圖書標籤: 金融 Finance 華爾街 LTCM 對衝基金 投資 美國 案例
发表于2025-02-16
When Genius Failed pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
On September 23, 1998, the boardroom of the New York Fed was a tense place. Around the table sat the heads of every major Wall Street bank, the chairman of the New York Stock Exchange, and representatives from numerous European banks, each of whom had been summoned to discuss a highly unusual prospect: rescuing what had, until then, been the envy of them all, the extraordinarily successful bond-trading firm of Long-Term Capital Management. Roger Lowenstein's When Genius Failed is the gripping story of the Fed's unprecedented move, the incredible heights reached by LTCM, and the firm's eventual dramatic demise.
Lowenstein, a financial journalist and author of Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist, examines the personalities, academic experts, and professional relationships at LTCM and uncovers the layers of numbers behind its roller-coaster ride with the precision of a skilled surgeon. The fund's enigmatic founder, John Meriwether, spent almost 20 years at Salomon Brothers, where he formed its renowned Arbitrage Group by hiring academia's top financial economists. Though Meriwether left Salomon under a cloud of the SEC's wrath, he leapt into his next venture with ease and enticed most of his former Salomon hires--and eventually even David Mullins, the former vice chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve--to join him in starting a hedge fund that would beat all hedge funds.
LTCM began trading in 1994, after completing a road show that, despite the Ph.D.-touting partners' lack of social skills and their disdainful condescension of potential investors who couldn't rise to their intellectual level, netted a whopping $1.25 billion. The fund would seek to earn a tiny spread on thousands of trades, "as if it were vacuuming nickels that others couldn't see," in the words of one of its Nobel laureate partners, Myron Scholes. And nickels it found. In its first two years, LTCM earned $1.6 billion, profits that exceeded 40 percent even after the partners' hefty cuts. By the spring of 1996, it was holding $140 billion in assets. But the end was soon in sight, and Lowenstein's detailed account of each successively worse month of 1998, culminating in a disastrous August and the partners' subsequent panicked moves, is riveting.
The arbitrageur's world is a complicated one, and it might have served Lowenstein well to slow down and explain in greater detail the complex terms of the more exotic species of investment flora that cram the book's pages. However, much of the intrigue of the Long-Term story lies in its dizzying pace (not to mention the dizzying amounts of money won and lost in the fund's short lifespan). Lowenstein's smooth, conversational but equally urgent tone carries it along well. The book is a compelling read for those who've always wondered what lay behind the Fed's controversial involvement with the LTCM hedge-fund debacle. --S. Ketchum
Roger Lowenstein (born in 1954) is an American financial journalist and writer. He graduated from Cornell University and reported for the Wall Street Journal for more than a decade, including two years writing its Heard on the Street column, 1989 to 1991. Born in 1954, he is the son of Helen and Louis Lowenstein of Larchmont, N.Y. Lowenstein is married to Judith Slovin.
He is also a director of Sequoia Fund. His father, the late Louis Lowenstein, was an attorney and Columbia University law professor who wrote books and articles critical of the American financial industry.
Roger Lowenstein's latest book, America's Bank: The Epic Struggle to Create the Federal Reserve (The Penguin Press) was released on October 20, 2015.
He has three children and lives in Westfield, New Jersey.
今年讀過的最好的商業書籍,對LTCM的興起與衰落進行瞭完整復盤。雖然作者很cynical,但既未為LTCM文過飾非,也沒有落井下石地對他們進行不公正的道德指責,忠實記錄瞭LTCM如何在成功投資後過於迷信自己的model而丟掉瞭謹慎,在貪婪和業績壓力下步入自己不熟悉的risk arbitrage領域投下重注,genius們的分歧、衝突,overuse the leverage on interest swaps,直到黑天鵝的齣現導緻credit spread飆升,市場走勢和模型預測完全相反,滿盤皆輸,最終被高盛敲下瞭棺材上的最後一根釘子。
評分後人哀之而不鑒之,亦使後人而復哀後人也
評分我覺得還蠻好看的歐!描寫銀行們的那一part堪稱攪屎棍比武大會!
評分後人哀之而不鑒之,亦使後人而復哀後人也
評分從我本科的時候,教授們就反對一切本科生打著學術旗號寫那些股票定價模型的論文,並往往以Long-term capital作為例子。隨著公司的崩塌和金融危機的來臨,諸如B-S模型受到瞭更多的質疑。可是人傢從來沒說過模型能預測黑天鵝,平穩狀態下還是掙錢的啊
告诉我,什么叫荣耀 ——《赌金者——长期资本管理公司的升腾与陨落》 有些执着,赢,赢得世界,输,输掉一切。 长期资本管理公司的一生很短,屈指五年;长期资本管理公司的一生很长,是一段历史。 如果说历史是一面镜子,在越黑暗的时候越明亮,《赌金者》就是一...
評分如果作者的理解是正确的,那LTCM的策略很简单,两面下注,得到一个波动很小的金融产品组合,再用财务杠杆放大,从而创造出“适合自己”,也就是满足“最多能输多少钱”的预期盈利最高的产品组合。理论上说,这种方法可以精确地调节风险水平,从而能对自己“量身定做”出合适的...
評分读《赌金者》一书,竟耗去了一个半月。为里面的几个关键点环节深深感慨。读一个真实的具体的案例,远胜于读十本理论书。又感到作者罗格•洛温斯坦那孜孜不倦的钻研精神,打破沙煲纹到底的锲而不舍的精神,书里本着务求真实的精神,不妄加作者的主观臆想,而能把故事如同历史...
評分Lowenstein是典型的journalist的写作风格,讲一个故事,每逢一个人物出现就絮絮叨叨的要把这个人物的小学经历开始说一遍。看你喜不喜欢这个风格了,不大的一件事情,可以被他写的很长,而且都是成熟性质的话。我是无爱的。LTCM这个故事其实一篇长文就可以解决的,被他搞得非常...
評分读《赌金者》一书,竟耗去了一个半月。为里面的几个关键点环节深深感慨。读一个真实的具体的案例,远胜于读十本理论书。又感到作者罗格•洛温斯坦那孜孜不倦的钻研精神,打破沙煲纹到底的锲而不舍的精神,书里本着务求真实的精神,不妄加作者的主观臆想,而能把故事如同历史...
When Genius Failed pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025