From The Washington Post's Book World/washingtonpost.com David Wessel's "In Fed We Trust" opens on Sept. 14, 2008, when Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, is badly sleep-deprived, living on trail mix and wrestling with the decision of a lifetime. For months, he has been trying to stamp out the spreading wildfire of the international financial crisis, yet he, along with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and New York Fed President Timothy Geithner, can't seem to get ahead of the flames. Bernanke had slashed interest rates, helped the Treasury Department and Wall Street bail out the investment bank Bear Stearns -- and still, Wessel writes, "every time officials at the Treasury or the Fed thought they finally had gotten ahead of the Great Panic, they turned out to be insufficiently pessimistic." And on Sept. 14 the problem is what to do about Lehman Brothers. A lifelong scholar of the Great Depression and its causes, Bernanke deeply believes that the global economic crisis of the 1930s, with all its baleful political consequences, could have been avoided if the Federal Reserve had more aggressively pumped liquidity into the economy. He has also been informed that the venerable Wall Street investment firm, with hundreds of billions of dollars worth of connections to the global financial sector, is running out of cash. A second Great Depression is in the offing -- the moment, in a sense, for which Bernanke has been preparing his whole life. Yet he does not know quite what to do. No private-sector buyer for Lehman can be found. The Fed stretched its legal authority to rescue Bear Stearns the previous March, and that doesn't appear possible in the Lehman case. Paulson, for his part, was spooked by the bad political reaction to the Bear bailout and doesn't want to repeat it if he doesn't have to. And so, Bernanke, believing that the markets might have had time to prepare their defenses against a Lehman collapse, concludes in consultation with Paulson and Geithner that there is no alternative to letting the firm fail. It was the biggest bankruptcy in U.S. history, and it triggered a near-global financial meltdown. And from that moment on, Wessel argues, Bernanke was determined never to be accused of doing too little again. "Whatever it takes" became his depression-beating mantra, and under Bernanke the Fed either carried out or supported some of the most sweeping government interventions ever. Today, the Treasury owns most of General Motors and part of Citigroup and Bank of America, while the Fed funds mortgage-backed securities and the commercial paper markets to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars. The Fed's balance sheet stands at about $2 trillion, double what it was two years ago. Did it work? Wessel, the economics editor at the Wall Street Journal, has clearly had access to all the key players; his reporter's judgment is that Bernanke does deserve credit for preventing what he aptly dubs the Great Panic from morphing into something even worse. The interventions Bernanke spearheaded cost Americans hundreds of billions of dollars, much of which necessarily flowed into the coffers of Wall Street firms such as Goldman Sachs and AIG. But the relevant question is what Americans would have paid, now and in the future, if Bernanke and his colleagues had not done what they did. From that point of view, their actions look more cost-effective. Indeed, recent data suggest that the worst may be over. The U.S. economy's shrinkage decelerated to a rate of 1 percent between April and July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is hovering near 9,200, up 2,700 points from its lowest point of the past 52 weeks. Even housing is finding a bottom. Unemployment is at 9.4 percent and will probably peak at around 10 percent -- bad, but far from 1930s levels. Last week, the central bank said it would allow a $300 billion program to buy Treasury bonds to lapse in October, a sign that it thinks the economy can stand on its own two feet. Still, as Wessel shows, the Fed in general and Bernanke in particular were hardly blameless in the buildup to the crisis. Under former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan, the central bank probably kept interest rates too low for too long in the wake of the 2001 recession, fueling the housing boom whose bust in the second half of 2007 brought on the Great Panic. The Fed's policy under Greenspan reflected the intellectual influence of none other than Bernanke, Wessel writes, whose fear of a downward spiral made him "a strong ally of Greenspan's in making the case that the Fed should keep interest rates low and say so publicly." Bernanke on that occasion was not necessarily well served by his lifelong focus on depression economics: When you're a hammer, every problem looks like a nail. A final verdict on Bernanke's performance will have to wait until the Fed finishes the job he started. If the U.S. economy has stopped sinking, it is because of the flood of artificial liquidity, released by Bernanke, that has borne it up. The Fed's next job will be the perfectly timed withdrawal of all that extra money, so as to avoid either roaring inflation or a relapse of deflation. Bernanke's term ends in 2010, and it's clear he is itching for a chance to finish what he began, even though President Obama will be sorely tempted to replace him with a Democrat such as Larry Summers, the White House economic adviser (and Bernanke's longtime intellectual competitor). A second term for Bernanke would be a good call for Obama if he wants to preserve continuity at the Fed, and if he concludes that Bernanke's belated but creditable actions merit a reward. But in a sense, the Fed's job for the next half-decade has already been determined by the course Bernanke chose in the past 18 months. Whoever takes the helm will face the greatest liquidity mop-up in history. And only if the Fed pulls it off can there be a happy ending to the Great Panic, whose scary beginning David Wessel has so effectively narrated. lanec@washpost.com
Copyright 2009, The Washington Post. All Rights Reserved.
..gives a revealing blow-by-blow account of the recent financial crisis”
—David Brooks, The New York Times
“...essential, lucid—and, it turns out, riveting—reading."
—Michiko Kakutani, The New York Times
“...a tale that’s nothing short of hair-raising..reveals in scary detail how unprepared politicians and regulators truly were...”
—Paul M Barrett, The New York Times Book Review
“Wessel delivers an engrossing account of Bernanke's improvisational responses to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.”
—Fortune Magazine
“... so far the most entertaining and most readable book on the financial crisis.”
—Tyler Cowen, marginalrevolution.com
“...persuasively told and richly reported... It will win awards and inspire copycats.”
—BusinessWeek
"David Wessel brings his deep knowledge of the Federal Reserve and U.S. politics and economics to a topic that will be studied by historians for decades to come...No one can understand what happened and what did not happen without reading this book."
–Joseph E. Stiglitz, winner of the Nobel Prize in economics and author of Globalization and its Discontents
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这本书的标题,《In Fed We Trust》,在我看来,不仅仅是一个简单的陈述,更是一种对现代金融体系核心的致敬,抑或是某种反思的起点。我非常期待这本书能够深入挖掘美联储作为美国中央银行的深层运作逻辑。它是否会详尽地阐述美联储的货币政策工具箱,例如公开市场操作、存款准备金率调整以及贴现率的设定,并分析这些工具在不同经济环境下的有效性?我尤其感兴趣的是,美联储如何制定和执行其货币政策,其决策过程是如何在经济学家、政策制定者和外部压力之间进行斡旋的。书中是否会包含对美联储历史上的关键时刻的深入剖析,比如大萧条时期的政策失误,以及在2008年金融危机和随后的量化宽松政策中的角色?我希望这本书能够揭示美联储的决策过程是如何受到政治、经济和社会因素的影响,以及它在多大程度上能够保持独立性。这本书是否会讨论美联储在维护金融稳定和促进经济增长之间的平衡,以及它在应对通货膨胀、失业率和资产价格泡沫等挑战时所采取的策略?我渴望通过阅读这本书,能够更清晰地理解这个影响世界经济走向的强大机构,并对“信任”这个概念在金融领域的真正含义有更深刻的认识。
评分《In Fed We Trust》这个书名,就像是一句古老的格言,在金融世界里回荡,引发了我的强烈共鸣。我一直对“信任”这个词在经济体系中的作用感到着迷。美联储作为美元的发行者和美国经济的稳定器,其公信力对全球金融市场至关重要。我希望这本书能够深入探讨这种信任是如何建立、维护,以及在何种情况下可能会被动摇。作者会如何描绘美联储的透明度问题?它是否真的像其名字所暗示的那样,能够赢得所有人的信任?我期待书中能有对美联储公开市场操作、贴现窗口政策等具体工具的详细解析,以及这些工具如何被用来影响货币供应量和信贷成本。同时,我也想了解美联储的独立性问题,这种独立性是绝对的,还是存在着政治上的考量和妥协?在当前这个充满不确定性的世界里,美联储的每一次决策都牵动着全球的神经。我希望这本书能帮助我理解,在复杂的经济数据和政策制定过程中,美联储是如何权衡利弊,做出对国家和世界负责任的决策的。这本书不仅仅是对一个机构的介绍,更是一种对现代金融体系基石的探究,我渴望从中获得深刻的见解。
评分当我拿起《In Fed We Trust》,我脑海中浮现的并非枯燥的经济理论,而是一幅宏大的历史画卷,描绘着美国中央银行——美联储——如何在时代的洪流中演变、成长,并最终成为影响全球经济的巨擘。我希望这本书能带领我穿越时空,亲身感受美联储成立初期的忐忑与探索,见证它在面对经济萧条、战争动荡时的应对策略,以及在不同经济周期中的角色转变。它是否会深入挖掘美联储历任主席的决策智慧与局限,比如格林斯潘时代的宽松货币政策,还是本·伯南克在金融危机中的果断出手?我非常期待作者能够以生动、引人入胜的方式,将那些复杂的经济概念转化为易于理解的故事,让非专业读者也能领略其魅力。这本书能否揭示美联储决策背后隐藏的哲学思考,以及它如何平衡稳定经济增长、控制通货膨胀和维护金融稳定这些看似相互矛盾的目标?我尤其好奇,在信息爆炸和全球化日益加深的今天,美联储如何应对新的挑战,例如数字货币的崛起、气候变化对经济的影响,以及地缘政治风险的蔓延。我期待这本书不仅仅是一份关于美联储的百科全书,更是一次关于信任、责任和未来方向的深刻探讨,让我能够站在更高的角度审视全球经济的脉络。
评分《In Fed We Trust》这个书名,犹如一句古老的誓言,在我的脑海中回荡,勾起了我对金融世界的核心——美联储——的无限遐想。我一直对央行的角色及其对国家和全球经济的影响力感到着迷,这本书为我提供了一个深入探索的绝佳入口。我期待这本书能够详尽地阐述美联储的货币政策工具,例如公开市场操作、贴现窗口和准备金率,并分析这些工具是如何被用来影响信贷供应、利率水平和整体经济活动的。书中是否会深入剖析美联储的决策机制,例如,在制定利率政策时,它如何平衡通货膨胀和就业这两个关键目标,以及在面对不确定性时是如何进行风险管理的?我渴望了解作者如何描绘美联储在关键历史时刻的应对策略,例如,在大萧条时期的政策失误,或者在2008年金融危机时采取的非常规措施。这本书是否会探讨美联储的独立性问题,以及它如何在一个复杂的政治环境中保持其专业性和客观性?我希望这本书不仅仅是理论的罗列,更能通过生动的叙述和翔实的案例,让我体会到美联储决策的深邃与力量。我渴望通过阅读这本书,能够更深刻地理解“信任”在金融领域的真正含义,以及美联储如何努力赢得并维持这种信任,从而稳定全球经济的航船。
评分《In Fed We Trust》这个书名,让我立刻联想到金融市场的脉搏,以及美联储作为全球经济“心脏起搏器”的角色。我一直对货币政策及其对经济的深远影响充满好奇,这本书无疑为我提供了一个深入了解的绝佳机会。我期待本书能够详细阐述美联储的货币政策框架,包括其通货膨胀目标、就业目标以及如何通过调整利率、量化宽松等工具来实现这些目标。书中是否会深入解析美联储在不同经济周期中的策略选择,例如,在经济衰退期间如何刺激增长,在经济过热时如何抑制通货膨胀?我尤其希望了解作者如何描绘美联储的决策过程,以及在面对信息不对称、预测困难等挑战时,决策者是如何进行权衡和决策的。这本书是否会包含对美联储历史上的重要事件的深入分析,比如,它如何应对1970年代的高通胀,或者在2008年金融危机后采取的“最后贷款人”角色?我希望这本书不仅仅是枯燥的理论讲解,更能通过生动的故事和真实的案例,让我体会到美联储决策的复杂性和影响力。此外,我也对美联储的独立性以及其如何回应公众监督和政治压力的问题非常感兴趣。我希望通过阅读这本书,能够更清晰地理解“信任”在现代金融体系中的重要性,以及美联储如何通过其行动来赢得并维持这种信任。
评分《In Fed We Trust》这个书名,就像一句低语,在我的脑海中回响,引发了我对货币、金融和国家信用的思考。我一直对美联储这个神秘而又至关重要的机构充满好奇,希望这本书能够揭开它的面纱,让我一窥其内部运作的究竟。我期待书中能够详细阐述美联储的货币政策框架,包括其目标设定、工具运用以及政策传导机制。例如,它如何决定联邦基金利率,以及这一利率如何影响借贷成本、投资和消费?我特别想了解作者如何描绘美联储在面对复杂经济挑战时的决策过程,比如在通货膨胀高企时采取紧缩政策,或者在经济衰退时实施宽松政策。这本书是否会深入分析美联储历史上的重要事件,例如它在20世纪初的成立,在大萧条时期的角色,以及在2008年金融危机期间采取的创新性措施?我希望这本书不仅仅是理论的罗列,更能通过生动的案例和详实的数据,展现美联储决策的智慧与艰辛。此外,我对美联储的独立性问题也深感兴趣,它如何在一个政治多元化的环境中保持自身的客观性和专业性?我期待这本书能让我对“信任”这个词在金融领域的真正含义有更深刻的理解,以及美联储如何通过其行动来赢得并维持这种信任,从而稳定全球经济的运行。
评分《In Fed We Trust》这个书名,勾勒出了一种深刻的依赖与期望。我个人对央行的运作机制一直抱有浓厚的兴趣,尤其是美联储,作为全球金融体系的关键一环。我期待这本书能深入剖析美联储的使命与职责,它如何通过货币政策来影响就业、通货膨胀和经济增长。书中是否会详尽解释美联储如何进行利率决策,以及这些决策如何传导至整个经济体系?我非常好奇作者会如何描绘美联储的决策过程,例如,在FOMC(联邦公开市场委员会)会议上,委员们是如何进行讨论和投票的?这本书是否会提供关于美联储历史上重要货币政策变动的案例研究,例如,尼克松总统宣布结束美元与黄金的挂钩,或者保罗·沃尔克如何通过大幅加息来遏制高通胀?我希望这本书能够不仅仅是理论的阐述,更能通过生动的叙述和翔实的数据,让我体会到美联储在不同历史时期所面临的挑战以及其政策选择的复杂性。这本书是否也会探讨美联储的独立性问题,以及它在政治压力下的应对能力?我渴望通过阅读这本书,能够更深刻地理解“信任”在金融领域的重要作用,以及美联储如何试图赢得并维持这种信任,从而稳定全球经济的运行。
评分拿起《In Fed We Trust》,我首先联想到的是那份沉甸甸的责任,以及由此衍生的信任。我一直对中央银行,特别是美国联邦储备系统,在现代经济中的作用感到着迷。这本书是否会深入探讨美联储的核心使命——维持价格稳定和充分就业?我迫切地想了解,美联储是如何通过其货币政策工具,如公开市场操作、贴现率和准备金要求,来影响信贷条件、通货膨胀和经济活动的?书中会详细解释美联储的决策过程吗?例如,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的会议是如何进行的,委员们如何分析数据,做出艰难的权衡,并最终达成共识?我渴望书中能够包含对美联储历史上一些关键时刻的回顾,例如,它如何应对大萧条带来的挑战,如何在高通胀时期采取坚决的紧缩措施,或者在2008年金融危机之后实施的量化宽松政策。这本书是否会讨论美联储的独立性,以及这种独立性如何确保其政策决策不受政治压力的影响?我希望这本书不仅仅是一份关于美联储运作的学术报告,更是一次关于信任、透明度和经济责任的深刻探索,让我能够理解为什么“In Fed We Trust”不仅仅是一个口号,更是支撑现代金融体系运转的基石。
评分这本书的标题《In Fed We Trust》直击了我内心深处对金融世界的好奇。我始终认为,理解美联储的运作,是理解现代经济运行规律的关键。我期待这本书能带我深入探索美联储的内部世界,了解它的组织架构、治理模式以及它如何独立于政治干预而行使职权。书中是否会详细阐述美联储的货币政策工具,例如公开市场操作、贴现窗口和存款准备金率,并分析这些工具如何影响货币供应量和信贷成本?我尤其关注作者如何描绘美联储在制定和执行货币政策时的考量,例如,在平衡通货膨胀目标与充分就业目标时,它会如何进行权衡?这本书是否会提供对美联储历史上的关键时刻的深入分析,比如它在应对2008年金融危机时的非常规货币政策,或者在面对持续的低利率环境时的挑战?我希望这本书不仅仅是一本关于货币政策的教科书,更是一部关于信任、责任和领导力的叙事,它能让我理解为什么“In Fed We Trust”这句话如此重要,以及这种信任是如何被建立和维护的。我渴望通过阅读这本书,能够更深刻地理解美联储在塑造美国乃至全球经济未来方面所扮演的关键角色。
评分这本书的标题本身就极具吸引力,"In Fed We Trust"——这句熟悉的口号,在货币金融领域被反复提及,瞬间勾起了我对这本书内容的好奇心。我立刻联想到美联储作为全球最重要的央行之一,其决策对世界经济的深远影响。我期待这本书能深入剖析美联储的运作机制,从历史沿革到当前的挑战,都能得到详尽的解答。是否会探讨量化宽松、利率调整这些关键的货币政策工具,以及它们如何影响通货膨胀、就业和市场信心?我尤其关注作者如何描绘美联储决策层内部的博弈和考量,以及这些决策是如何在错综复杂的经济数据和政治压力中产生的。一个好的经济类书籍,不仅仅是数据和理论的堆砌,更应该包含对人性、历史和社会因素的洞察,我希望这本书能展现出这种深度。我渴望了解美联储在不同历史时期所扮演的角色,例如在危机时期如何稳定市场,在繁荣时期如何控制经济过热。它的独立性是否真的如其所言,还是会受到政治力量的左右?这些问题都在我脑海中盘旋。阅读一本能够引人深思、拓宽视野的书籍,是我的追求,而"In Fed We Trust"似乎正是这样一本能够满足我求知欲的作品,我迫不及待地想深入其中,一探究竟。
评分5% 把电影too big to fall的内容在第一章就讲完了。紧凑又entertaining 60% 想看当年宋子文lead的takeover了 100% 还是很balanced一个纪实。很多术语看完就忘了,但是看到主角们经历这场战役后的蜕变和世界的变迁还是挺畅快的 最后惊闻Paulson是Christian scientific教的,看来不能排,或笑话阿汤哥了,得看看教义到底是啥玩意儿了
评分上学期做助教的必备功课。对于有学而优则仕的经济学生很有激发性~
评分上学期做助教的必备功课。对于有学而优则仕的经济学生很有激发性~
评分迷信是科学之父
评分上学期做助教的必备功课。对于有学而优则仕的经济学生很有激发性~
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