An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (Fourth Edition)

An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (Fourth Edition) pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2026

出版者:Pearson Education
作者:Richard J. Larsen
出品人:
页数:920
译者:
出版时间:2006
价格:220.0
装帧:平装
isbn号码:9780130305626
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 统计
  • 数学统计
  • 课本
  • 数学
  • mit
  • 数学统计
  • 统计学
  • 概率论
  • 数理统计
  • 应用统计
  • 统计推断
  • 假设检验
  • 回归分析
  • 抽样调查
  • 统计建模
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具体描述

Preface for the 4th edition

We are pleased that our text has been sufficiently well received to justify this fourth edition. Students and instructors who use the text like the coupling of the rigorous and structured treatment of probability and statistics with real-world case studies and examples. The users of the book have been helpful in pointing out ways to improve our presentation. The changes found in this fourth edition reflect the many helpful suggestions we have received, as well as our own experience in teaching from the text.

Our first goal in writing this fourth edition was to continue strengthening the bridge between theory and practice. To that end, we have added sections at the end of each chapter called Taking a Second Look at Statistics. These sections discuss practical problems in applying the ideas in the chapter and also deal with common misunderstandings or faulty approaches. We also have included a new section on Bayesian estimation that integrates well into Chapter 5 on estimation and gives another view of how estimation can be applied. It introduces students to Bayesian ideas and also serves to reinforce the main concepts of estimation.

Some ideas that are useful and important lie beyond the mathematical scope of the text. To explore such topics within the mathematical context of the book, we have increased and enhanced the material on simulation and on the use of Monte Carlo studies. Since MINITAB is the main tool for simulations and demonstrating computer computations, the MINITAB sections have been rewritten to conform to Version 14, the latest release.

A barrier to efficient coverage of the book has been the length of time required to cover Chapters 2 and 3. One of the major changes in the fourth edition is a substantial revision of basic probability material. Chapters 2 and 3 have been reorganized and rewritten with the goal of a streamlined presentation. These chapters are now easier to teach and can be covered in less time, yet without loss of rigor.

In that same spirit, we have also improved and streamlined the development of the t, chi square and F distributions in Chapter 7, the heart of the book. The material there has been rewritten to simplify the development of the chi square distribution. In addition, we have made a much better division between the theoretical results and their applications.

Because of the efficiencies in the new edition, covering Chapters 1-7 plus other additional topics in one semester is now possible.

All in all, we feel that this new edition furthers our objective of writing a book that emphasizes the interrelation between probability theory, mathematical statistics, and data analysis. As in previous editions, real-world case studies and historical anecdotes provide valuable tools to effect the integration of these three areas. Our experience in the classroom has strengthened our belief in this approach. Students can better grasp the importance of each area when seen in the context of the other two.

一本深入浅出的统计学导论,旨在为读者搭建坚实的数理统计理论基础,并展示其在实际应用中的广泛力量。本书的编写,并非仅仅罗列枯燥的公式和定理,而是致力于引导读者理解统计思想的精髓,培养严谨的逻辑思维,并赋予他们运用统计工具解决现实问题的能力。 本书的叙事线索,从最基础的概率论概念出发,逐步攀升至复杂的统计推断方法。我们首先会回顾并巩固概率论的基石——随机变量、概率分布、期望、方差以及多维随机变量的概念。这些是理解后续统计理论的“语言”。之后,我们将深入探讨离散型和连续型概率分布,包括泊松分布、二项分布、指数分布、正态分布等,它们是描述和建模各类随机现象的有力工具。特别地,我们将详细解析正态分布的“中心地位”及其在统计推断中的关键作用。 紧接着,本书将视角转向统计推断的核心——从样本数据中提取关于总体的可靠信息。我们将会详细介绍参数估计的概念,包括点估计和区间估计。在点估计方面,我们会学习矩估计法和最大似然估计法,深入理解它们的原理、优缺点以及适用范围。在区间估计方面,我们将探讨置信区间的构建,包括针对均值、比例、方差等不同参数的置信区间,并强调置信水平的含义及其在解释结果时的重要性。 假设检验是统计推断的另一大支柱。本书将系统地介绍假设检验的基本思想,包括原假设、备择假设、检验统计量、p值以及显著性水平等关键概念。我们会逐一讲解针对不同类型参数(如单个总体均值、比例,两个总体均值、比例,以及方差)的各种常见假设检验方法,例如z检验、t检验、卡方检验和F检验。对于每一种检验,我们都会详细阐述其适用条件、计算步骤、结果解读以及可能遇到的陷阱。此外,我们还会讨论检验的功效和两类错误,以期读者能够更全面地理解检验的效能。 为了使理论更加生动,本书将引入一些更高级的统计模型和方法。方差分析(ANOVA)作为比较多个总体均值的一种强大工具,将得到充分的介绍。我们将从单因素方差分析开始,逐步拓展到双因素方差分析,并解释其背后的原理和应用场景,尤其是在实验设计和效果评估中。 回归分析是研究变量之间关系的重要方法。本书将从最简单的简单线性回归模型入手,详细讲解最小二乘法的原理,如何估计回归系数,以及如何检验回归方程的显著性。随后,我们将引入复回归模型,讨论如何处理多个自变量,以及多重共线性、异方差等常见问题,并介绍模型诊断和选择的方法。这部分内容将为读者理解更复杂的建模技术打下坚实基础。 本书的另一大亮点在于其对应用层面的充分关注。我们理解,统计学的价值最终体现在解决实际问题上。因此,本书在讲解每一个统计概念和方法时,都会辅以大量的、来自不同领域的真实世界案例。这些案例将涵盖经济学、社会学、生物学、工程学、医学、市场营销等诸多学科,力求展示统计学在科学研究、商业决策、社会分析等方面的广泛应用。通过对这些案例的分析,读者将能够直观地感受到统计方法的力量,并学习如何将理论知识转化为解决实际问题的行动方案。 本书在数学表述上力求严谨,同时又避免过度抽象,确保读者的理解不会因过多的数学符号而受阻。我们会在必要的时候提供数学推导,但更侧重于对结果的解释和直观理解。图表的使用也将是本书的一大特色,它们能够有效地可视化数据分布、模型关系以及检验结果,帮助读者更清晰地把握统计概念。 为了帮助读者巩固所学,本书在每章之后都精心设计了多种类型的练习题。这些练习题包括概念性问题、计算题以及需要运用统计软件进行分析的应用题,覆盖了从基本概念到复杂应用的各个层面,旨在检验读者的理解程度,并鼓励他们主动探索和实践。 此外,本书也为那些希望进一步深入学习的读者指明了方向,在适当的地方会提及一些更高级的主题和参考文献。我们希望本书不仅仅是一本教材,更是一扇通往广阔统计学世界的门,激发读者对统计学的持续兴趣和进一步探索的动力。 总而言之,这本书是一次系统而深入的统计学之旅。它不仅教授“是什么”,更关注“为什么”和“怎么做”。我们相信,通过对本书内容的学习和实践,读者将能够建立起强大的统计分析能力,成为一个更具批判性思维、更能做出数据驱动决策的现代人。这本书将是任何希望在当今数据驱动时代取得成功的学生、研究人员或专业人士的宝贵资源。

作者简介

目录信息

Preface
1 Introduction
1.1 A Brief History
1.2 Some Examples
1.3 A Chapter Summary
2 Probability
2.1 Introduction...............
2.2 Sample Spaces and the Algebra of Sets
2.3 . The Probability Function .
2.4 Conditional Probability .
2.5 Independence . . . . . . .
2.6 Combinatorics.......
2.7 Combinatorial Probability
2.8 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Enumeration and
Monte Carlo Techniques) ................
3 Random Variableli
3.1 Introduction..................
3.2 Binomial and Hypergeometric Probabilities
3.3 Discrete Random Variables . .
3.4 Continuous Random Variables
3.5 Expected Values.
3.6 The Variance. . . . . . . . . . .
3.7 Joint Densities . . . . . . . . . .
3.8 Combining Random Variables.
3.9 Further Properties of the Mean and Variance
3.10 Order Statistics .........
3.11 Conditional Densities. . . . . . . . . . . . . .
3.12 Moment-Generating Functions ........
3.13 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Intotpreting Means)
Appendix 3.A.1 MINIT AB Applications . . . . . . . . . . . .
4 Special Distributions
4.1 Introduction.......
4.2 The Poisson Distribution
4.3 The Normal Distribution
4.4 The Geometric Distribution
4.5 The Negative Binomial Distribution.
4.6 The Gamma Distribution
4.7 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Monte Carlo
Simulations)
Appendix 4.A.l MINITAB Applications.
Appendix 4.A.2 A Proof of the Central Limit Theorem
5 Estimation
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Estimating Parameters: The Method of Maximum Likelihood
and the Method of Moments
5.3 Interval Estimation
5.4 Properties of Estimators
5.5 Minimum-Variance Estimators: The Cramer-Rao Lower Bound . 394
5.6 Sufficient Estimators
5.7 Consistency
5.8 Bayesian Estimation
5.9 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Revisiting the Margin of Error) . 423
Appendix 5.A.1 MINIT AB Applications
6 Hypothesis Testing
6.1 Introduction .
6.2 The Decision Rule.
6.3 Testing Binomial Data-Ho: P = Po
6.4 Type I and Type IT Errors
6.5 A Notion of Optimality: The Generalized Likelihood Ratio
6.6 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Statistical Significance
versus "Practical" Significance)
7 The Normal Distribution
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Comparing In and J; In
7.3 Deriving the Distribution of %/
7.4 Drawing Inferences About J1
7.5 Drawing Inferences About a 2
7.6 Taking a Second Look at Statistics ("Bad" Estimators) .
Appendix 7.Al MINIT AB Applications
Appendix 7.A2 Some Distribution Results for Y and S2 . . .
Appendix 7.A3 A Proof of Theorem 7.5.2
Appendix 7.A4 A Proof that the One-Sample t Test Is a GLRT
8 Types of Data: A Brief Overview
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Classifying Data
8.3 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Samples Are Not "Valid")
9 Two-Sample Problems
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Testing Ho: fLx = fLy-The Two-Sample t Test.
9.3 Testing Ho: a = ai-The FTest
9.4 Binomial Data: Testing Ho: px = py
9.5 Confidence Intervals for the Two-Sample Problem
9.6 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Choosing Samples)
Appendix 9.A.l A Derivation of the Two-Sample t Test
(A Proof of Theorem 9.2.2)
Appendix 9.A.2 MINITAB Applications
10 Goodness-of-Fit Tests
10.1 Introduction
10.2 The Multinomial Distribution
10.3 Goodness-of-Fit Tests: All Parameters Known
10.4 Goodness-of-Fit Tests: Parameters Unknown
10.5 Contingency Tables
10.6 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Outliers) .
Appendix 1O.A.l MINITAB Applications
U Regression
11.1 Introduction
11.2 The Method of Least Squares
11.3 TheLinearModel
11.4 Covariance and Correlation
11.5 The Bivariate Normal Distribution
11.6 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (How Not to Interpret the Sample
Correlation Coefficient)
Appendix 11.A.l MINITAB Applications
Appendix 11.A.2 A Proof of Theorem
12 The Analysis of Variance
12.1 Introduction
12.2 The F Test
12.3 Multiple Comparisons: Tukey's Method
12.4 Testing Subhypotheses with Contrasts
12.5 Data Transformations
12.6 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Putting the Subject of Statistics
Together-The Contributions of Ronald A. Fisher)
Appendix 12.A.l MINITAB Applications
Appendix 12.A.2 A Proof of Theorem
Appendix 12.A.3
13 Randomized Block Designs
13.1 Introduction
13.2 The FTest for a Randomized Block Design
13.3 The Paired t Test
13.4 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Choosing Between a Two-Sample
t Test and a Paired t Test)
Appendix 13.A.l MINITAB Applications .
14 Nonparametric Statistics
14.1 Introduction
14.2 The Sign Test
14.3 Wilcoxon Tests.
14.4 The Kruskal-Wallis Test
14.5 The Friedman Test
14.6 Testing for Randomness
14.7 Taking a Second Look at Statistics (Comparing Parametric and Nonparametric Procedures)
Appendix 14.A.1 MINITAB Applications
Appendix: Statistical Tables
Answers to Selected Odd-Numbered Questions
Bibliography
Index
· · · · · · (收起)

读后感

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我对这本书的印象是,它简直就是一本为“动手能力”而生的教材。书中穿插了大量贴近实际工程和科学研究的应用案例,这些案例不是那种为了凑数而生的空洞例子,而是真正能体现统计学在现实世界中解决复杂问题能力的光辉瞬间。比如,在处理非正态分布数据时,它会引导你一步步构建合适的模型,并讨论不同估计量(MLE、矩估计等)在实际操作中的优缺点和收敛速度。更棒的是,它在介绍完理论后,往往会紧接着给出如何用常见统计软件(我猜测,虽然书中可能未明确提及特定软件,但其结构导向如此)来实施这些分析的思维路径。这使得理论与实践的鸿沟被有效地架设起来,让人感觉手中的知识随时都能转化为解决实际问题的工具,而非仅仅停留在纸面上的优美数学结构。

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这本书的叙事风格(如果能用“叙事”来形容一本统计学著作的话)是极其内敛且权威的。它极少使用花哨的语言或夸张的修辞,而是以一种冷静、客观、近乎无可辩驳的口吻陈述事实和推导结果。这种风格带来了一种极强的信赖感——你相信书中所写的一切都是经过时间检验的真理。它没有试图迎合初学者的“舒适区”,而是直接将读者带到了统计学知识的核心地带。如果你期待的是轻松愉快的阅读体验,这本书可能不适合你;但如果你追求的是对数理统计领域最全面、最无可挑剔的深度解析,那么这本书就是你最好的伙伴。它的价值在于其内容的深度和广度,以及它在学术界长期以来所建立的无可撼动的地位。

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我特别欣赏作者在组织内容时所体现出的那种老派的、注重系统性的教学理念。全书的逻辑脉络清晰得像一张展开的精细地图,从最基础的概率论回顾开始,稳健地推进到参数估计、假设检验、方差分析,最后触及到回归分析的高级主题。这种层层递进的结构,确保了读者不会在某个知识点上产生“空中楼阁”的感觉。它仿佛在对你说:“在你理解了什么是充分统计量之前,我们不会贸然地讨论如何构建最优检验统计量。” 这种对教学顺序的尊重,极大地减少了学习过程中的认知负担,尽管内容本身依旧深奥,但路径是明确的。对于自学统计学的人来说,这本书的章节结构本身就是一份极佳的学习指南。

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这本关于数理统计的经典教材,光是翻开厚重的书脊就能感受到其内容之丰富与严谨。初学者可能会被其详尽的推导过程所震撼,每一条定理的证明都力求透彻,不留一丝含糊。它不仅仅是罗列公式,更在于阐述统计思想的根基,像是带你走入一个精心构建的逻辑迷宫,每一步的跨越都让你对“概率”和“随机变量”的理解更深一层。特别是关于大样本理论的章节,作者的讲解清晰得如同晨雾散去,将那些抽象的概念具象化。对于那些希望未来从事严肃的定量研究工作的人来说,这本书是打下坚实基础的“圣经”。读完它,你会发现,很多其他统计学书籍中一笔带过的结论,在这里都有详尽的来龙去脉。当然,对于时间有限的读者,可能需要策略性地阅读,但其作为参考手册的价值是无可替代的,任何一个需要深入理解统计框架的专业人士的书架上都少不了它。

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坦白说,这本书的难度曲线是陡峭的,它毫不留情地要求读者具备扎实的微积分和线性代数基础。我第一次尝试阅读时,感觉自己像是在攀登一座布满冰雪的陡峭山峰,每一步都需要极大的专注力来确保不会滑落。某些涉及到多维分布和假设检验的章节,需要反复研读才能完全掌握其精髓。然而,正是这种挑战性,赋予了这本书极高的含金量。当你最终攻克了某个复杂的证明,或是成功地理解了某个统计检验背后的深层逻辑时,那种成就感是无与伦比的。它不是那种读完就能“会用”的速成手册,而更像是一场需要毅力和汗水的智力马拉松,它塑造的不是工具使用者,而是统计理论的构建者。

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这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难

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这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难

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这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难

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这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难

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这个学期在用,下个学期还要用...后面的作业有不少还挺难

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