道理异常简单,逢低吸纳逢高抛出,其差价便是吾所追求也。但越简单的事情想要找到其规律却是难上加难,何处才是最低点,而哪里才是最高峰,这正是股民、公司甚至政府都在上下求索的。经济学家门对于研究出精准的经济...
评分江山/文 在收到《我在高盛的经济预测法》一书之前,江山在周末的时候去了一家还算喜欢的书店闲逛,看到了好几本带有“高盛”名样的书。后来详查,原来是一家国际领先的投资银行和证券公司,拥有丰富的地区市场知识和国际运作能力。虽然喜欢经济类的东西却不曾深入的了解,直到...
评分在投资决策的时候,我们常常困惑的不是手中有什么数据,而是找到正确的方法去理解它们。我平时很少以“力荐”的方式推荐一本书。而约瑟夫 H.埃利斯这本《我在高盛的经济预测法》(http://book.douban.com/subject/6517366/),旧名《走在曲线之前——运用常理预测经济和市场周...
Yes it is the RATE OF CHANGE which matters.
评分Yes it is the RATE OF CHANGE which matters.
评分既要考虑长期增长前景,又要兼顾市场周期性波动。
评分Worth reading it if you r interested in business world
评分consumer spending index.
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