INTRODUCTION

In a time when terrorists play death-games with hostages,

as currencies careen amid rumors of a third World War, as

embassies flame and storm troopers lace up their boots in

many lands, we stare in horror at the headlines. The price of

goldfthat sensitive barometer of fear--breaks all records.

Banks tremble. Inflation rages out of control. And the gov-

crnments of the world are reduced to paralysis or imbecility.

Faced with all this, a massed chorus of Cassandras fills the

air with doom-song. The proverbial man in the street says

the world has "gone mad," while the expert points to all the

trends leading toward catastrophe.

This book offers a sharply different view.

It contends that the world has not swerved into lunacy, and

that, in fact, beneath the clatter and jangle of seemingly

senseless events there lies a startling and potentially hopeful

pattern. This book is about that pattern and that hope.

The Third Wave is for those who think the human story,

far from ending, has only just begun.

A powerful tide is surging across much of the world today,

creating a new, often bizarre, environment in which to work,

play, marry, raise children, or retire. In this bewildering con-

text, businessmen swim against highly erratic economic cur-

rents; politicians see their ratings bob wildly up and down;

universities, hospitals, and other institutions battle desperately

against inflation. Value systems splinter and crash, while the

lifeboats of family, church, and state, are hurled madly about.

Looking at these violent changes, we can regard them as

阿尔文•托夫勒，当今最具影响力的社会思想家之一，1928年10月8日出生于纽约，纽约大学毕业，1970年出版《未来的冲击》，1980年出版《第三次浪潮》，1990年

出版《权力的转移》等未来三部曲，享誉全球，成为未来学巨擘，对当今社会思潮有广泛而深远的影响。托夫勒的妻子海蒂也是知名的未来学者，两人多次合作著述，2006年5月，两人的最新作品《财富的革命》全球同步出版。