Preface for the 4th edition
We are pleased that our text has been sufficiently well received to justify this fourth edition. Students and instructors who use the text like the coupling of the rigorous and structured treatment of probability and statistics with real-world case studies and examples. The users of the book have been helpful in pointing out ways to improve our presentation. The changes found in this fourth edition reflect the many helpful suggestions we have received, as well as our own experience in teaching from the text.
Our first goal in writing this fourth edition was to continue strengthening the bridge between theory and practice. To that end, we have added sections at the end of each chapter called Taking a Second Look at Statistics. These sections discuss practical problems in applying the ideas in the chapter and also deal with common misunderstandings or faulty approaches. We also have included a new section on Bayesian estimation that integrates well into Chapter 5 on estimation and gives another view of how estimation can be applied. It introduces students to Bayesian ideas and also serves to reinforce the main concepts of estimation.
Some ideas that are useful and important lie beyond the mathematical scope of the text. To explore such topics within the mathematical context of the book, we have increased and enhanced the material on simulation and on the use of Monte Carlo studies. Since MINITAB is the main tool for simulations and demonstrating computer computations, the MINITAB sections have been rewritten to conform to Version 14, the latest release.
A barrier to efficient coverage of the book has been the length of time required to cover Chapters 2 and 3. One of the major changes in the fourth edition is a substantial revision of basic probability material. Chapters 2 and 3 have been reorganized and rewritten with the goal of a streamlined presentation. These chapters are now easier to teach and can be covered in less time, yet without loss of rigor.
In that same spirit, we have also improved and streamlined the development of the t, chi square and F distributions in Chapter 7, the heart of the book. The material there has been rewritten to simplify the development of the chi square distribution. In addition, we have made a much better division between the theoretical results and their applications.
Because of the efficiencies in the new edition, covering Chapters 1-7 plus other additional topics in one semester is now possible.
All in all, we feel that this new edition furthers our objective of writing a book that emphasizes the interrelation between probability theory, mathematical statistics, and data analysis. As in previous editions, real-world case studies and historical anecdotes provide valuable tools to effect the integration of these three areas. Our experience in the classroom has strengthened our belief in this approach. Students can better grasp the importance of each area when seen in the context of the other two.
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我对这本书的印象是,它简直就是一本为“动手能力”而生的教材。书中穿插了大量贴近实际工程和科学研究的应用案例,这些案例不是那种为了凑数而生的空洞例子,而是真正能体现统计学在现实世界中解决复杂问题能力的光辉瞬间。比如,在处理非正态分布数据时,它会引导你一步步构建合适的模型,并讨论不同估计量(MLE、矩估计等)在实际操作中的优缺点和收敛速度。更棒的是,它在介绍完理论后,往往会紧接着给出如何用常见统计软件(我猜测,虽然书中可能未明确提及特定软件,但其结构导向如此)来实施这些分析的思维路径。这使得理论与实践的鸿沟被有效地架设起来,让人感觉手中的知识随时都能转化为解决实际问题的工具,而非仅仅停留在纸面上的优美数学结构。
评分这本书的叙事风格(如果能用“叙事”来形容一本统计学著作的话)是极其内敛且权威的。它极少使用花哨的语言或夸张的修辞,而是以一种冷静、客观、近乎无可辩驳的口吻陈述事实和推导结果。这种风格带来了一种极强的信赖感——你相信书中所写的一切都是经过时间检验的真理。它没有试图迎合初学者的“舒适区”,而是直接将读者带到了统计学知识的核心地带。如果你期待的是轻松愉快的阅读体验,这本书可能不适合你;但如果你追求的是对数理统计领域最全面、最无可挑剔的深度解析,那么这本书就是你最好的伙伴。它的价值在于其内容的深度和广度,以及它在学术界长期以来所建立的无可撼动的地位。
评分我特别欣赏作者在组织内容时所体现出的那种老派的、注重系统性的教学理念。全书的逻辑脉络清晰得像一张展开的精细地图,从最基础的概率论回顾开始,稳健地推进到参数估计、假设检验、方差分析,最后触及到回归分析的高级主题。这种层层递进的结构,确保了读者不会在某个知识点上产生“空中楼阁”的感觉。它仿佛在对你说:“在你理解了什么是充分统计量之前,我们不会贸然地讨论如何构建最优检验统计量。” 这种对教学顺序的尊重,极大地减少了学习过程中的认知负担,尽管内容本身依旧深奥,但路径是明确的。对于自学统计学的人来说,这本书的章节结构本身就是一份极佳的学习指南。
评分这本关于数理统计的经典教材,光是翻开厚重的书脊就能感受到其内容之丰富与严谨。初学者可能会被其详尽的推导过程所震撼,每一条定理的证明都力求透彻,不留一丝含糊。它不仅仅是罗列公式,更在于阐述统计思想的根基,像是带你走入一个精心构建的逻辑迷宫,每一步的跨越都让你对“概率”和“随机变量”的理解更深一层。特别是关于大样本理论的章节,作者的讲解清晰得如同晨雾散去,将那些抽象的概念具象化。对于那些希望未来从事严肃的定量研究工作的人来说,这本书是打下坚实基础的“圣经”。读完它,你会发现,很多其他统计学书籍中一笔带过的结论,在这里都有详尽的来龙去脉。当然,对于时间有限的读者,可能需要策略性地阅读,但其作为参考手册的价值是无可替代的,任何一个需要深入理解统计框架的专业人士的书架上都少不了它。
评分坦白说,这本书的难度曲线是陡峭的,它毫不留情地要求读者具备扎实的微积分和线性代数基础。我第一次尝试阅读时,感觉自己像是在攀登一座布满冰雪的陡峭山峰,每一步都需要极大的专注力来确保不会滑落。某些涉及到多维分布和假设检验的章节,需要反复研读才能完全掌握其精髓。然而,正是这种挑战性,赋予了这本书极高的含金量。当你最终攻克了某个复杂的证明,或是成功地理解了某个统计检验背后的深层逻辑时,那种成就感是无与伦比的。它不是那种读完就能“会用”的速成手册,而更像是一场需要毅力和汗水的智力马拉松,它塑造的不是工具使用者,而是统计理论的构建者。
评分这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难
评分这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难
评分这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难
评分这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难
评分这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难
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